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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 27, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Florida Panthers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Florida Panthers

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.

TOR winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:43Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Luongo
  3. P1 3:09Shot by Demers, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 3:33Shot by Matheson, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 3:49Shot by Barkov, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 3:56Shot by Matheson, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 4:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Luongo
  8. P1 5:44Shot by Ekblad, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 5:57Shot by Hyman, saved by Luongo
  10. P1 6:55Goal by Marchessault (Jagr)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · FLA Jagr, Demers, Marchessault, Matheson, Barkov

  11. P1 7:31Shot by Marchessault, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 9:46Shot by McKegg, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 9:50Shot by Yandle, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 11:33Shot by Carrick, saved by Luongo
  15. P1 12:02Shot by Carrick, saved by Luongo
  16. P1 12:32Shot by Matthews, saved by Luongo
  17. P1 16:18Shot by Sceviour, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 16:29Shot by Polak, saved by Luongo
  19. P1 16:58Shot by Smith, saved by Luongo
  20. P1 18:36Shot by Marner, saved by Luongo
  21. P1 18:56Goal by Bozak (Zaitsev, Marner)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Marner, Zaitsev · FLA Jagr, Petrovic, Rau, Matheson, Barkov

  22. P1 18:56Matheson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Marner, Zaitsev · FLA Jagr, Petrovic, Rau, Matheson, Barkov

  23. P1 18:56van Riemsdyk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Marner, Zaitsev · FLA Jagr, Petrovic, Rau, Matheson, Barkov

  24. P1 19:10Shot by Ekblad, saved by Andersen4v4
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:39Shot by Carrick, saved by Luongo4v4
  28. P2 1:05Shot by Kadri, saved by Luongo
  29. P2 1:45Nylander: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kadri, Marincin, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · FLA Jagr, Petrovic, Pysyk, Marchessault, Barkov

  30. P2 2:26Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen4v5
  31. P2 3:35Goal by Marchessault (Yandle, Luongo)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Hyman, Rielly, Zaitsev · FLA Yandle, Sceviour, Marchessault, Ekblad, Malgin

  32. P2 7:16Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Luongo
  33. P2 7:26Nylander: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marner · FLA Demers, Smith, Matheson, McCann, Malgin

  34. P2 7:39Shot by Ekblad, saved by Andersen4v5
  35. P2 7:46Shot by Hyman, saved by Luongo4v5
  36. P2 8:15Shot by Jagr, saved by Andersen4v5
  37. P2 9:29Shot by Sceviour, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 9:39Shot by Trocheck, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 9:58Shot by Demers, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 10:26Goal by van Riemsdyk (Marner)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Carrick, Marner · FLA MacKenzie, Demers, Harper, McKegg, Pysyk

  41. P2 11:09Shot by Harper, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 11:36Shot by McCann, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 11:42Shot by Yandle, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 12:11Shot by Matthews, saved by Luongo
  45. P2 14:29Shot by Matthews, saved by Luongo
  46. P2 15:23Shot by Nylander, saved by Luongo
  47. P2 16:03Goal by Bozak (Marner, Kadri)+28 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Bozak, Kadri, Carrick, Marner, Zaitsev · FLA Demers, Smith, Trocheck, Rau, Matheson

  48. P2 17:16Shot by Marchessault, saved by Andersen
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:04Marner: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Marner, Zaitsev · FLA Demers, Smith, Trocheck, Rau, Matheson

  52. P3 3:01Shot by Ekblad, saved by Andersen4v5
  53. P3 4:09Shot by Matheson, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 4:33Shot by McKegg, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 4:47Shot by Yandle, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 5:22Shot by Yandle, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 6:02Shot by McCann, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 7:13Shot by Rielly, saved by Luongo
  59. P3 9:56Shot by Jagr, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 10:21Shot by Brown, saved by Luongo
  61. P3 11:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Luongo
  62. P3 12:13Shot by Trocheck, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 12:40Sceviour: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: TOR Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · FLA Sceviour, Smith, Petrovic, Pysyk, Trocheck

  64. P3 13:08Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Luongo5v4
  65. P3 13:21Shot by Rielly, saved by Luongo5v4
  66. P3 13:40Shot by Gardiner, saved by Luongo5v4
  67. P3 16:29Shot by Carrick, saved by Luongo5v4
  68. P3 16:45Shot by Marner, saved by Luongo
  69. P3 17:38Shot by Jagr, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 18:16Shot by Hyman, saved by Luongo
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final