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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 29, 2016·Centre Bell, Montreal

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Montréal Canadiens 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.

MTL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Shot by Weber, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:56Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 0:58Shot by Emelin, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 2:38Shot by Smith, saved by Price
  6. P1 4:21Shot by Martin, saved by Price
  7. P1 4:29Shot by Marincin, saved by Price
  8. P1 4:52Shot by Griffith, saved by Price
  9. P1 5:08Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 7:20Petry: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Mitchell, Petry, Danault, Flynn · TOR Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews

  11. P1 7:28Shot by Marner, saved by Price4v5
  12. P1 8:32Shot by Mitchell, saved by Andersen4v5
  13. P1 9:47Shot by Hyman, saved by Price
  14. P1 10:21Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 10:43Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Price
  16. P1 13:04Shot by Hyman, saved by Price
  17. P1 13:22Shot by Danault, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 14:04Shot by Rielly, saved by Price
  19. P1 14:23Shot by Petry, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 15:38Emelin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Weber, Radulov, Emelin, Gallagher, Galchenyuk · TOR Hyman, Rielly, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews

  21. P1 16:06Shot by Bozak, saved by Price4v5
  22. P1 16:08Shot by Carrick, saved by Price4v5
  23. P1 18:05Shot by Petry, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 19:17Shot by Shaw, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 2:06Hyman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Weber, Emelin, Mitchell, Byron, Lehkonen · TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Hyman, Carrick, Brown

  28. P2 2:49Shot by Weber, saved by Andersen5v4
  29. P2 3:15Shot by Weber, saved by Andersen5v4
  30. P2 4:09Shot by Markov, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 5:05Shot by Marner, saved by Price
  32. P2 5:48Shot by Mitchell, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 6:03Shot by Kadri, saved by Price
  34. P2 6:11Goal by Galchenyuk (Radulov, Beaulieu)+23 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Radulov, Pateryn, Gallagher, Beaulieu, Galchenyuk · TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Hyman, Rielly, Matthews

  35. P2 8:14Martin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Desharnais, Pacioretty, Pateryn, Shaw, Beaulieu · TOR Polak, Gardiner, Martin, Smith, Griffith

  36. P2 8:14Pacioretty: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Desharnais, Pacioretty, Pateryn, Shaw, Beaulieu · TOR Polak, Gardiner, Martin, Smith, Griffith

  37. P2 10:07Shot by Nylander, saved by Price4v4
  38. P2 10:48Shot by Nylander, saved by Price
  39. P2 11:31Shot by Bozak, saved by Price
  40. P2 12:40Shot by Marincin, saved by Price
  41. P2 12:51Shot by Griffith, saved by Price
  42. P2 14:09Shot by Kadri, saved by Price
  43. P2 14:12Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Price
  44. P2 15:33Shot by Gallagher, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 16:00Shot by Smith, saved by Price
  46. P2 19:17Polak: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Weber, Emelin, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Shaw · TOR Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews

  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:21Shot by Gallagher, saved by Andersen
  50. P3 1:39Shot by Kadri, saved by Price
  51. P3 1:52Shot by Flynn, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 3:04Shot by Weber, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 3:28Shot by Nylander, saved by Price
  54. P3 3:51Shot by Markov, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 4:05Radulov: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MTL Radulov, Pateryn, Gallagher, Beaulieu, Galchenyuk · TOR Martin, Smith, Bozak, Rielly, Carrick, Brown

  56. P3 4:18Goal by Kadri (Nylander, Gardiner)4v5+32 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Weber, Emelin, Mitchell, Byron · TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Nylander, Matthews

  57. P3 4:30Shot by Shaw, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 4:45Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 5:19Shot by Carrick, saved by Price
  60. P3 5:21Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Price
  61. P3 5:58Mitchell: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Weber, Emelin, Mitchell, Danault, Flynn · TOR Polak, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Griffith

  62. P3 5:58Kadri: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MTL Weber, Emelin, Mitchell, Danault, Flynn · TOR Polak, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Griffith

  63. P3 6:08Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Price4v4
  64. P3 6:35Shot by Carrick, saved by Price4v4
  65. P3 6:53Carrick: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MTL Markov, Plekanec, Petry, Pacioretty · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Carrick

  66. P3 7:04Shot by Weber, saved by Andersen4v3
  67. P3 7:24Goal by Weber (Radulov, Galchenyuk)4v3+28 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Weber, Radulov, Gallagher, Galchenyuk · TOR Polak, Smith, Marincin

  68. P3 8:58Emelin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Weber, Emelin, Mitchell, Danault, Flynn · TOR Rielly, Carrick, Brown, Nylander, Matthews

  69. P3 9:55Shot by Matthews, saved by Price4v5
  70. P3 10:08Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Price4v5
  71. P3 10:10Shot by Bozak, saved by Price4v5
  72. P3 11:31Shot by Gallagher, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 12:27Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 12:45Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Andersen
  75. P3 13:32Shot by Shaw, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 13:52Shot by Plekanec, saved by Andersen
  77. P3 14:24Shot by Danault, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 15:28Shot by Matthews, saved by Price
  79. P3 16:03Shot by Petry, saved by Andersen
  80. P3 16:34Shot by Smith, saved by Price
  81. P3 15:58Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Price
  82. P3 19:00Shot by Rielly, saved by Price5v6
  83. P3 19:28Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Price5v6
  84. P3 19:26Shot by Rielly, saved by Price5v6
  85. P3 19:29Shot by Bozak, saved by Price5v6
  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final