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Ice Lab

Right wing · #24

Seth Jarvis

Age
24
Shoots
Right
Height
178 cm
Weight
82 kg
Born
Winnipeg, CAN
Draft
2020, round 1, #13 (CAR)

Career · 2021–22 to 2025–26

Games
375
Goals
128
Points
279
TOI per game
17:27
xGF% (5v5)
58.2%
Goals above expected
−13.7

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2021–22CAR68172340+1113:5311015.5%615.456.6%
2022–23CAR82142539+1016:121877.5%524.459.3%
2023–24CAR81333467+2318:4517618.8%2032.259.0%
2024–25CAR73323567+1219:2120415.7%1934.460.0%
2025–26CAR71323466+618:5322414.3%2135.256.1%
Total1 team375128151279+6217:2790114.2%71141.758.2%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.511.550100150200250300350
10m12m14m16m18m20m22m50100150200250300350Game

Player card

How 2021–22 to 2025–26 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

1st line

93rd percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

1st line
  • Goals /601.1790th pct
  • Assists /601.3883rd pct
  • ixG /601.3098th pct
  • Goals above expected−13.77th pct

Play-driving

1st line
  • xGF% (5v5)58.2%98th pct
  • CF% (5v5)58.5%99th pct
  • Relative xGF%+1.775th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.4286th pct

Usage

1st line
  • TOI per game17:2784th pct
  • PP time share53.2%84th pct
  • Offensive zone starts65.6%81st pct
  • Quality of competition25.2%92nd pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often Jarvis wins the draw over 2021–22 to 2025–26, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1020+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

41.2%

261–373 · below the 1020 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

42.2%

Opponents won 51.0% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.0% against them.

Wins above average

−49

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

2.9

634 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

33%40 · −0.235%72 · −0.345%224 · +1.433%9 · +3.950%22 · −1.125%4 · +4.935%17 · +1.450%14 · +3.041%232 · +2.5Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone42.6% 126–170
  • Neutral zone37.0% 34–58
  • Defensive zone41.1% 101–145

By strength

  • Even strength41.5% 148–209
  • Power play44.2% 53–67
  • Shorthanded38.2% 60–97

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +21 after a win, −12 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.6 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2021–222544.0%43.7%
2022–232634.6%33.9%
2023–2435244.6%45.8%
2024–2515234.2%35.4%
2025–267940.5%41.7%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−13.7 goals above expected

05010015050100150200250300350Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−40−200+20+40+60+80

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed37.6 km/h93rd pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph17190th pct
  • Hardest shot141.9 km/h71st pct
  • Distance skated344 km85th pct
  • Offensive-zone time48.2%99th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

37.6 km/h91st pct

▼ −1.7 km/h since 2024–25

3436384021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 36.6 km/h, 72nd percentile (68 games)2022–23: 36.2 km/h, 58th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 36.5 km/h, 70th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 39.3 km/h, 99th percentile (73 games)2025–26: 37.6 km/h, 91st percentile (71 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

7.773rd pct

▼ −1.5 since 2024–25

24681021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 6.4, 63rd percentile (68 games)2022–23: 7.5, 75th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 7.9, 76th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 9.2, 81st percentile (73 games)2025–26: 7.7, 73rd percentile (71 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.4 km42nd pct

▲ +0.1 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.51721–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 16.3 km, 88th percentile (68 games)2022–23: 16.4 km, 95th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 15.8 km, 67th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 15.3 km, 31st percentile (73 games)2025–26: 15.4 km, 42nd percentile (71 games)

Hardest shot

141.9 km/h64th pct

▲ +2.2 km/h since 2024–25

13013514014515015521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 135.1 km/h, 17th percentile (68 games)2022–23: 150.9 km/h, 83rd percentile (82 games)2023–24: 137.6 km/h, 28th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 139.7 km/h, 47th percentile (73 games)2025–26: 141.9 km/h, 64th percentile (71 games)

Offensive-zone time

48.2%99th pct

▼ −0.8 points since 2024–25

35%40%45%50%55%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 46.8%, 98th percentile (68 games)2022–23: 48.2%, 99th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 47.7%, 96th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 49.1%, 99th percentile (73 games)2025–26: 48.2%, 99th percentile (71 games)