Skip to content
Ice Lab

Centre · #71

Anthony Cirelli

Tampa Bay Lightning
Age
29
Shoots
Left
Height
185 cm
Weight
86 kg
Born
Etobicoke, CAN
Draft
2015, round 3, #72 (TBL)

Career · 2017–18 to 2026–27

Games
585
Goals
147
Points
344
TOI per game
17:25
xGF% (5v5)
55.4%
Goals above expected
+4.3

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2017–18TBL185611+1113:142619.2%02.455.3%
2018–19TBL82192039+2514:5112315.4%115.756.3%
2019–20TBL68162844+2818:2711314.2%615.657.4%
2020–21TBL5091322017:457512.0%49.750.9%
2021–22TBL76172643+1518:1914611.6%818.554.2%
2022–23TBL58111829+1316:341119.9%214.952.2%
2023–24TBL79202545+218:3112915.5%718.453.3%
2024–25TBL80273259+3018:4116016.9%527.259.2%
2025–26TBL71232952+3817:1912518.4%419.856.3%
2026–27TBL3000+118:0350.0%00.477.5%
Total1 team585147197344+16317:251,01314.5%37142.755.4%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.51100200300400500
12m14m16m18m20m22m100200300400500Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2017–18 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

1st line

94th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

1st line
  • Goals /600.8772nd pct
  • Assists /601.1675th pct
  • ixG /600.8470th pct
  • Goals above expected+4.381st pct

Play-driving

1st line
  • xGF% (5v5)55.4%96th pct
  • CF% (5v5)53.6%92nd pct
  • Relative xGF%+3.993rd pct
  • Penalty diff /600.5693rd pct

Usage

2nd line
  • TOI per game17:2588th pct
  • PP time share22.0%54th pct
  • Offensive zone starts41.8%21st pct
  • Quality of competition25.0%87th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Mavrik BourqueDAL0.92
  2. Justin SourdifWSH0.89
  3. Yanni GourdeTBL/SEA0.87
  4. William KarlssonVGK0.86
  5. Alexander SteenSTL0.86
  6. Anton LundellFLA0.85

Faceoffs

How often Cirelli wins the draw over 2017–18 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1749+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

49.2%

3778–3894 · #121 of 204 regulars, 41st percentile

Against an average centre

49.8%

Opponents won 50.6% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.4% against them.

Wins above average

−13

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

13.2

7,672 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

49%1666 · +0.854%1818 · +1.741%492 · +1.552%249 · +0.647%174 · +0.958%311 · +0.537%176 · +2.451%1922 · +1.940%864 · +1.3Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone51.3% 1183–1121
  • Neutral zone49.2% 1268–1308
  • Defensive zone47.5% 1327–1465

By strength

  • Even strength49.6% 2901–2944
  • Power play57.2% 337–252
  • Shorthanded43.6% 540–698

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +15 after a win, −16 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.5 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2017–1821444.9%45.3%
2018–1995152.8%53.0%
2019–2091447.5%48.1%
2020–2146249.1%49.1%
2021–2294846.5%47.4%
2022–2383151.4%51.8%
2023–2493549.2%49.8%
2024–25129250.1%51.0%
2025–26107548.2%48.9%
2026–275052.0%53.3%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+4.3 goals above expected

050100150100200300400500Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed34.9 km/h71st pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph669th pct
  • Hardest shot127.0 km/h60th pct
  • Distance skated13 km57th pct
  • Offensive-zone time42.6%59th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

36.1 km/h52nd pct

▼ −1.1 km/h since 2024–25

343536373821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 36.6 km/h, 72nd percentile (76 games)2022–23: 36.3 km/h, 63rd percentile (58 games)2023–24: 37.0 km/h, 85th percentile (79 games)2024–25: 37.3 km/h, 88th percentile (80 games)2025–26: 36.1 km/h, 52nd percentile (71 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

4.338th pct

▼ −0.6 since 2024–25

24681021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 7.3, 69th percentile (76 games)2022–23: 6.4, 64th percentile (58 games)2023–24: 6.4, 64th percentile (79 games)2024–25: 4.9, 45th percentile (80 games)2025–26: 4.3, 38th percentile (71 games)

Distance skated per 60

14.0 km2nd pct

▼ −0.3 km since 2024–25

131415161721–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 14.2 km, 3rd percentile (76 games)2022–23: 14.5 km, 11th percentile (58 games)2023–24: 14.4 km, 7th percentile (79 games)2024–25: 14.2 km, 3rd percentile (80 games)2025–26: 14.0 km, 2nd percentile (71 games)

Hardest shot

137.4 km/h44th pct

▼ −1.3 km/h since 2024–25

12013014015016017021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 161.2 km/h, 99th percentile (76 games)2022–23: 139.7 km/h, 33rd percentile (58 games)2023–24: 132.6 km/h, 13th percentile (79 games)2024–25: 138.8 km/h, 41st percentile (80 games)2025–26: 137.4 km/h, 44th percentile (71 games)

Offensive-zone time

40.5%30th pct

▼ −0.9 points since 2024–25

38%40%42%44%46%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 41.5%, 48th percentile (76 games)2022–23: 40.5%, 32nd percentile (58 games)2023–24: 41.1%, 40th percentile (79 games)2024–25: 41.4%, 43rd percentile (80 games)2025–26: 40.5%, 30th percentile (71 games)