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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 1, 2016·Pepsi Center, Denver

Nashville Predators 5, Colorado Avalanche 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 63% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:33Goal by Smith (Ribeiro, Wilson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Bourque, Gelinas · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Wilson, Smith, Irwin

  3. P1 1:47Shot by Watson, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 2:26Shot by Johansen, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 4:08Shot by Martinsen, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 4:38Shot by Martinsen, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 5:20Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 5:35Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 5:35Goal by Iginla (Duchene, Landeskog)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog · NSH Fisher, Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson

  10. P1 6:00Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 7:07Shot by Neal, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 7:54Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 8:19Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 9:33Colborne: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Mitchell, Johnson, Colborne, Zadorov, Martinsen · NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Weber, Wilson, Irwin

  15. P1 10:42Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne4v5
  16. P1 10:59Shot by Subban, saved by Varlamov4v5
  17. P1 12:08Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 14:41Shot by Rantanen, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 14:48Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 15:00Watson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Wiercioch, Barrie, Grigorenko, MacKinnon, Rantanen · NSH Bass, Josi, Ellis, Watson, Sissons

  21. P1 15:22Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Rinne5v4
  22. P1 15:56Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne5v4
  23. P1 16:04Shot by Iginla, saved by Rinne5v4
  24. P1 16:54Shot by Bourque, saved by Rinne5v4
  25. P1 17:47Goal by Irwin (Neal, Forsberg)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Bourque, Johnson, Zadorov · NSH Neal, Weber, Irwin, Johansen, Forsberg

  26. P1 18:16Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  27. P1 18:44Shot by Fisher, saved by Varlamov
  28. P1 19:10Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov
  29. P1 19:58Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:27Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 1:37Gelinas: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Bourque, Gelinas · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Wilson, Smith, Irwin

  34. P2 2:07Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov4v5
  35. P2 2:14Shot by Subban, saved by Varlamov4v5
  36. P2 2:27Shot by Neal, saved by Varlamov4v5
  37. P2 3:09Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov4v5
  38. P2 3:07Shot by Neal, saved by Varlamov4v5
  39. P2 3:35Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne4v5
  40. P2 3:44Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 4:40Shot by Irwin, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 5:38Shot by Johansen, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 5:44Shot by Neal, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 7:51Shot by Mitchell, saved by Rinne
  45. P2 8:38Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 9:11Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 10:01Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 10:53Soderberg: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Soderberg, Colborne, Gelinas, Martinsen · NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Weber, Wilson, Irwin, Johansen

  49. P2 10:33Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 11:47Goal by Johansen (Fisher, Neal)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Duchene, Zadorov, Martinsen · NSH Fisher, Neal, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg

  51. P2 11:51Mitchell: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Bourque, Colborne, Barrie · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Watson, Arvidsson

  52. P2 13:35Shot by Neal, saved by Varlamov4v5
  53. P2 14:20Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Varlamov
  54. P2 14:20Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  55. P2 14:30Smith: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Gelinas, Grigorenko, MacKinnon, Rantanen · NSH Ribeiro, Subban, Wilson, Ekholm, Smith

  56. P2 15:24Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne5v4
  57. P2 15:31Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne5v4
  58. P2 16:40Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  59. P2 16:52Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov
  60. P2 18:25Shot by Rantanen, saved by Rinne
  61. P2 19:12Shot by Watson, saved by Varlamov
  62. P2 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 1:08Landeskog: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Johnson, Wiercioch, Duchene, Landeskog · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Watson, Arvidsson

  65. P3 1:08Watson: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Iginla, Johnson, Wiercioch, Duchene, Landeskog · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Watson, Arvidsson

  66. P3 3:16Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 4:28Ekholm: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Mitchell, Colborne, Wiercioch, Barrie, Martinsen · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Sissons, Arvidsson

  68. P3 6:45Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 7:13Comeau: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Gelinas, Martinsen · NSH Ribeiro, Wilson, Josi, Ellis, Smith

  70. P3 8:14Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov4v5
  71. P3 8:55Shot by Colborne, saved by Rinne4v5
  72. P3 9:26Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  73. P3 9:28Shot by Martinsen, saved by Rinne
  74. P3 9:41Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  75. P3 10:26Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov
  76. P3 12:09Goal by Josi (Johansen, Forsberg)+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Colborne, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · NSH Neal, Weber, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg

  77. P3 13:18Goal by Smith, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Wiercioch, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog · NSH Ribeiro, Subban, Wilson, Ekholm, Smith

  78. P3 13:48Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov
  79. P3 15:44Neal: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Bourque, Wiercioch, Landeskog · NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Weber, Wilson, Irwin

  80. P3 16:50Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne5v4
  81. P3 18:29Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final