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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 21, 2016·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Nashville Predators 3, Detroit Red Wings 5

Away

Nashville Predators

3

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 75% of the time.

DET winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:00Shot by Smith, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 1:19Shot by Fisher, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 1:40Shot by Nyquist, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 2:00Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 2:17Shot by Ericsson, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 2:39Shot by Glendening, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 3:26Shot by Marchenko, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 3:28Shot by Nyquist, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 4:05Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 4:35Shot by Josi, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 5:40Shot by Ekholm, saved by Mrazek
  13. P1 6:21Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 6:38Shot by Helm, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 6:43Shot by Sproul, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 6:53Wilson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Green, Tatar, Sheahan, DeKeyser · NSH Fisher, Subban, Wilson, Josi, Arvidsson

  17. P1 8:59Shot by Marchenko, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 9:22Shot by Johansen, saved by Mrazek
  19. P1 9:24Shot by Neal, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 9:35Shot by Johansen, saved by Mrazek
  21. P1 10:07Shot by Neal, saved by Mrazek
  22. P1 10:20Shot by Neal, saved by Mrazek
  23. P1 13:15Shot by Smith, saved by Mrazek
  24. P1 13:45Shot by Weber, saved by Mrazek
  25. P1 14:25Shot by Vanek, saved by Rinne
  26. P1 14:34Shot by Helm, saved by Rinne
  27. P1 16:39Shot by Sheahan, saved by Rinne
  28. P1 16:51Shot by Tatar, saved by Rinne
  29. P1 17:22Shot by Ellis, saved by Mrazek
  30. P1 17:53Shot by Johansen, saved by Mrazek
  31. P1 18:23Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Mrazek
  32. P1 18:34Shot by Neal, saved by Mrazek
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:33Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 1:21Shot by Smith, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 2:24Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Mrazek
  38. P2 3:17Shot by Ott, saved by Rinne
  39. P2 3:30Shot by Ott, saved by Rinne
  40. P2 3:12Shot by Miller, saved by Rinne
  41. P2 3:56Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 4:26Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 5:12Forsberg: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Smith, Tatar, Sheahan, Sproul · NSH Ribeiro, Subban, Josi, Smith, Forsberg

  44. P2 5:16Shot by Sproul, saved by Rinne5v4
  45. P2 5:17Goal by Abdelkader (Sproul, Nyquist)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Helm, Nyquist, Sproul, Larkin · NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Sissons

  46. P2 7:49Shot by Glendening, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 8:14Shot by Glendening, saved by Rinne
  48. P2 8:17Arvidsson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Smith, Sproul, Glendening, Larkin · NSH Fisher, Wilson, Ellis, Ekholm, Arvidsson

  49. P2 10:09Shot by Vanek, saved by Rinne5v4
  50. P2 11:07Shot by Glendening, saved by Rinne5v4
  51. P2 11:31Shot by Fisher, saved by Mrazek
  52. P2 12:03Shot by Sissons, saved by Mrazek
  53. P2 12:17Shot by Nyquist, saved by Rinne
  54. P2 12:33Tatar: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Vanek, Green, Helm, Nyquist, DeKeyser · NSH Fisher, Neal, Josi, Ekholm, Forsberg

  55. P2 12:43Shot by Glendening, saved by Rinne4v5
  56. P2 13:23DeKeyser: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Helm, Marchenko, DeKeyser · NSH Fisher, Neal, Josi, Ekholm, Forsberg

  57. P2 13:54Shot by Subban, saved by Mrazek3v5
  58. P2 14:04Shot by Josi, saved by Mrazek3v5
  59. P2 14:13Goal by Subban (Josi)3v5+26 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Marchenko · NSH Fisher, Neal, Subban, Josi, Forsberg

  60. P2 14:29Shot by Ellis, saved by Mrazek4v5
  61. P2 14:31Goal by Ribeiro (Ellis, Arvidsson)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Miller, Green, Smith, Glendening · NSH Ribeiro, Wilson, Ellis, Ekholm, Arvidsson

  62. P2 16:10Forsberg: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Green, Tatar, Sheahan, DeKeyser, Larkin · NSH Ribeiro, Subban, Wilson, Josi, Jarnkrok

  63. P2 16:50Shot by Vanek, saved by Rinne5v4
  64. P2 17:49Shot by Nyquist, saved by Rinne5v4
  65. P2 19:14Shot by Glendening, saved by Rinne
  66. P2 19:20Goal by Miller (Green)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Miller, Green, Helm, Glendening · NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Subban, Josi, Forsberg

  67. P2 19:52Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Rinne
  68. P2 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Period start
  70. P3 0:20Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  71. P3 1:10Goal by Tatar (Marchenko, Ericsson)+31 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Tatar, Sheahan, Marchenko · NSH Fisher, Subban, Wilson, Josi, Arvidsson

  72. P3 1:37Shot by Forsberg, saved by Mrazek
  73. P3 2:31Weber: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Abdelkader, Smith, Sproul, Larkin · NSH Carle, Neal, Weber, Jarnkrok, Fiala

  74. P3 2:31Larkin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Abdelkader, Smith, Sproul, Larkin · NSH Carle, Neal, Weber, Jarnkrok, Fiala

  75. P3 2:47Ericsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Vanek, Helm, Nyquist, Marchenko · NSH Fisher, Wilson, Ellis, Ekholm, Arvidsson

  76. P3 6:11Shot by Fisher, saved by Mrazek
  77. P3 6:48Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Mrazek
  78. P3 7:04Shot by Ott, saved by Rinne
  79. P3 8:44Shot by Nyquist, saved by Rinne
  80. P3 8:52Shot by Smith, saved by Rinne
  81. P3 9:17Shot by Subban, saved by Mrazek
  82. P3 11:27Goal by Nyquist, unassisted+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Vanek, Helm, Nyquist, Marchenko · NSH Ribeiro, Carle, Neal, Weber, Forsberg

  83. P3 12:06Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Mrazek
  84. P3 12:26Shot by Neal, saved by Mrazek
  85. P3 13:06Shot by Nielsen, saved by Rinne
  86. P3 13:10Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  87. P3 13:33Subban: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Abdelkader, DeKeyser, Larkin · NSH Ribeiro, Subban, Josi, Forsberg, Sissons

  88. P3 13:33Abdelkader: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Abdelkader, DeKeyser, Larkin · NSH Ribeiro, Subban, Josi, Forsberg, Sissons

  89. P3 14:11Shot by Ellis, saved by Mrazek4v4
  90. P3 14:44Smith: Holding (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DET Helm, Smith, Sproul, Glendening · NSH Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Fiala

  91. P3 15:03Shot by Neal, saved by Mrazek3v4
  92. P3 15:14Goal by Fisher (Josi, Forsberg)3v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Marchenko, DeKeyser · NSH Fisher, Neal, Josi, Forsberg

  93. P3 17:58Jarnkrok: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Miller, Helm, Marchenko, DeKeyser · NSH Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Fiala

  94. P3 17:58Neal: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Miller, Helm, Marchenko, DeKeyser · NSH Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Fiala

  95. P3 19:38Goal by Helm (Glendening, Zetterberg)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Helm, Marchenko, Glendening, DeKeyser · NSH Ribeiro, Subban, Josi, Arvidsson

  96. P3 19:38Ribeiro: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Helm, Marchenko, Glendening, DeKeyser · NSH Ribeiro, Subban, Josi, Arvidsson

  97. P3 0:00Period end
  98. P3 0:00Final