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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 15, 2016·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Detroit Red Wings 1, Florida Panthers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 85% of the time.

FLA winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:10Goal by Trocheck (Jokinen)+13 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jokinen, Demers, Smith, Trocheck, Matheson · DET Smith, Tatar, Sheahan, Marchenko, Larkin

  3. P1 2:34Shot by Jagr, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 2:38Shot by Yandle, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 4:50Shot by Malgin, saved by Mrazek
  6. P1 4:58McKegg: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Harper, McKegg, Petrovic, Pysyk · DET Miller, Green, Abdelkader, Glendening, DeKeyser

  7. P1 8:54Shot by Smith, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 9:09Shot by Matheson, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 9:18Shot by Matheson, saved by Mrazek
  10. P1 9:23Shot by Matheson, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 9:50Shot by Smith, saved by Luongo
  12. P1 9:56Shot by Sheahan, saved by Luongo
  13. P1 10:01Goal by Sceviour (Marchessault, Malgin)+11 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Sceviour, Demers, Marchessault, Matheson, Malgin · DET Smith, Tatar, Sheahan, Ouellet, Larkin

  14. P1 9:53Shot by Smith, saved by Luongo
  15. P1 10:37Shot by Marchessault, saved by Mrazek
  16. P1 13:07Goal by Helm (Nyquist)+11 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Sceviour, Demers, Matheson, McCann, Malgin · DET Vanek, Helm, Smith, Nyquist, Ouellet

  17. P1 14:10Shot by Barkov, saved by Mrazek
  18. P1 15:58Shot by Matheson, saved by Mrazek
  19. P1 16:39Shot by Ekblad, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 16:45Shot by Yandle, saved by Mrazek
  21. P1 17:02Shot by Yandle, saved by Mrazek
  22. P1 17:11Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Luongo
  23. P1 17:15Shot by Marchenko, saved by Luongo
  24. P1 17:53Shot by Smith, saved by Mrazek
  25. P1 18:10Shot by Nyquist, saved by Luongo
  26. P1 19:28Shot by Larkin, saved by Luongo
  27. P1 19:59Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Luongo
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:38Shot by Ekblad, saved by Mrazek
  31. P2 3:50Shot by Ericsson, saved by Luongo
  32. P2 5:42Vanek: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Yandle, Sceviour, Trocheck, Ekblad, McCann · DET Vanek, Helm, Smith, Nyquist, Ouellet

  33. P2 5:42Yandle: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Yandle, Sceviour, Trocheck, Ekblad, McCann · DET Vanek, Helm, Smith, Nyquist, Ouellet

  34. P2 6:35Shot by Barkov, saved by Mrazek4v4
  35. P2 8:47Shot by Marchessault, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 8:49Shot by Malgin, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 9:56Shot by Nielsen, saved by Luongo
  38. P2 10:38Shot by Matheson, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 10:50Shot by Sceviour, saved by Mrazek
  40. P2 10:57Shot by Malgin, saved by Mrazek
  41. P2 11:30Shot by Marchenko, saved by Luongo
  42. P2 12:01Marchenko: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jokinen, Smith, Petrovic, Trocheck, Ekblad · DET Ericsson, Tatar, Sheahan, Marchenko, Larkin

  43. P2 12:51Shot by Marchessault, saved by Mrazek5v4
  44. P2 14:19Shot by Trocheck, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 15:47Shot by Barkov, saved by Mrazek
  46. P2 17:23Shot by Trocheck, saved by Mrazek
  47. P2 17:41Shot by Marchessault, saved by Mrazek
  48. P2 18:58Shot by Glendening, saved by Luongo
  49. P2 19:49Ericsson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Yandle, McKegg, Barkov, Ekblad · DET Ericsson, Green, Helm, Sheahan, Glendening

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:34Shot by Marchessault, saved by Mrazek5v4
  53. P3 0:59Shot by Ekblad, saved by Mrazek5v4
  54. P3 1:12Shot by Ekblad, saved by Mrazek5v4
  55. P3 2:41Shot by Yandle, saved by Mrazek
  56. P3 3:01Shot by Ekblad, saved by Mrazek
  57. P3 3:44Shot by Ericsson, saved by Luongo
  58. P3 3:51Shot by Green, saved by Luongo
  59. P3 5:07Shot by Demers, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 6:02Shot by Ouellet, saved by Luongo
  61. P3 7:37Shot by Helm, saved by Luongo
  62. P3 8:45Shot by Green, saved by Luongo
  63. P3 11:52Shot by Ericsson, saved by Luongo
  64. P3 13:21Shot by Helm, saved by Luongo
  65. P3 13:35Shot by Malgin, saved by Mrazek
  66. P3 14:37Demers: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Demers, Harper, McKegg, Matheson · DET Ericsson, Abdelkader, Tatar, Marchenko, Larkin

  67. P3 15:11Shot by Green, saved by Luongo4v5
  68. P3 17:36Shot by Barkov, saved by Mrazek
  69. P3 17:38Goal by Barkov (Marchessault, Jagr)+3 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Petrovic, Pysyk, Marchessault, Barkov · DET Green, Abdelkader, Sheahan, DeKeyser, Larkin

  70. P3 17:59Shot by Sheahan, saved by Luongo
  71. P3 18:37Goal by Marchessault, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Yandle, Marchessault, Barkov, Ekblad · DET Zetterberg, Vanek, Green, Helm, Nyquist, Larkin

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final