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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 9, 2016·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Philadelphia Flyers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 73% of the time.

PHI winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Mason
  3. P1 0:41Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  4. P1 2:05Shot by Gudas, saved by Murray
  5. P1 2:22Shot by White, saved by Murray
  6. P1 4:42Lovejoy: Holding the stick (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI White, Gagner, Manning, Gudas, Read, Cousins · PIT Cullen, Fehr, Lovejoy, Schultz, Kuhnhackl

  7. P1 4:52Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray5v4
  8. P1 5:30Shot by Schenn, saved by Murray5v4
  9. P1 7:34Shot by Bellemare, saved by Murray
  10. P1 8:06Shot by Simmonds, saved by Murray
  11. P1 9:18Shot by Cullen, saved by Mason
  12. P1 9:45Shot by Read, saved by Murray
  13. P1 9:50Shot by Manning, saved by Murray
  14. P1 10:44Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray
  15. P1 11:24Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray
  16. P1 11:57Goal by Bonino (Hagelin, Kessel)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Schenn, Couturier, Raffl · PIT Kessel, Lovejoy, Bonino, Hagelin, Pouliot

  17. P1 13:08Shot by Sundqvist, saved by Mason
  18. P1 14:11Shot by Fehr, saved by Mason
  19. P1 16:27Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  20. P1 16:29Shot by Daley, saved by Mason
  21. P1 17:25Shot by Schenn, saved by Murray
  22. P1 18:43Shot by Mouillierat, saved by Mason
  23. P1 18:57Goal by Simmonds (Voracek, Giroux)+22 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Simmonds, Gostisbehere · PIT Daley, Kunitz, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Sundqvist

  24. P1 19:22Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Zatkoff
  25. P1 19:27Shot by Gudas, saved by Zatkoff
  26. P1 19:47Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Mason
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:36Shot by Simmonds, saved by Zatkoff
  30. P2 2:08Shot by Gagner, saved by Zatkoff
  31. P2 2:33Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Zatkoff
  32. P2 2:41Shot by Bellemare, saved by Zatkoff
  33. P2 4:08Shot by Fehr, saved by Mason
  34. P2 5:02Shot by Kunitz, saved by Mason
  35. P2 5:34Shot by Gagner, saved by Zatkoff
  36. P2 7:06Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Mason
  37. P2 7:28Shot by Giroux, saved by Zatkoff
  38. P2 10:58Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Zatkoff
  39. P2 11:05Shot by Voracek, saved by Zatkoff
  40. P2 11:20Shot by Giroux, saved by Zatkoff
  41. P2 12:59Shot by Manning, saved by Zatkoff
  42. P2 13:25Schultz: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, VandeVelde, White, Bellemare · PIT Daley, Sestito, Cole, Mouillierat, Sheary

  43. P2 13:25Sheary: Embellishment (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, VandeVelde, White, Bellemare · PIT Daley, Sestito, Cole, Mouillierat, Sheary

  44. P2 13:43Voracek: Holding the stick (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Gostisbehere · PIT Daley, Kessel, Bonino, Dumoulin

  45. P2 16:10Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  46. P2 16:58Goal by Simmonds (Gostisbehere, Streit)+26 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Gostisbehere · PIT Fehr, Lovejoy, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl, Sundqvist

  47. P2 18:49Shot by White, saved by Zatkoff
  48. P2 19:59Shot by Giroux, saved by Zatkoff
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 2:28Sestito: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, MacDonald, Gostisbehere, Bellemare · PIT Sestito, Bonino, Cole, Schultz, Sheary

  52. P3 2:28Sestito: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, MacDonald, Gostisbehere, Bellemare · PIT Sestito, Bonino, Cole, Schultz, Sheary

  53. P3 2:28Sestito: Game misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, MacDonald, Gostisbehere, Bellemare · PIT Sestito, Bonino, Cole, Schultz, Sheary

  54. P3 2:28VandeVelde: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, MacDonald, Gostisbehere, Bellemare · PIT Sestito, Bonino, Cole, Schultz, Sheary

  55. P3 4:01Shot by Read, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  56. P3 4:31Shot by Schenn, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  57. P3 5:17Shot by Gagner, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  58. P3 6:17Shot by Voracek, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  59. P3 6:25Shot by Voracek, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  60. P3 7:39Shot by Daley, saved by Mason
  61. P3 8:58Shot by Gudas, saved by Zatkoff
  62. P3 9:05Shot by Kunitz, saved by Mason
  63. P3 9:36Shot by Giroux, saved by Zatkoff
  64. P3 11:23Shot by Daley, saved by Mason
  65. P3 12:00Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Mason
  66. P3 14:08Mouillierat: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · PIT Cullen, Daley, Fehr, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl

  67. P3 16:09Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Mason
  68. P3 19:02Goal by Bellemare, unassisted5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, VandeVelde, White, Bellemare · PIT Cullen, Daley, Kunitz, Kessel, Schultz, Kuhnhackl

  69. P3 19:42Shot by White, saved by Zatkoff
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final