Sat, Nov 19, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Buffalo Sabres 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 63% of the time.
28%
9%
56%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30:15 | 0.44 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:07 | 0.45 | 81.4% | +33.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:14 | 0.15 | 80.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:24 | 0.37 | 78.3% | +33.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.03 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19:37 | 0.36 | 94.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:33 | 0.08 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:10 | 0.10 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:26 | 0.07 | 83.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:40 | 0.21 | 79.1% | +33.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:01 | 0.45 | 83.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:56 | 0.03 | 88.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.13 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:06 | 0.00 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:37 | 0.26 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:36 | 0.03 | 87.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:01 | 0.39 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:44 | 0.01 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
| O | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.75 | +1.8 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29:56 | 0.17 | 18.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:22 | 0.05 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:31 | 0.04 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:26 | 0.12 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:54 | 0.00 | 14.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:41 | 0.25 | 10.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:30 | 0.14 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:14 | 0.33 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.24 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:59 | 0.44 | 4.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.25 | 42.9% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.16 | 3.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:10 | 0.09 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.01 | 3.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:51 | 0.36 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:56 | 0.02 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 5:50 | 0.07 | 11.0% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 4:27 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 47 | 46 | 1 | .979 | 3.58 | +2.6 | 65:00 |