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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 25, 2016·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Florida Panthers 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 66% of the time.

PIT winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Smith–Trocheck–RauMacKenzie–Harper–McKeggJagr–Marchessault–BarkovSceviour–McCann–MalginMacKenzie–Harper–MarchessaultYandle–EkbladPetrovic–PysykDemers–MathesonDemers–Petrovic
Crosby–Hornqvist–Wilson4:460.02–0.342:210.14–0.002:090.06–0.001:370.05–0.000:390.00–0.007:220.22–0.001:360.05–0.084:050.02–0.26
Kunitz–Malkin–Rust1:160.05–0.032:220.00–0.002:190.00–0.033:550.05–0.032:250.00–0.000:320.04–0.03
Kessel–Bonino–Hagelin2:540.00–0.142:170.00–0.010:500.02–0.050:530.00–0.001:590.00–0.043:170.02–0.091:420.00–0.05
Cullen–Fehr–Kuhnhackl3:050.18–0.002:410.00–0.002:070.04–0.010:590.00–0.002:510.13–0.00
Kunitz–Malkin–Kessel1:550.02–0.052:040.11–0.000:450.06–0.113:150.02–0.050:430.00–0.00
Bonino–Hagelin–Rust0:400.06–0.000:420.06–0.000:340.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:560.00–0.000:350.06–0.00
Cullen–Crosby–Hornqvist1:150.00–0.010:320.00–0.010:370.00–0.00
Cole–Schultz2:050.00–0.073:120.12–0.002:020.00–0.001:210.12–0.003:300.00–0.002:380.00–0.01
Cole–Dumoulin4:140.02–0.340:370.00–0.001:340.05–0.062:380.06–0.013:010.07–0.052:180.00–0.36
Daley–Maatta1:330.00–0.084:150.24–0.083:350.05–0.001:360.02–0.082:100.20–0.03
Warsofsky–Maatta1:480.02–0.062:450.00–0.000:390.04–0.002:340.00–0.062:000.00–0.000:590.06–0.00
Daley–Dumoulin0:480.06–0.001:550.00–0.100:460.00–0.002:580.00–0.100:380.00–0.000:350.06–0.00
Schultz–Warsofsky3:100.11–0.020:420.06–0.003:180.06–0.021:070.00–0.00
Daley–Cole0:320.00–0.000:560.01–0.000:490.00–0.000:430.01–0.011:000.00–0.090:390.00–0.00
Schultz–Maatta1:400.00–0.001:590.00–0.00
Cole–Warsofsky0:530.05–0.000:430.05–0.00
Cole–Maatta0:330.00–0.00
Schultz–Dumoulin0:540.10–0.00
Warsofsky–Dumoulin0:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndWilson FHornqvist FCrosby FMalkin FKunitz FRust FBonino FHagelin FKessel FCullen FFehr FKuhnhackl FSchultz DCole DDaley DDumoulin DMaatta DWarsofsky DFleury GSmith FTrocheck FRau FJagr FBarkov FMarchessault FMacKenzie FHarper FMcKegg FMcCann FSceviour FMalgin FMatheson DDemers DYandle DEkblad DPetrovic DPysyk DReimer G
PITFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Aaron EkbladFLA2225:141:092:4731
Keith YandleFLA2224:341:072:4731
Ian ColePIT3323:570:441:2222
Olli MaattaPIT2921:470:451:2727
Trevor DaleyPIT2720:440:461:5826
Vincent TrocheckFLA2320:220:531:2522
Jason DemersFLA2219:140:521:4340
Justin SchultzPIT2318:410:491:4540
Reilly SmithFLA2318:320:481:2532
Brian DumoulinPIT2718:270:411:1111
Sidney CrosbyPIT2518:020:431:2932
Mike MathesonFLA2017:340:531:3440
Evgeni MalkinPIT2617:110:401:0841
Alexander PetrovicFLA1817:050:571:3612
Patric HornqvistPIT2617:020:391:0852
Mark PysykFLA1916:410:531:1812
Jonathan MarchessaultFLA2016:120:491:1150
Phil KesselPIT2316:050:421:1142
Chris KunitzPIT2316:040:421:0241
Shane HarperFLA1815:570:531:4001
Nick BoninoPIT2215:430:431:2426
Scott WilsonPIT2215:240:421:0842
David WarsofskyPIT2215:140:421:0232
Aleksander BarkovFLA2015:110:461:0260
Kyle RauFLA1815:100:511:1311
Jaromir JagrFLA2014:570:451:1640
Derek MacKenzieFLA1814:540:501:3202
Carl HagelinPIT2114:150:411:0925
Colton SceviourFLA1713:500:491:4021
Greg McKeggFLA1813:400:461:4001
Matt CullenPIT2113:310:390:5713
Eric FehrPIT1611:270:431:0803
Bryan RustPIT1811:240:381:0221
Denis MalginFLA119:420:531:1600
Jared McCannFLA119:280:521:2300
Tom KuhnhacklPIT138:420:401:0401