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Ice Lab

Centre · #34

Justin Sourdif

Florida Panthers Washington Capitals(traded during the season)
Age
24
Shoots
Right
Height
183 cm
Weight
91 kg
Born
Richmond, CAN
Draft
2020, round 3, #87 (FLA)

Career · 2023–24 to 2026–27

Games
85
Goals
17
Points
37
TOI per game
14:26
xGF% (5v5)
51.6%
Goals above expected
+0.8
ShowAll teamsFlorida PanthersWashington Capitals

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2023–24FLA300008:5020.0%00.119.3%
2024–25FLA1101+19:27250.0%00.284.9%
2025–26WSH78152035+1714:4410813.9%315.752.3%
2026–27WSH3101013:311100.0%00.239.8%
Total2 teams85172037+1814:2611315.0%316.251.6%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.511020304050607080
10m12m14m16m18m1020304050607080Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2023–24 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

2nd line

75th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

2nd line
  • Goals /600.8362nd pct
  • Assists /600.9856th pct
  • ixG /600.7954th pct
  • Goals above expected+0.866th pct

Play-driving

1st line
  • xGF% (5v5)51.6%73rd pct
  • CF% (5v5)50.7%67th pct
  • Relative xGF%+2.277th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.4990th pct

Usage

3rd line
  • TOI per game14:2655th pct
  • PP time share20.6%48th pct
  • Offensive zone starts42.9%26th pct
  • Quality of competition24.5%57th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Michael AmadioOTT0.86
  2. Pontus HolmbergTBL0.86
  3. Mavrik BourqueDAL0.85
  4. Noah CatesPHI0.81
  5. Michael McLeodNJD0.80
  6. Michael Sgarbossa0.77

Faceoffs

How often Sourdif wins the draw over 2023–24 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 624+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

46.1%

321–376 · #148 of 189 regulars, 22nd percentile

Against an average centre

46.5%

Opponents won 50.4% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.6% against them.

Wins above average

−24

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

9.5

697 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

44%165 · 0.044%52 · +0.747%131 · +1.745%11 · +2.539%18 · +1.332%28 · +0.538%26 · +0.548%92 · −0.451%174 · +0.3Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone46.4% 85–98
  • Neutral zone41.5% 103–145
  • Defensive zone50.0% 133–133

By strength

  • Even strength45.6% 300–358
  • Power play50.0% 12–12
  • Shorthanded60.0% 9–6

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +8 after a win, −14 after a loss. Each win was worth 0.4 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2025–2668845.9%46.4%
2026–27955.6%51.6%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+0.8 goals above expected

051015201020304050607080Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−30−20−100+10+20+30+40+50

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed36.5 km/h94th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph447th pct
  • Hardest shot132.8 km/h76th pct
  • Distance skated7 km15th pct
  • Offensive-zone time33.0%2nd pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

36.0 km/h46th pct

▲ +2.7 km/h since 2024–25

3234363823–2424–2525–262023–24: 34.6 km/h, 10th percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 33.3 km/h, 0th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)2025–26: 36.0 km/h, 46th percentile (78 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

7.672nd pct

▲ +1.3 since 2024–25

24681023–2424–2525–262023–24: 4.5, 43rd percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 6.3, 61st percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)2025–26: 7.6, 72nd percentile (78 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.9 km74th pct

▼ −0.2 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.523–2424–2525–262023–24: 16.1 km, 81st percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 16.1 km, 80th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)2025–26: 15.9 km, 74th percentile (78 games)

Hardest shot

143.0 km/h71st pct

▲ +83.0 km/h since 2024–25

40608010012014016023–2424–2525–262023–24: 58.8 km/h, 0th percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 60.1 km/h, 0th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)2025–26: 143.0 km/h, 71st percentile (78 games)

Offensive-zone time

40.6%32nd pct

▼ −6.9 points since 2024–25

38%40%42%44%46%48%50%23–2424–2525–262023–24: 39.5%, 23rd percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 47.5%, 97th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)2025–26: 40.6%, 32nd percentile (78 games)