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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 9, 2016·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Nashville Predators 2, Dallas Stars 3

Away

Nashville Predators

2

Final

Home

Dallas Stars

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 81% of the time.

DAL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:11Shot by Jackman, saved by Niemi
  3. P1 0:19Goal by Ellis, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Russell, Sceviour, Demers, Nichushkin · NSH Jackman, Nystrom, Ellis, Sissons, Arvidsson

  4. P1 5:07Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Hutton
  5. P1 5:33Shot by Wilson, saved by Niemi
  6. P1 8:09Roussel: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hemsky, Goligoski, Roussel, Klingberg, Faksa · NSH Jackman, Gaustad, Bass, Ellis, Watson

  7. P1 8:33Johansen: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Oduya, Goligoski, Benn, Eakin · NSH Neal, Wilson, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg

  8. P1 9:07Shot by Neal, saved by Niemi4v4
  9. P1 9:14Shot by Benn, saved by Hutton4v4
  10. P1 9:53Shot by Wilson, saved by Niemi4v4
  11. P1 10:07Shot by Wilson, saved by Niemi4v4
  12. P1 10:50Shot by Benn, saved by Hutton
  13. P1 12:45Shot by Goligoski, saved by Hutton
  14. P1 13:27Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Niemi
  15. P1 13:25Shot by Forsberg, saved by Niemi
  16. P1 13:22Shot by Nystrom, saved by Niemi
  17. P1 14:48Shot by Ellis, saved by Niemi
  18. P1 15:20Shot by Neal, saved by Niemi
  19. P1 15:30Shot by Forsberg, saved by Niemi
  20. P1 15:56Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Hutton
  21. P1 17:14Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Niemi
  22. P1 17:45Bitetto: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Moen, Oduya, Fiddler, Sceviour, Johns · NSH Potter, Smith, Jarnkrok, Bitetto, Forsberg

  23. P1 18:05Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Niemi5v4
  24. P1 19:05Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Niemi5v4
  25. P1 19:58Shot by Klingberg, saved by Hutton
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 2:01Shot by Johns, saved by Hutton
  29. P2 2:22Shot by Demers, saved by Hutton
  30. P2 2:41Shot by Spezza, saved by Hutton
  31. P2 3:23Shot by Goligoski, saved by Hutton
  32. P2 3:35Shot by Klingberg, saved by Hutton
  33. P2 3:57Shot by Eakin, saved by Hutton
  34. P2 4:32Shot by Johns, saved by Hutton
  35. P2 4:51Shot by Russell, saved by Hutton
  36. P2 5:04Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Niemi
  37. P2 6:19Eakin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Goligoski, Benn, Eakin, Klingberg · NSH Jackman, Neal, Wilson, Ellis, Johansen

  38. P2 6:48Shot by Johansen, saved by Niemi4v5
  39. P2 6:50Goligoski: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Oduya, Fiddler, Goligoski, Sceviour · NSH Neal, Wilson, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg

  40. P2 7:20Shot by Neal, saved by Niemi3v5
  41. P2 7:42Shot by Forsberg, saved by Niemi3v5
  42. P2 8:07Shot by Ekholm, saved by Niemi3v5
  43. P2 8:23Goal by Jarnkrok (Forsberg, Neal)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Russell, Demers, Eakin, Faksa · NSH Neal, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Forsberg

  44. P2 10:46Goal by Spezza (Nichushkin, Oduya)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Sharp, Oduya, Johns, Nichushkin · NSH Jackman, Ellis, Smith, Jarnkrok, Forsberg

  45. P2 12:28Shot by Roussel, saved by Hutton
  46. P2 12:34Smith: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DAL Hemsky, Russell, Benn, Sceviour, Demers, Faksa · NSH Nystrom, Potter, Smith, Jarnkrok, Bitetto

  47. P2 13:05Goal by Spezza (Benn, Sharp)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Sharp, Eaves, Benn, Klingberg · NSH Gaustad, Ellis, Ekholm, Forsberg

  48. P2 15:21Shot by Ellis, saved by Niemi
  49. P2 16:16Forsberg: Embellishment (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hemsky, Fiddler, Goligoski, Roussel, Klingberg · NSH Jackman, Neal, Wilson, Ellis, Jarnkrok

  50. P2 18:56Shot by Spezza, saved by Hutton
  51. P2 19:02Shot by Russell, saved by Hutton
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:03Shot by Watson, saved by Niemi
  55. P3 6:17Shot by Sceviour, saved by Hutton
  56. P3 7:50Shot by Ellis, saved by Niemi
  57. P3 8:55Shot by Johns, saved by Hutton
  58. P3 9:46Eakin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Goligoski, Benn, Eakin, Klingberg · NSH Neal, Wilson, Ekholm, Granberg, Johansen

  59. P3 10:25Shot by Fiddler, saved by Hutton4v5
  60. P3 11:00Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Niemi4v5
  61. P3 12:52Shot by Jackman, saved by Niemi
  62. P3 13:02Shot by Johansen, saved by Niemi
  63. P3 13:53Shot by Hemsky, saved by Hutton
  64. P3 18:11Shot by Bitetto, saved by Niemi
  65. P3 19:00Goal by Spezza (Klingberg, Goligoski)+46 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Sharp, Russell, Benn, Klingberg · NSH Neal, Wilson, Ekholm, Granberg, Johansen

  66. P3 19:08Shot by Neal, saved by Niemi5v6
  67. P3 19:56Shot by Neal, saved by Niemi5v6
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final