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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 15, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Nashville Predators 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Away

Nashville Predators

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.

TOR winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Bozak, saved by Mazanec
  3. P1 1:04Goal by Marner (van Riemsdyk, Bozak)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev · NSH Fisher, Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Forsberg

  4. P1 1:23Shot by Subban, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 4:17Shot by Fisher, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 6:26Shot by Komarov, saved by Mazanec
  7. P1 7:50Shot by Johansen, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 8:38Shot by Kadri, saved by Mazanec
  9. P1 8:57Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 9:24Shot by Wilson, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 9:30Shot by Polak, saved by Mazanec
  12. P1 9:44Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 10:40Shot by Weber, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 10:52Shot by Ellis, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 12:52Shot by Smith, saved by Mazanec
  16. P1 12:58Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Mazanec
  17. P1 13:16Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 14:04Goal by van Riemsdyk (Bozak, Marner)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marincin, Marner · NSH Fisher, Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Forsberg

  19. P1 17:02Shot by Marner, saved by Mazanec
  20. P1 17:53Goal by Neal (Johansen, Ekholm)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Marincin, Brown · NSH Neal, Weber, Ekholm, Johansen, Arvidsson

  21. P1 18:19Shot by Matthews, saved by Mazanec
  22. P1 19:30Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Mazanec
  23. P1 19:55Shot by Johansen, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:13Shot by Bozak, saved by Mazanec
  27. P2 1:19Shot by Marner, saved by Mazanec
  28. P2 1:46Shot by Matthews, saved by Mazanec
  29. P2 2:25Fisher: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · NSH Fisher, Weber, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Forsberg

  30. P2 2:25Fisher: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · NSH Fisher, Weber, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Forsberg

  31. P2 2:25Fisher: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · NSH Fisher, Weber, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Forsberg

  32. P2 2:25Polak: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · NSH Fisher, Weber, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Forsberg

  33. P2 3:47Komarov: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Nylander, Matthews · NSH Neal, Subban, Ekholm, Arvidsson

  34. P2 4:07Shot by Marner, saved by Mazanec4v4
  35. P2 5:27Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen4v5
  36. P2 5:32Shot by Josi, saved by Andersen4v5
  37. P2 6:29Shot by Gardiner, saved by Mazanec
  38. P2 6:37Shot by Matthews, saved by Mazanec
  39. P2 7:12Shot by Matthews, saved by Mazanec
  40. P2 7:35Shot by Wilson, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 7:52Goal by van Riemsdyk (Bozak, Hunwick)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev · NSH Ribeiro, Subban, Wilson, Ekholm, Smith

  42. P2 8:15Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 10:54Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 12:23Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Mazanec
  45. P2 12:38Shot by Forsberg, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 13:35Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 13:37Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 14:57Shot by Brown, saved by Mazanec
  49. P2 16:09Goal by Arvidsson (Wilson)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews · NSH Wilson, Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson

  50. P2 16:39Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Mazanec
  51. P2 16:45Shot by Kadri, saved by Mazanec
  52. P2 18:23Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen
  53. P2 19:01Shot by Kadri, saved by Mazanec
  54. P2 19:08Shot by Rielly, saved by Mazanec
  55. P2 19:30Shot by Nylander, saved by Mazanec
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:01Shot by Josi, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 1:55Shot by Forsberg, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 3:42Shot by Kadri, saved by Mazanec
  61. P3 4:56Shot by Wilson, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 4:58Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 7:18Goal by Komarov (Marincin, Brown)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Marincin, Brown · NSH Neal, Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Arvidsson

  64. P3 7:33Shot by Hyman, saved by Mazanec
  65. P3 8:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Mazanec
  66. P3 8:57Shot by Subban, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 9:20Shot by Subban, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 12:53Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 13:38Goal by van Riemsdyk (Marner, Bozak)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marner · NSH Fisher, Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson

  70. P3 13:46Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 13:55Shot by Fisher, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 14:18Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 14:58Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 15:23Goal by Nylander, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Smith, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · NSH Neal, Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg

  75. P3 16:10Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 0:00Shot by Weber, saved by Andersen
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final