Sat, Oct 15, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa
New Jersey Devils 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:43Shot by Moore, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 0:52Goal by Palmieri (Moore)+13 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov · NJD Cammalleri, Greene, Henrique, Palmieri, Moore
- P1 1:40Shot by Drouin, saved by Schneider
- P1 2:02Shot by Bennett, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 3:26Shot by Henrique, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 4:02Shot by Drouin, saved by Schneider
- P1 4:26Goal by Zajac (Parenteau)+13 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Drouin · NJD Parenteau, Quincey, Zajac, Hall, Auvitu
- P1 5:14Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 5:33Shot by Boyle, saved by Schneider
- P1 6:16Shot by Coburn, saved by Schneider
- P1 6:38Shot by Stamkos, saved by Schneider
- P1 7:27Shot by Severson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 9:54Shot by Bennett, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 10:57Shot by Paquette, saved by Schneider
- P1 11:10Shot by Brown, saved by Schneider
- P1 11:14Shot by Nesterov, saved by Schneider
- P1 11:36Shot by Hall, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 12:07Shot by Hall, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 12:55Cammalleri: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Drouin · NJD Cammalleri, Greene, Henrique, Palmieri, Severson
- P1 13:19Shot by Stamkos, saved by Schneider5v4
- P1 14:10Shot by Kucherov, saved by Schneider5v4
- P1 14:28Shot by Kucherov, saved by Schneider5v4
- P1 14:53Shot by Point, saved by Schneider5v4
- P1 14:58Shot by Point, saved by Schneider
- P1 16:28Shot by Greene, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 17:18Shot by Greene, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 17:24Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:13Shot by Stamkos, saved by Schneider
- P2 1:42Shot by Drouin, saved by Schneider
- P2 1:46Palat: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Drouin · NJD Parenteau, Zajac, Greene, Hall, Severson
- P2 5:25Shot by Coburn, saved by Schneider
- P2 5:40Shot by Point, saved by Schneider
- P2 5:46Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Schneider
- P2 6:48Shot by Garrison, saved by Schneider
- P2 7:04Shot by Johnson, saved by Schneider
- P2 7:35Shot by Severson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 7:53Goal by Stamkos (Palat, Drouin)+17 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Nesterov, Drouin · NJD Quincey, Smith-Pelly, Bennett, Zacha, Auvitu
- P2 10:07Goal by Killorn (Kucherov, Johnson)+19 pts WP
On ice: TBL Killorn, Garrison, Johnson, Kucherov, Sustr · NJD Parenteau, Zajac, Greene, Hall, Severson
- P2 11:03Shot by Hall, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 11:55Shot by Fiddler, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 13:01Shot by Parenteau, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 13:21Shot by Zajac, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 13:32Stamkos: Holding the stick (2 min)
On ice: TBL Garrison, Stamkos, Palat, Sustr, Drouin · NJD Cammalleri, Zajac, Lovejoy, Palmieri, Moore
- P2 13:47Shot by Parenteau, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 13:59Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 14:04Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 15:02Shot by Auvitu, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 15:45Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Schneider
- P2 16:18Shot by Point, saved by Schneider
- P2 17:55Shot by Stamkos, saved by Schneider6v5
- P2 17:56Wood: Tripping (2 min)6v5
On ice: TBL Garrison, Stamkos, Johnson, Palat, Nesterov, Drouin · NJD Cammalleri, Quincey, Greene, Henrique, Palmieri
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:14Smith-Pelly: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
On ice: TBL Killorn, Garrison, Johnson, Kucherov, Sustr · NJD Fiddler, Lovejoy, Moore, Smith-Pelly, Bennett
- P3 0:21Shot by Drouin, saved by Schneider5v4
- P3 4:01Shot by Paquette, saved by Schneider
- P3 5:43Goal by Filppula (Garrison, Point)+33 pts WP
On ice: TBL Filppula, Garrison, Namestnikov, Sustr, Point · NJD Parenteau, Zajac, Greene, Hall, Severson
- P3 6:09Shot by Hall, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 6:14Shot by Greene, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 7:00Shot by Boyle, saved by Schneider
- P3 7:22Brown: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, Boyle, Hedman, Brown, Paquette · NJD Cammalleri, Quincey, Henrique, Palmieri, Moore
- P3 7:22Cammalleri: Roughing (2 min)4v5
On ice: TBL Coburn, Boyle, Hedman, Brown, Paquette · NJD Cammalleri, Quincey, Henrique, Palmieri, Moore
- P3 7:33Shot by Stralman, saved by Schneider4v4
- P3 8:59Shot by Garrison, saved by Schneider4v4
- P3 9:44Shot by Auvitu, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 9:55Shot by Auvitu, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 13:49Shot by Point, saved by Schneider
- P3 14:39Sustr: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Boyle, Garrison, Brown, Paquette, Sustr · NJD Quincey, Lovejoy, Smith-Pelly, Bennett, Zacha
- P3 14:47Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P3 15:31Shot by Auvitu, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P3 16:07Shot by Palmieri, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P3 16:13Shot by Severson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P3 16:28Shot by Palat, saved by Schneider4v5
- P3 17:14Shot by Speers, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 17:17Shot by Zacha, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 18:09Shot by Filppula, saved by Schneider
- P3 19:03Shot by Parenteau, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
- P3 19:25Shot by Parenteau, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
- P3 0:00Stamkos: High sticking (2 min)5v6
On ice: TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov · NJD Cammalleri, Parenteau, Henrique, Smith-Pelly, Hall, Auvitu
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final