Skip to content
Ice Lab

Left wing · #19

Matthew Tkachuk

Calgary Flames Florida Panthers(traded during the season)
Age
28
Shoots
Left
Height
188 cm
Weight
92 kg
Born
Scottsdale, USA
Draft
2016, round 1, #6 (CGY)

Career · 2016–17 to 2026–27

Games
677
Goals
255
Points
673
TOI per game
17:57
xGF% (5v5)
56.7%
Goals above expected
−13.6
ShowAll teamsCalgary FlamesFlorida Panthers

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2016–17CGY76133548+1414:401429.2%1316.653.1%
2017–18CGY68242549−117:1518812.8%1724.853.1%
2018–19CGY80344377+1417:3620716.4%2430.254.6%
2019–20CGY69233861−518:1818812.2%1922.854.0%
2020–21CGY56162743+618:0915110.6%1521.155.0%
2021–22CGY824262104+5717:5425316.6%2937.360.9%
2022–23FLA794069109+2920:2632212.4%3645.761.0%
2023–24FLA80266288+1918:382809.3%3237.357.8%
2024–25FLA52223557−318:1415614.1%2319.257.1%
2025–26FLA31132134−618:188814.8%1312.754.4%
2026–27FLA4213+221:40728.6%01.052.9%
Total2 teams677255418673+12617:571,98212.9%221268.656.7%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.511.52100200300400500600
12m14m16m18m20m22m100200300400500600Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2016–17 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

1st line

97th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

1st line
  • Goals /601.2696th pct
  • Assists /602.0699th pct
  • ixG /601.3399th pct
  • Goals above expected−13.610th pct

Play-driving

1st line
  • xGF% (5v5)56.7%98th pct
  • CF% (5v5)57.5%99th pct
  • Relative xGF%+5.096th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.4488th pct

Usage

1st line
  • TOI per game17:5792nd pct
  • PP time share62.3%95th pct
  • Offensive zone starts63.5%76th pct
  • Quality of competition25.3%93rd pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Brad MarchandBOS/FLA0.96
  2. Sebastian AhoCAR0.96
  3. Jason RobertsonDAL0.96
  4. Seth JarvisCAR0.95
  5. Taylor HallNJD/ARI/BOS/CHI/CAR0.95
  6. Nathan MacKinnonCOL0.95

Faceoffs

How often Tkachuk wins the draw over 2016–17 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1949+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

40.1%

65–97 · below the 1949 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

41.0%

Opponents won 50.9% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.1% against them.

Wins above average

−15

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

1.3

162 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

50%10 · −0.937%60 · −0.639%54 · +7.233%3 · 0.050%2 · +14.967%3 · +0.60%2 · –50%14 · +4.043%14 · +0.6Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone37.7% 43–71
  • Neutral zone45.0% 9–11
  • Defensive zone46.4% 13–15

By strength

  • Even strength41.9% 54–75
  • Power play31.3% 10–22
  • Shorthanded100.0% 1–0

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +23 after a win, +3 after a loss. Each win was worth 2.7 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2016–172334.8%35.5%
2017–181741.2%44.4%
2018–191346.2%46.7%
2019–2040.0%2.7%
2020–21742.9%44.2%
2021–224346.5%47.4%
2022–232944.8%45.7%
2023–24933.3%30.8%
2024–25520.0%23.2%
2025–261233.3%32.4%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−13.6 goals above expected

-50050100150200250300100200300400500600Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed32.8 km/h17th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph223rd pct
  • Hardest shot117.8 km/h37th pct
  • Distance skated20 km96th pct
  • Offensive-zone time47.9%90th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

32.7 km/h0th pct

▼ −0.6 km/h since 2024–25

3234363821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 33.6 km/h, 2nd percentile (82 games)2022–23: 35.2 km/h, 23rd percentile (79 games)2023–24: 35.1 km/h, 20th percentile (80 games)2024–25: 33.3 km/h, 1st percentile (52 games)2025–26: 32.7 km/h, 0th percentile (31 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

0.20th pct

▼ −0.2 since 2024–25

024681021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 0.4, 1st percentile (82 games)2022–23: 0.4, 0th percentile (79 games)2023–24: 0.9, 2nd percentile (80 games)2024–25: 0.4, 0th percentile (52 games)2025–26: 0.2, 0th percentile (31 games)

Distance skated per 60

13.9 km2nd pct

▼ −0.5 km since 2024–25

131415161721–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 14.2 km, 3rd percentile (82 games)2022–23: 13.9 km, 1st percentile (79 games)2023–24: 14.0 km, 1st percentile (80 games)2024–25: 14.5 km, 5th percentile (52 games)2025–26: 13.9 km, 2nd percentile (31 games)

Hardest shot

127.5 km/h6th pct

▼ −8.1 km/h since 2024–25

12013014015016021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 141.1 km/h, 39th percentile (82 games)2022–23: 140.2 km/h, 36th percentile (79 games)2023–24: 140.9 km/h, 45th percentile (80 games)2024–25: 135.7 km/h, 25th percentile (52 games)2025–26: 127.5 km/h, 6th percentile (31 games)

Offensive-zone time

47.4%97th pct

▼ −0.1 points since 2024–25

35%40%45%50%55%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 45.1%, 88th percentile (82 games)2022–23: 48.4%, 99th percentile (79 games)2023–24: 49.8%, 100th percentile (80 games)2024–25: 47.5%, 97th percentile (52 games)2025–26: 47.4%, 97th percentile (31 games)