Sat, Apr 9, 2016·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Arizona Coyotes 0, San Jose Sharks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 91% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 010 | 07 | 03 | 020 |
| SJS | 013 | 011 | 18 | 132 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 7:29SJSJoe PavelskiPPGWGAssists: Joe Thornton, Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
Penalties (13)
- P1 3:07SJSRoman Polak: Boarding2 min
- P1 5:14ARIConnor Murphy: Holding2 min
- P1 8:17ARIShane Doan: Instigator2 min
- P1 8:17SJSRoman Polak: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:17ARIShane Doan: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 8:17ARIShane Doan: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:17ARIShane Doan: Misconduct10 min
- P1 14:28ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:20SJSJoel Ward: Cross checking2 min
- P3 6:33ARIBoyd Gordon: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 6:33ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 13:34SJSLogan Couture: High sticking2 min
- P3 17:46SJSTommy Wingels: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richardson won the faceoff against Marleau
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- Gordon – Chipchura – Martinook4:58
xG 0.39–0.53 (42%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
- Tanguay – Vermette – Duclair7:34
xG 0.12–0.28 (30%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
- Tikhonov – Rieder – Dauphin5:12
xG 0.03–0.32 (8%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Doan – Richardson – Domi6:44
xG 0.12–0.81 (13%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Grossmann – Dahlbeck9:18
xG 0.14–0.44 (24%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Michalek – Connauton10:26
xG 0.05–0.54 (8%)attempts 5–14goals 0–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Murphy15:17
xG 0.24–1.15 (18%)attempts 12–16goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestMarleau – Spaling – Hertl2:07
xG 0.70–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Ward – Couture – Donskoi9:17
xG 0.76–0.39 (66%)attempts 12–3goals 0–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Hertl7:12
xG 0.43–0.11 (79%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Marleau – Spaling – Karlsson4:40
xG 0.10–0.01 (91%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPolak – Dillon15:08
xG 1.16–0.47 (71%)attempts 15–18goals 0–0
- Burns – Braun10:11
xG 0.45–0.09 (83%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Braun – Mueller2:12
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 91% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).