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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 5, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Vancouver Canucks 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Away

Vancouver Canucks

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 87% of the time.

TOR winsVAN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Shot by Hutton, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 1:50Shot by Matthews, saved by Miller
  4. P1 2:38Shot by Dorsett, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 2:48Shot by Dorsett, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 3:40Shot by Brown, saved by Miller
  7. P1 6:37Shot by Brown, saved by Miller
  8. P1 7:13Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  9. P1 10:10Shot by Marner, saved by Miller
  10. P1 10:15Shot by Marner, saved by Miller
  11. P1 10:21Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
  12. P1 11:07Shot by Marner, saved by Miller
  13. P1 11:42Shot by Hyman, saved by Miller
  14. P1 11:51Shot by Matthews, saved by Miller
  15. P1 12:06Shot by Martin, saved by Miller
  16. P1 12:08Shot by Martin, saved by Miller
  17. P1 12:09Martin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Martin, Smith, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov · VAN Burrows, Sbisa, Larsen, Gaunce, Virtanen

  18. P1 12:09Gaunce: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Martin, Smith, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov · VAN Burrows, Sbisa, Larsen, Gaunce, Virtanen

  19. P1 12:20Goal by Kadri (Zaitsev, Rielly)4v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Zaitsev · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Gudbranson, Hutton

  20. P1 13:10Shot by Carrick, saved by Miller4v4
  21. P1 14:05van Riemsdyk: Interference (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Zaitsev · VAN Eriksson, Sutter, Tryamkin, Stecher

  22. P1 16:18Goal by Bozak (van Riemsdyk, Komarov)+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Zaitsev · VAN Hansen, Dorsett, Sutter, Gudbranson, Tryamkin

  23. P1 16:25Shot by Polak, saved by Miller
  24. P1 16:37Shot by Larsen, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 16:44Goal by Dorsett (Hansen, Sutter)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marner · VAN Hansen, Dorsett, Sutter, Sbisa, Larsen

  26. P1 17:59Shot by Hutton, saved by Andersen
  27. P1 18:11Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Andersen
  28. P1 19:36Shot by Matthews, saved by Miller
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:07Shot by Tryamkin, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 1:11Shot by Dorsett, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 3:36Shot by Hutton, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 4:23Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Miller
  35. P2 5:36Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  36. P2 7:28Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  37. P2 8:06Shot by Hyman, saved by Miller
  38. P2 8:13Shot by Sutter, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 7:57Shot by Granlund, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 8:14Shot by Granlund, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 8:16Shot by Granlund, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 10:21Shot by Tryamkin, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 10:53Shot by Brown, saved by Miller
  44. P2 11:48Polak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marner · VAN Eriksson, Sutter, Gudbranson, Granlund, Hutton

  45. P2 11:57Horvat: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Smith, Marincin, Hyman, Rielly · VAN Eriksson, Granlund, Hutton, Horvat, Stecher

  46. P2 12:44Shot by Sedin, saved by Andersen4v4
  47. P2 12:54Shot by Matthews, saved by Miller4v4
  48. P2 13:28Hansen: High sticking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Bozak, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev · VAN Hansen, Sutter, Sbisa, Stecher

  49. P2 14:50Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller5v4
  50. P2 14:57Shot by Gardiner, saved by Miller5v4
  51. P2 15:00Goal by Bozak (Marner, van Riemsdyk)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Carrick, Marner · VAN Eriksson, Sutter, Gudbranson, Hutton

  52. P2 15:45Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  53. P2 16:11Shot by Hansen, saved by Andersen
  54. P2 16:20Goal by Sedin (Larsen)+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hansen, Larsen, Tryamkin

  55. P2 16:44Shot by Carrick, saved by Miller6v5
  56. P2 16:46Hutton: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Bozak, Marincin, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews · VAN Dorsett, Gudbranson, Baertschi, Hutton, Horvat

  57. P2 18:44Shot by Matthews, saved by Miller5v4
  58. P2 19:32Shot by Sedin, saved by Andersen
  59. P2 19:55Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:16Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
  63. P3 0:16Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  64. P3 1:06Shot by Hyman, saved by Miller
  65. P3 1:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Miller
  66. P3 2:08Shot by Stecher, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 3:08Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 3:47Shot by Sedin, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 4:18Goal by Marner (Bozak, van Riemsdyk)+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marincin, Carrick, Marner · VAN Dorsett, Gudbranson, Baertschi, Hutton, Horvat

  70. P3 4:33Shot by Dorsett, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 5:04Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
  72. P3 6:13Goal by Soshnikov (Smith)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Martin, Smith, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov · VAN Dorsett, Gudbranson, Baertschi, Hutton, Horvat

  73. P3 6:42Goal by Sedin (Hansen, Stecher)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hansen, Sbisa, Stecher

  74. P3 6:42Kadri: Charging (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hansen, Sbisa, Stecher

  75. P3 6:42Kadri: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hansen, Sbisa, Stecher

  76. P3 6:42Hansen: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hansen, Sbisa, Stecher

  77. P3 6:42Hansen: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hansen, Sbisa, Stecher

  78. P3 6:42Hansen: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hansen, Sbisa, Stecher

  79. P3 6:42Kadri: Game misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hansen, Sbisa, Stecher

  80. P3 8:21Goal by Gardiner (Matthews, Nylander)4v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews · VAN Burrows, Hutton, Horvat, Stecher

  81. P3 8:54Shot by Komarov, saved by Miller4v5
  82. P3 9:27Shot by Baertschi, saved by Andersen4v5
  83. P3 11:25Shot by Marincin, saved by Miller4v5
  84. P3 11:27Komarov: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Polak, Komarov, Smith, Marincin · VAN Dorsett, Sbisa, Granlund, Horvat, Tryamkin

  85. P3 11:27Dorsett: Fighting (5 min)3v5

    On ice: TOR Polak, Komarov, Smith, Marincin · VAN Dorsett, Sbisa, Granlund, Horvat, Tryamkin

  86. P3 11:27Dorsett: Instigator (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Polak, Komarov, Smith, Marincin · VAN Dorsett, Sbisa, Granlund, Horvat, Tryamkin

  87. P3 11:27Dorsett: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Polak, Komarov, Smith, Marincin · VAN Dorsett, Sbisa, Granlund, Horvat, Tryamkin

  88. P3 11:34Burrows: Instigator (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · VAN Burrows, Sbisa, Horvat, Tryamkin

  89. P3 11:34Burrows: Fighting (5 min)4v3

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · VAN Burrows, Sbisa, Horvat, Tryamkin

  90. P3 11:34Burrows: Misconduct (10 min)4v3

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · VAN Burrows, Sbisa, Horvat, Tryamkin

  91. P3 11:34Rielly: Fighting (5 min)4v3

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · VAN Burrows, Sbisa, Horvat, Tryamkin

  92. P3 12:45Shot by Nylander, saved by Miller5v3
  93. P3 12:57Shot by Carrick, saved by Miller5v3
  94. P3 13:34Shot by Granlund, saved by Andersen5v4
  95. P3 14:52Stecher: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Martin, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov, Matthews · VAN Sutter, Baertschi, Gaunce, Hutton, Stecher

  96. P3 14:52Martin: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Martin, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov, Matthews · VAN Sutter, Baertschi, Gaunce, Hutton, Stecher

  97. P3 14:52Martin: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Martin, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov, Matthews · VAN Sutter, Baertschi, Gaunce, Hutton, Stecher

  98. P3 14:52Martin: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Martin, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov, Matthews · VAN Sutter, Baertschi, Gaunce, Hutton, Stecher

  99. P3 14:52Miller: Goalie leave crease (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Martin, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov, Matthews · VAN Sutter, Baertschi, Gaunce, Hutton, Stecher

  100. P3 14:52Miller: Game misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Martin, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov, Matthews · VAN Sutter, Baertschi, Gaunce, Hutton, Stecher

  101. P3 14:52Miller: Game misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Martin, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov, Matthews · VAN Sutter, Baertschi, Gaunce, Hutton, Stecher

  102. P3 14:52Andersen: Goalie leave crease (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Martin, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov, Matthews · VAN Sutter, Baertschi, Gaunce, Hutton, Stecher

  103. P3 14:52Carrick: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Martin, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov, Matthews · VAN Sutter, Baertschi, Gaunce, Hutton, Stecher

  104. P3 14:52Andersen: Game misconduct (10 min)3v4

    On ice: TOR Martin, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov, Matthews · VAN Sutter, Baertschi, Gaunce, Hutton, Stecher

  105. P3 15:33Shot by Baertschi, saved by Enroth4v5
  106. P3 15:42Shot by Sedin, saved by Enroth4v5
  107. P3 16:37Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Enroth4v5
  108. P3 0:00Period end
  109. P3 14:52Gaunce: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Martin, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov, Matthews · VAN Sutter, Baertschi, Gaunce, Hutton, Stecher

  110. P3 0:00Final