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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 21, 2016·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

New York Rangers 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 60% of the time.

PIT winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:25Shot by McDonagh, saved by Fleury
  3. P1 1:02Goal by Guentzel (Kessel, Daley)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Malkin, Kessel, Maatta, Guentzel · NYR Nash, Staal, Grabner, Holden, Stepan

  4. P1 1:14Shot by Maatta, saved by Raanta
  5. P1 2:15Letang: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Hagelin, Dumoulin, Sheary · NYR Staal, Holden, Fast, Vesey, Jooris

  6. P1 2:15Jooris: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Hagelin, Dumoulin, Sheary · NYR Staal, Holden, Fast, Vesey, Jooris

  7. P1 2:55Shot by Cullen, saved by Raanta4v4
  8. P1 3:00Shot by Fehr, saved by Raanta4v4
  9. P1 3:22Shot by Nash, saved by Fleury4v4
  10. P1 4:29Shot by Hayes, saved by Fleury
  11. P1 5:04Shot by Kreider, saved by Fleury
  12. P1 5:08Shot by Girardi, saved by Fleury
  13. P1 5:23Shot by Wilson, saved by Raanta
  14. P1 5:54Shot by Jooris, saved by Fleury
  15. P1 6:59Shot by Crosby, saved by Raanta
  16. P1 7:12Shot by Crosby, saved by Raanta
  17. P1 7:53Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Fleury
  18. P1 8:29Shot by Bonino, saved by Raanta
  19. P1 9:51Shot by Vesey, saved by Fleury
  20. P1 11:17Shot by Guentzel, saved by Raanta
  21. P1 12:37Shot by Cole, saved by Raanta
  22. P1 13:11Shot by Malkin, saved by Raanta
  23. P1 13:12Goal by Guentzel (Malkin, Kessel)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Schultz, Guentzel · NYR Klein, Pirri, Miller, Skjei, Vesey

  24. P1 15:10Shot by Sheary, saved by Raanta
  25. P1 16:32Shot by Malkin, saved by Raanta
  26. P1 17:06Shot by Miller, saved by Fleury
  27. P1 17:12Malkin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Daley, Fehr, Malkin, Kuhnhackl, Maatta · NYR Staal, Girardi, Pirri, Miller, Vesey

  28. P1 17:12Girardi: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Daley, Fehr, Malkin, Kuhnhackl, Maatta · NYR Staal, Girardi, Pirri, Miller, Vesey

  29. P1 17:30Shot by Skjei, saved by Fleury4v4
  30. P1 19:58Shot by Miller, saved by Fleury
  31. P1 19:59Shot by Pirri, saved by Fleury
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 2:44Shot by McDonagh, saved by Fleury
  35. P2 4:12Shot by Guentzel, saved by Raanta
  36. P2 4:51Goal by Nash, unassisted+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Schultz, Guentzel · NYR Nash, Klein, Grabner, McDonagh, Stepan

  37. P2 5:17Shot by McDonagh, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 5:31Fast: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Fehr, Cole, Schultz, Kuhnhackl · NYR Staal, Holden, Lindberg, Fast, Jooris

  39. P2 6:55Shot by Kessel, saved by Raanta5v4
  40. P2 7:16Shot by Guentzel, saved by Raanta5v4
  41. P2 8:16Shot by Cullen, saved by Raanta
  42. P2 9:03Shot by Stepan, saved by Fleury
  43. P2 9:42Shot by Schultz, saved by Raanta
  44. P2 9:54Shot by Vesey, saved by Fleury
  45. P2 9:52Shot by McDonagh, saved by Fleury
  46. P2 10:46Shot by Wilson, saved by Raanta
  47. P2 11:20Shot by Cole, saved by Raanta
  48. P2 11:56Crosby: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Hagelin, Dumoulin, Sheary · NYR Nash, Staal, Grabner, Holden, Stepan, Hayes

  49. P2 12:18Shot by Hayes, saved by Fleury4v5
  50. P2 12:54Shot by Stepan, saved by Fleury4v5
  51. P2 13:34Shot by Kreider, saved by Fleury4v5
  52. P2 13:55Shot by Hayes, saved by Fleury4v5
  53. P2 14:07Shot by Hayes, saved by Fleury
  54. P2 14:23Goal by Grabner (McDonagh)+27 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Crosby, Kuhnhackl, Maatta · NYR Girardi, Grabner, McDonagh, Fast, Jooris

  55. P2 14:20Shot by Grabner, saved by Fleury
  56. P2 16:27Shot by Bonino, saved by Raanta
  57. P2 17:07Shot by Kessel, saved by Raanta
  58. P2 18:19Shot by Hayes, saved by Fleury
  59. P2 18:49Skjei: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Bonino, Cole, Hagelin, Schultz, Rust · NYR Klein, Lindberg, Fast, Skjei, Jooris

  60. P2 19:11Goal by Miller (Hayes)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Kessel, Sheary · NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Hayes, Miller

  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 1:59Shot by Nash, saved by Fleury
  64. P3 2:26Shot by Nash, saved by Fleury
  65. P3 4:27Shot by Kreider, saved by Fleury
  66. P3 5:30Shot by Grabner, saved by Fleury
  67. P3 5:49Shot by Miller, saved by Fleury
  68. P3 9:33Shot by Cullen, saved by Raanta
  69. P3 10:36Shot by Hagelin, saved by Raanta
  70. P3 12:46Goal by Hayes (McDonagh)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Crosby, Schultz, Dumoulin, Rust · NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Kreider, Zuccarello, Hayes

  71. P3 13:07Shot by Lindberg, saved by Fleury
  72. P3 13:11Shot by Lindberg, saved by Fleury
  73. P3 13:22Shot by Kessel, saved by Raanta
  74. P3 16:23Shot by Schultz, saved by Raanta
  75. P3 17:22Shot by Letang, saved by Raanta6v5
  76. P3 18:07Shot by Kessel, saved by Raanta6v5
  77. P3 18:14Shot by Bonino, saved by Raanta6v5
  78. P3 18:18Shot by Cullen, saved by Raanta6v5
  79. P3 18:37Goal by Stepan (Nash, Grabner)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Kessel, Bonino · NYR Nash, Girardi, Grabner, McDonagh, Stepan

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final