Mon, Nov 21, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:54Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner
- P1 3:15Shot by Schneider, saved by Elliott
- P1 3:30Shot by Bennett, saved by Lehner
- P1 4:00Shot by Bennett, saved by Lehner
- P1 4:19Shot by Gionta, saved by Elliott
- P1 4:38Shot by Larsson, saved by Elliott
- P1 4:39Shot by Kane, saved by Elliott
- P1 5:21Goal by Backlund (Frolik, Tkachuk)+13 pts WP
On ice: BUF Franson, Okposo, Kane, Larsson, McCabe · CGY Wideman, Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Tkachuk
- P1 6:19Brodie: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Falk, Grant, Fedun, Schneider, Carrier · CGY Wideman, Brodie, Hamilton, Ferland, Hathaway
- P1 8:07Shot by Gionta, saved by Elliott5v4
- P1 10:14Shot by Larsson, saved by Elliott
- P1 10:27Shot by Kane, saved by Elliott
- P1 11:18Shot by Gionta, saved by Elliott
- P1 11:51Shot by Foligno, saved by Elliott
- P1 13:36Shot by Hathaway, saved by Lehner
- P1 13:42Shot by Ferland, saved by Lehner
- P1 13:55Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner
- P1 15:08Shot by Reinhart, saved by Elliott
- P1 15:07Shot by Reinhart, saved by Elliott
- P1 17:35Shot by Monahan, saved by Lehner
- P1 18:15Shot by Gorges, saved by Elliott
- P1 19:18Shot by Hamilton, saved by Lehner
- P1 19:59Shot by Kane, saved by Elliott
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:25Shot by Wideman, saved by Lehner
- P2 1:30Shot by Engelland, saved by Lehner
- P2 2:14Shot by Fedun, saved by Elliott
- P2 2:23Tkachuk: Illegal check to head (2 min)
On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Ristolainen, Reinhart · CGY Wideman, Frolik, Backlund, Brodie, Tkachuk
- P2 4:17Shot by Larsson, saved by Elliott5v4
- P2 4:25Shot by Kane, saved by Elliott
- P2 4:36Shot by Larsson, saved by Elliott
- P2 5:36Shot by Bennett, saved by Lehner
- P2 6:12Shot by Hamilton, saved by Lehner
- P2 6:51Shot by Larsson, saved by Elliott
- P2 8:39Shot by Gorges, saved by Elliott
- P2 8:42Larsson: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Gorges, Okposo, Kane, Larsson, Ristolainen · CGY Wideman, Stajan, Brodie, Chiasson, Shinkaruk
- P2 8:42Shinkaruk: Roughing (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Gorges, Okposo, Kane, Larsson, Ristolainen · CGY Wideman, Stajan, Brodie, Chiasson, Shinkaruk
- P2 10:02Hamilton: Slashing (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Franson, Foligno, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Reinhart · CGY Giordano, Brouwer, Backlund, Hamilton
- P2 10:02Brouwer: Tripping (2 min)5v3
On ice: BUF Franson, Foligno, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Reinhart · CGY Giordano, Brouwer, Backlund, Hamilton
- P2 10:28Shot by Okposo, saved by Elliott4v3
- P2 11:03Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Elliott5v3
- P2 11:27Goal by Okposo (Reinhart, Ristolainen)5v3+19 pts WP
On ice: BUF Moulson, O'Reilly, Okposo, Ristolainen, Reinhart · CGY Wideman, Stajan, Brodie
- P2 12:03Goal by Larsson (Kane, Fedun)5v4+26 pts WP
On ice: BUF Gionta, Kane, Larsson, Fedun, Ristolainen · CGY Engelland, Giordano, Chiasson, Bennett
- P2 12:42Shot by Grant, saved by Elliott
- P2 12:56Brouwer: Interference (2 min)
On ice: BUF Foligno, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart · CGY Wideman, Brouwer, Brodie, Hamilton, Bennett
- P2 13:04Shot by Frolik, saved by Lehner5v4
- P2 13:08Goal by Moulson (Okposo, Fedun)5v4+10 pts WP
On ice: BUF Moulson, Okposo, Fedun, Ristolainen, Reinhart · CGY Engelland, Giordano, Frolik, Backlund
- P2 13:33Hamilton: Interference (2 min)
On ice: BUF Franson, Grant, Schneider, McCabe, Carrier · CGY Hamilton, Ferland, Jokipakka, Hamilton, Hathaway
- P2 14:41Shot by Moulson, saved by Elliott5v4
- P2 16:57Carrier: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Grant, Schneider, McCabe, Carrier, Ristolainen · CGY Engelland, Frolik, Backlund, Jokipakka, Tkachuk
- P2 17:36Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner4v5
- P2 18:00Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Lehner4v5
- P2 18:19Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Lehner4v5
- P2 18:20Gorges: Cross checking (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Grant, Ristolainen · CGY Giordano, Brouwer, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk
- P2 19:36Shot by Monahan, saved by Lehner4v5
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:18Shot by Hamilton, saved by Lehner4v5
- P3 0:22Goal by Tkachuk (Hamilton, Giordano)+11 pts WP
On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Grant, McCabe, Ristolainen · CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk
- P3 0:54Shot by Okposo, saved by Elliott
- P3 2:13Goal by Foligno (Reinhart)+11 pts WP
On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Ristolainen, Reinhart · CGY Wideman, Brouwer, Brodie, Monahan, Bennett
- P3 3:03Shot by Hamilton, saved by Lehner
- P3 5:45Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Lehner
- P3 6:14Shot by Hamilton, saved by Lehner
- P3 8:01Shot by Engelland, saved by Lehner
- P3 8:48Shot by Jokipakka, saved by Lehner
- P3 9:53Shot by Schneider, saved by Elliott
- P3 12:12Shot by Gionta, saved by Elliott
- P3 12:28Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Lehner
- P3 12:36Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner
- P3 13:04Shot by Gionta, saved by Elliott
- P3 15:57Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner
- P3 16:14Shot by Ferland, saved by Lehner
- P3 16:56Shot by Bennett, saved by Lehner
- P3 18:00Shot by Okposo, saved by Elliott
- P3 18:55Shot by Giordano, saved by Lehner5v6
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final