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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 2, 2016·Honda Center, Anaheim

Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Anaheim Ducks 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 70% of the time.

ANA winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Cogliano, saved by Murray
  3. P1 1:22Shot by Kesler, saved by Murray
  4. P1 1:42Shot by Kase, saved by Murray
  5. P1 1:55Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Gibson
  6. P1 2:51Shot by Sgarbossa, saved by Murray
  7. P1 3:39Shot by Bieksa, saved by Murray
  8. P1 7:41Goal by Malkin (Kessel, Kunitz)+14 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Vermette, Bieksa, Perry, Rakell, Theodore · PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Dumoulin

  9. P1 8:44Shot by Malkin, saved by Gibson
  10. P1 10:24Goal by Cullen (Sestito, Fehr)+14 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Perry, Fowler, Garbutt, Manson, Rakell · PIT Cullen, Daley, Fehr, Sestito, Maatta

  11. P1 11:43Shot by Daley, saved by Gibson
  12. P1 11:59Shot by Rakell, saved by Murray
  13. P1 12:51Shot by Manson, saved by Murray
  14. P1 14:45Shot by Fowler, saved by Murray6v5
  15. P1 14:48Kunitz: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: ANA Vermette, Bieksa, Kesler, Perry, Fowler, Rakell · PIT Daley, Kunitz, Malkin, Kessel, Maatta

  16. P1 15:49Goal by Fowler (Vatanen, Kesler)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Kesler, Perry, Vatanen, Fowler, Rakell · PIT Letang, Bonino, Cole, Hagelin

  17. P1 16:53Shot by Kesler, saved by Murray
  18. P1 16:58Shot by Stoner, saved by Murray
  19. P1 17:01Shot by Stoner, saved by Murray
  20. P1 18:14Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Gibson
  21. P1 18:47Shot by Kesler, saved by Murray
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:35Shot by Hagelin, saved by Gibson5v6
  25. P2 0:39Vermette: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: ANA Vermette, Perry, Fowler, Manson, Rakell · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Hagelin, Dumoulin

  26. P2 0:30Shot by Hagelin, saved by Gibson
  27. P2 0:38Shot by Crosby, saved by Gibson5v6
  28. P2 1:03Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Murray4v5
  29. P2 0:31Shot by Letang, saved by Gibson
  30. P2 2:20Shot by Letang, saved by Gibson4v5
  31. P2 3:37Shot by Rakell, saved by Murray
  32. P2 5:39Shot by Bonino, saved by Gibson
  33. P2 5:46Shot by Rust, saved by Gibson
  34. P2 6:24Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Gibson
  35. P2 6:53Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Gibson
  36. P2 7:22Shot by Kessel, saved by Gibson
  37. P2 7:25Shot by Crosby, saved by Gibson
  38. P2 7:42Shot by Letang, saved by Gibson
  39. P2 8:16Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Gibson
  40. P2 9:04Shot by Rust, saved by Gibson
  41. P2 9:39Sestito: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: ANA Stoner, Boll, Vatanen, Sgarbossa, Cramarossa · PIT Cullen, Daley, Sestito, Rust, Maatta

  42. P2 9:39Boll: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: ANA Stoner, Boll, Vatanen, Sgarbossa, Cramarossa · PIT Cullen, Daley, Sestito, Rust, Maatta

  43. P2 9:39Sestito: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: ANA Stoner, Boll, Vatanen, Sgarbossa, Cramarossa · PIT Cullen, Daley, Sestito, Rust, Maatta

  44. P2 9:46Shot by Fowler, saved by Murray5v4
  45. P2 10:29Shot by Rakell, saved by Murray5v4
  46. P2 10:50Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Murray5v4
  47. P2 13:55Shot by Schultz, saved by Gibson
  48. P2 16:40Shot by Letang, saved by Gibson
  49. P2 16:42Goal by Rust (Bonino, Letang)+19 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Bieksa, Boll, Wagner, Cramarossa, Theodore · PIT Letang, Bonino, Dumoulin, Rust, Wilson

  50. P2 16:40Shot by Bonino, saved by Gibson
  51. P2 17:12Shot by Letang, saved by Gibson
  52. P2 17:20Shot by Daley, saved by Gibson
  53. P2 17:27Shot by Hagelin, saved by Gibson
  54. P2 19:05Malkin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Kesler, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Fowler, Manson · PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Schultz

  55. P2 19:05Cogliano: Embellishment (2 min)5v4

    On ice: ANA Kesler, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Fowler, Manson · PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Schultz

  56. P2 19:05Malkin: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: ANA Kesler, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Fowler, Manson · PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Schultz

  57. P2 19:48Shot by Kesler, saved by Murray5v4
  58. P2 19:55Shot by Perry, saved by Murray5v4
  59. P2 19:57Kesler: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: ANA Kesler, Perry, Vatanen, Fowler, Rakell · PIT Daley, Bonino, Hagelin, Maatta

  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:34Shot by Rakell, saved by Murray4v4
  63. P3 1:27Goal by Letang (Schultz)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Fowler, Wagner, Garbutt, Manson · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Kessel, Schultz

  64. P3 2:44Shot by Wilson, saved by Gibson
  65. P3 2:45Stoner: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: ANA Kesler, Stoner, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Vatanen · PIT Letang, Bonino, Dumoulin, Rust, Wilson

  66. P3 5:07Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Murray
  67. P3 5:12Shot by Sgarbossa, saved by Murray
  68. P3 5:19Shot by Wilson, saved by Gibson
  69. P3 5:40Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Gibson
  70. P3 6:06Shot by Cole, saved by Gibson
  71. P3 7:14Goal by Hornqvist (Crosby, Hagelin)+1 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Vermette, Bieksa, Sgarbossa, Theodore, Kase · PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Hagelin, Dumoulin

  72. P3 8:38Shot by Cramarossa, saved by Murray
  73. P3 10:21Shot by Kase, saved by Murray
  74. P3 11:19Shot by Hagelin, saved by Gibson
  75. P3 12:31Shot by Rakell, saved by Murray
  76. P3 13:33Shot by Vermette, saved by Murray
  77. P3 13:41Shot by Vermette, saved by Murray
  78. P3 14:03Vatanen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Vermette, Vatanen, Sgarbossa, Theodore, Kase · PIT Daley, Bonino, Rust, Wilson, Maatta

  79. P3 16:28Shot by Garbutt, saved by Murray
  80. P3 16:36Shot by Rakell, saved by Murray
  81. P3 18:18Shot by Garbutt, saved by Murray
  82. P3 18:50Shot by Manson, saved by Murray
  83. P3 18:56Shot by Wagner, saved by Murray
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final