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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 22, 2016·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Colorado Avalanche 2, Florida Panthers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 77% of the time.

FLA winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:15Shot by Duchene, saved by Luongo
  3. P1 1:16Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Luongo
  4. P1 1:30Shot by Soderberg, saved by Luongo
  5. P1 1:55Shot by Ekblad, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 2:23Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Luongo
  7. P1 5:08Shot by Duchene, saved by Luongo
  8. P1 6:30Shot by Harper, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 6:35Shot by Demers, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 7:20Demers: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: FLA Demers, Smith, Trocheck, Rau, Matheson · COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Duchene, Gelinas, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  11. P1 13:25Shot by Sceviour, saved by Varlamov5v4
  12. P1 11:38Shot by Yandle, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 7:38Goal by Comeau (Barrie, Duchene)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Yandle, Sceviour, Ekblad · COL Iginla, Comeau, Soderberg, Duchene, Barrie

  14. P1 8:25Shot by Smith, saved by Luongo
  15. P1 9:05Shot by Marchessault, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 12:40Martinsen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Sceviour, Petrovic, Pysyk, McCann, Malgin · COL Comeau, Colborne, Wiercioch, Barrie, Martinsen

  17. P1 11:29Shot by Johnson, saved by Luongo
  18. P1 9:58Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luongo
  19. P1 13:34Shot by Trocheck, saved by Varlamov5v4
  20. P1 16:41Shot by Barkov, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 16:42Shot by Jagr, saved by Varlamov
  22. P1 19:38Shot by Malgin, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 13:36Shot by Bourque, saved by Luongo5v4
  24. P1 19:41Shot by Yandle, saved by Varlamov
  25. P1 16:11Shot by Duchene, saved by Luongo
  26. P1 19:49Shot by Ekblad, saved by Varlamov
  27. P1 16:43Comeau: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Yandle, Marchessault, Barkov, Ekblad · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Colborne, Zadorov, Martinsen

  28. P1 19:48Shot by McCann, saved by Varlamov
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:41Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Luongo
  32. P2 0:58Iginla: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Yandle, Rau, Marchessault, Barkov, Ekblad · COL Iginla, Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov

  33. P2 1:20Shot by Marchessault, saved by Varlamov5v4
  34. P2 1:30Goal by Ekblad (Jagr, Marchessault)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Yandle, Marchessault, Barkov, Ekblad · COL Johnson, Smith, Bourque, Zadorov

  35. P2 2:19Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Luongo
  36. P2 2:24Shot by Landeskog, saved by Luongo
  37. P2 3:07Shot by Rau, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 3:38Shot by Jagr, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 4:58Shot by Colborne, saved by Luongo
  40. P2 4:59Shot by Colborne, saved by Luongo
  41. P2 5:18Shot by McLeod, saved by Luongo
  42. P2 5:53Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 7:06Shot by Marchessault, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 8:32Malgin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Sceviour, Petrovic, Pysyk, McCann, Malgin · COL Comeau, Colborne, Wiercioch, Zadorov, Martinsen

  45. P2 9:40Shot by Trocheck, saved by Varlamov4v5
  46. P2 10:03Shot by Sceviour, saved by Varlamov4v5
  47. P2 10:57Shot by Sceviour, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 12:21Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luongo
  49. P2 13:12Shot by Matheson, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 13:18Shot by Demers, saved by Varlamov
  51. P2 13:37Shot by McKegg, saved by Varlamov
  52. P2 14:17Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Luongo
  53. P2 16:01Shot by Ekblad, saved by Varlamov
  54. P2 16:16Shot by Trocheck, saved by Varlamov
  55. P2 16:45Shot by Soderberg, saved by Luongo
  56. P2 17:02Goal by Harper (McKegg, MacKenzie)+28 pts WP

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Demers, Harper, McKegg, Matheson · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Duchene, Grigorenko, Zadorov

  57. P2 17:30Shot by Marchessault, saved by Varlamov
  58. P2 19:23Zadorov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Yandle, Harper, McKegg, Ekblad · COL Soderberg, Duchene, Barrie, Grigorenko, Zadorov

  59. P2 19:31Shot by Yandle, saved by Varlamov5v4
  60. P2 19:45Shot by Comeau, saved by Luongo5v4
  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 3:00Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 4:30Goal by Marchessault, unassisted+10 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Demers, Marchessault, Matheson, Barkov · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Colborne, Smith, Zadorov

  65. P3 5:10Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luongo
  66. P3 5:21Goal by Harper (Petrovic)+3 pts WP

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Harper, McKegg, Petrovic, Pysyk · COL Iginla, Johnson, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  67. P3 5:35Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Luongo
  68. P3 5:37Goal by Duchene (Wiercioch, Soderberg)+3 pts WP

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Yandle, Harper, McKegg, Ekblad · COL Beauchemin, Soderberg, Wiercioch, Duchene, Grigorenko

  69. P3 6:22Shot by Martinsen, saved by Luongo
  70. P3 6:56Goal by Trocheck, unassisted+3 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Smith, Pysyk, Trocheck, Matheson, McCann · COL Iginla, Johnson, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  71. P3 8:39Martinsen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Yandle, Smith, Barkov, Ekblad, McCann · COL Comeau, Johnson, Colborne, Zadorov, Martinsen

  72. P3 8:56Shot by Sceviour, saved by Varlamov5v4
  73. P3 10:18Shot by Ekblad, saved by Varlamov5v4
  74. P3 11:02Shot by McCann, saved by Varlamov
  75. P3 13:41Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Luongo
  76. P3 15:13Trocheck: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Smith, Petrovic, Pysyk, Trocheck, Rau · COL Iginla, Johnson, Gelinas, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  77. P3 15:12Shot by Johnson, saved by Luongo
  78. P3 17:04Shot by Sceviour, saved by Varlamov4v5
  79. P3 17:38Wiercioch: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Demers, Harper, McKegg, Matheson · COL Johnson, Colborne, Wiercioch, Landeskog, Grigorenko

  80. P3 17:38Harper: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Demers, Harper, McKegg, Matheson · COL Johnson, Colborne, Wiercioch, Landeskog, Grigorenko

  81. P3 17:59Shot by Duchene, saved by Luongo
  82. P3 18:37Gelinas: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Sceviour, Petrovic, Pysyk, McCann, Malgin · COL Beauchemin, McLeod, Smith, Gelinas, Bourque

  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final