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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 12, 2016·Prudential Center, Newark

Buffalo Sabres 2, New Jersey Devils 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 67% of the time.

NJD winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:09Shot by Bennett, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 1:49Shot by Girgensons, saved by Schneider
  4. P1 4:01Goal by Quincey (Severson, Henrique)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Quincey, Henrique, Palmieri, Bennett, Severson · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Franson, Kane, Larsson

  5. P1 5:18Shot by Kane, saved by Schneider
  6. P1 5:52Josefson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Quincey, Greene, Josefson, Smith-Pelly, Zacha · BUF Moulson, Falk, Girgensons, Carrier, Nelson

  7. P1 6:22Kane: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NJD Fiddler, Lovejoy, Moore, Kalinin · BUF Gionta, Franson, Kane, Larsson, Nelson

  8. P1 7:01Shot by Quincey, saved by Lehner4v4
  9. P1 7:12Shot by Palmieri, saved by Lehner4v4
  10. P1 8:00Shot by Zajac, saved by Lehner5v4
  11. P1 8:19Shot by Severson, saved by Lehner5v4
  12. P1 9:51Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 10:56Shot by Okposo, saved by Schneider
  14. P1 12:31Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Lehner
  15. P1 12:56Palmieri: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Lovejoy, Henrique, Palmieri, Bennett, Auvitu · BUF Franson, Falk, Schneider, Baptiste, Reinhart

  16. P1 12:56Franson: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NJD Lovejoy, Henrique, Palmieri, Bennett, Auvitu · BUF Franson, Falk, Schneider, Baptiste, Reinhart

  17. P1 13:37Shot by Girgensons, saved by Schneider4v4
  18. P1 14:14Shot by Nelson, saved by Schneider4v4
  19. P1 14:40Shot by Hall, saved by Lehner4v4
  20. P1 15:04Shot by Gionta, saved by Schneider
  21. P1 17:24Shot by Schneider, saved by Schneider
  22. P1 18:05Shot by Zajac, saved by Lehner
  23. P1 19:33Shot by Lappin, saved by Lehner
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:51Shot by Falk, saved by Schneider
  27. P2 2:11Shot by Carrier, saved by Schneider
  28. P2 2:45Shot by Girgensons, saved by Schneider
  29. P2 3:19Shot by Schneider, saved by Schneider
  30. P2 3:41Goal by Foligno (Gionta)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Lovejoy, Josefson, Smith-Pelly, Zacha, Auvitu · BUF Gionta, Falk, Foligno, Larsson, Nelson

  31. P2 3:49Shot by Palmieri, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 6:11Goal by Lappin (Hall, Lovejoy)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Zajac, Lovejoy, Hall, Lappin, Auvitu · BUF Moulson, Falk, Kane, Girgensons, Nelson

  33. P2 8:02Shot by Josefson, saved by Lehner
  34. P2 8:09Shot by Severson, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 8:33Shot by Severson, saved by Lehner
  36. P2 9:53Shot by Franson, saved by Schneider
  37. P2 10:58Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Schneider
  38. P2 11:17Goal by Palmieri (Severson, Greene)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Greene, Henrique, Palmieri, Bennett, Severson · BUF Gorges, Moulson, Kane, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  39. P2 12:10Shot by Schneider, saved by Schneider
  40. P2 12:33Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Lehner
  41. P2 13:35Shot by Hall, saved by Lehner
  42. P2 14:44Shot by Carrier, saved by Schneider
  43. P2 14:48Shot by Carrier, saved by Schneider
  44. P2 18:03Shot by Auvitu, saved by Lehner
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:10Shot by Parenteau, saved by Lehner
  48. P3 1:52Shot by Moulson, saved by Schneider
  49. P3 5:24Shot by Girgensons, saved by Schneider
  50. P3 5:32Kane: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Fiddler, Greene, Severson, Kalinin, Lappin · BUF Moulson, Franson, Kane, Girgensons, McCabe

  51. P3 5:37Shot by Severson, saved by Lehner5v4
  52. P3 6:14Severson: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NJD Zajac, Palmieri, Josefson, Hall, Severson · BUF Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen

  53. P3 6:32Goal by Moore (Henrique, Hall)4v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Quincey, Henrique, Moore, Hall · BUF Foligno, Larsson, McCabe, Ristolainen

  54. P3 6:52Baptiste: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NJD Parenteau, Quincey, Palmieri, Moore · BUF Falk, Girgensons, Baptiste, Nelson

  55. P3 7:28Shot by Palmieri, saved by Lehner4v3
  56. P3 8:08Shot by Hall, saved by Lehner4v4
  57. P3 9:43Goal by Moulson (Grant, Franson)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Lovejoy, Josefson, Smith-Pelly, Zacha, Auvitu · BUF Moulson, Franson, Grant, McCabe, Carrier

  58. P3 11:00Shot by Moore, saved by Lehner
  59. P3 11:29Shot by Foligno, saved by Schneider
  60. P3 13:20Shot by Grant, saved by Schneider
  61. P3 15:49Nelson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Lovejoy, Henrique, Palmieri, Bennett, Auvitu · BUF Gionta, Falk, Foligno, Larsson, Nelson

  62. P3 17:29Shot by Zajac, saved by Lehner5v4
  63. P3 18:08Foligno: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Parenteau, Greene, Lovejoy, Henrique, Bennett · BUF Franson, Foligno, McCabe, Carrier, Reinhart

  64. P3 0:00Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Schneider5v4
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final