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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 11, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Philadelphia Flyers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 79% of the time.

TOR winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:39Shot by Bellemare, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 2:54Goal by Kadri (Rielly, Zaitsev)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev · PHI Del Zotto, Weise, Schenn, Gudas, Cousins

  4. P1 3:04Shot by Streit, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 3:51van Riemsdyk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Carrick, Marner · PHI Schultz, Voracek, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Konecny

  6. P1 3:59Goal by Simmonds (Giroux, Gostisbehere)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Komarov, Hyman, Rielly · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere

  7. P1 4:14Shot by Marner, saved by Mason
  8. P1 4:25Goal by Konecny (Gudas, Del Zotto)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews · PHI Voracek, Del Zotto, Gudas, Couturier, Konecny

  9. P1 6:47Shot by Gudas, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 9:43Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 10:42Shot by Marner, saved by Mason
  12. P1 10:47Shot by Bozak, saved by Mason
  13. P1 10:50Del Zotto: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marincin, Marner · PHI Del Zotto, Gudas, Read, Bellemare, Lyubimov

  14. P1 11:17Shot by Simmonds, saved by Andersen5v4
  15. P1 11:38Shot by Nylander, saved by Mason5v4
  16. P1 13:48Shot by Martin, saved by Mason
  17. P1 16:09Shot by Lyubimov, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 17:46Shot by Weise, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 18:16Couturier: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Marincin, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews · PHI Streit, Voracek, Couturier, Konecny, Provorov

  20. P1 18:25VandeVelde: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Marner, Zaitsev · PHI VandeVelde, Gudas, Bellemare, Provorov

  21. P1 19:08Goal by Rielly (Marner, van Riemsdyk)5v3+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Rielly, Marner · PHI Schultz, Gudas, Bellemare

  22. P1 19:16Shot by Provorov, saved by Andersen5v4
  23. P1 19:59Shot by Gudas, saved by Andersen5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:06Shot by Provorov, saved by Andersen5v4
  27. P2 1:14Shot by Simmonds, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 2:00Streit: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Bozak, Marincin, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews · PHI Streit, Voracek, Couturier, Konecny, Provorov

  29. P2 2:53Goal by Simmonds (Couturier)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev · PHI Simmonds, Gudas, Couturier, Provorov

  30. P2 3:14Shot by Komarov, saved by Mason5v4
  31. P2 4:46Shot by Giroux, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 4:55Shot by Gudas, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 5:00Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 6:11Shot by Cousins, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 6:21Shot by Schultz, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 6:26Shot by Schultz, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 8:15Shot by Gudas, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 8:58Shot by Matthews, saved by Mason
  39. P2 12:21Shot by Konecny, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 13:24Shot by Kadri, saved by Mason
  41. P2 13:34Shot by Giroux, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 13:42Shot by Simmonds, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 15:00Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  44. P2 16:27Shot by Nylander, saved by Mason
  45. P2 16:46Shot by Schultz, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 17:48Shot by Bellemare, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 17:54Shot by Streit, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 18:19Shot by Komarov, saved by Mason
  49. P2 18:44Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Mason
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:09Shot by Schenn, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 1:11Shot by Konecny, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 2:39Shot by Weise, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 2:45Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 3:44Shot by Kadri, saved by Mason
  57. P3 4:03Goal by Marincin (Rielly, Kadri)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly, Nylander · PHI Streit, Voracek, Couturier, Konecny, Provorov

  58. P3 5:52Shot by Weise, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 8:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Mason
  60. P3 8:34Goal by Hyman (Matthews, Carrick)+35 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Brown, Matthews · PHI Schultz, Read, Gostisbehere, Bellemare, Lyubimov

  61. P3 10:44Polak: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Marincin, Hyman, Marner, Matthews · PHI Schultz, Voracek, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Konecny

  62. P3 11:32Goal by Komarov, unassisted4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Marincin, Rielly, Brown · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere

  63. P3 14:07Shot by Rielly, saved by Mason
  64. P3 14:54Shot by Schenn, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 15:20Gostisbehere: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Nylander, Zaitsev · PHI Schultz, Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere

  66. P3 16:17Goal by Marner (Rielly, Bozak)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev · PHI Schultz, Del Zotto, Read, Couturier

  67. P3 17:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Mason
  68. P3 19:12Shot by Hyman, saved by Mason
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final