Mon, Nov 21, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.
47%
11%
9%
32%
BUF winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 26:19 | 0.05 | 63.3% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:08 | 0.03 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:06 | 0.00 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:26 | 0.32 | 65.5% | +11.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 20:23 | 0.68 | 79.1% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.02 | 78.2% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.00 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:57 | 0.03 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 15:52 | 0.42 | 73.1% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.01 | 14.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.01 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:39 | 0.07 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:02 | 0.13 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.02 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:18 | 0.09 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:50 | 0.02 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:35 | 0.05 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 2.33 | −1.7 | 58:24 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:57 | 0.14 | 41.5% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 24:35 | 0.02 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:34 | 0.06 | 45.3% | +25.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 20:06 | 0.34 | 37.4% | +28.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:06 | 0.00 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 19:49 | 0.58 | 42.9% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.03 | 56.6% | +35.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:08 | 0.23 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.07 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.16 | 54.1% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:06 | 0.20 | 50.4% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:13 | 0.08 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:01 | 0.00 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:58 | 0.28 | 21.9% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.09 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:30 | 0.06 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:22 | 0.00 | 71.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 1.96 | 0.0 | 59:51 |