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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 23, 2016·Madison Square Garden, New York

Pittsburgh Penguins 6, New York Rangers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 58% of the time.

NYR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:50Shot by Letang, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 4:17Malkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Holden, Pirri, Miller, Vesey · PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Maatta, Guentzel

  4. P1 4:20Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Murray5v4
  5. P1 4:22Goal by Nash (Kreider, Zuccarello)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · PIT Daley, Bonino, Hagelin, Maatta

  6. P1 6:22Shot by Schultz, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 7:25Shot by Fehr, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 8:10Staal: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Grabner, Holden, Stepan · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hagelin, Maatta, Sheary

  9. P1 8:20Shot by Stepan, saved by Murray4v5
  10. P1 8:54Shot by Kessel, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  11. P1 8:57Shot by Sheary, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  12. P1 9:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  13. P1 9:33Shot by Letang, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  14. P1 11:41Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Murray
  15. P1 13:02McDonagh: Boarding (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Lindberg, Fast, Jooris · PIT Crosby, Letang, Hagelin, Maatta, Sheary

  16. P1 13:02Crosby: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Lindberg, Fast, Jooris · PIT Crosby, Letang, Hagelin, Maatta, Sheary

  17. P1 13:40Shot by Stepan, saved by Murray4v4
  18. P1 14:11Shot by Bonino, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  19. P1 14:48Shot by Miller, saved by Murray4v4
  20. P1 17:15Shot by Crosby, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  21. P1 17:54Shot by Malkin, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  22. P1 19:58Shot by Holden, saved by Murray
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:17Shot by Crosby, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P2 1:16Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P2 2:02Goal by Wilson (Kessel, Bonino)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Pirri, Miller, Skjei, Vesey · PIT Kessel, Bonino, Cole, Schultz, Wilson

  28. P2 4:05Shot by Klein, saved by Murray
  29. P2 4:58Goal by Crosby (Cole)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Holden, Kreider, Zuccarello, Hayes · PIT Crosby, Letang, Cole, Hagelin, Sheary

  30. P2 5:27Shot by Malkin, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 5:54Shot by Grabner, saved by Murray
  32. P2 5:54Crosby: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Grabner, Holden, Stepan · PIT Daley, Crosby, Hagelin, Maatta, Sheary

  33. P2 7:01Shot by Nash, saved by Murray5v4
  34. P2 7:29Shot by Stepan, saved by Murray5v4
  35. P2 7:41Shot by Nash, saved by Murray5v4
  36. P2 7:53Bonino: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Nash, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Skjei · PIT Letang, Bonino, Cole, Kuhnhackl

  37. P2 10:12Goal by Kessel (Bonino)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Holden, Lindberg, Fast, Jooris · PIT Malkin, Kessel, Bonino, Dumoulin, Maatta

  38. P2 12:16Shot by Nash, saved by Murray
  39. P2 12:57Goal by Crosby (Letang)+9 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Pirri, Miller, Vesey · PIT Crosby, Letang, Hagelin, Maatta, Sheary

  40. P2 15:14Shot by Malkin, saved by Raanta
  41. P2 15:37Shot by Kessel, saved by Raanta
  42. P2 16:42Goal by Sheary (Crosby, Hagelin)+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Skjei · PIT Crosby, Letang, Hagelin, Dumoulin, Sheary

  43. P2 17:59Shot by Fehr, saved by Raanta
  44. P2 19:48Kreider: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Klein, Kreider, Zuccarello, Hayes, Skjei · PIT Crosby, Letang, Hagelin, Maatta, Sheary

  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:20Shot by Schultz, saved by Raanta4v5
  48. P3 1:13Shot by Daley, saved by Raanta4v5
  49. P3 1:55Shot by Bonino, saved by Raanta
  50. P3 2:02Shot by Maatta, saved by Raanta
  51. P3 2:04Shot by Bonino, saved by Raanta
  52. P3 5:02Shot by Schultz, saved by Raanta
  53. P3 6:11Shot by Rust, saved by Raanta
  54. P3 8:13Shot by Crosby, saved by Raanta
  55. P3 8:37Shot by Sheary, saved by Raanta
  56. P3 8:42Shot by Schultz, saved by Raanta
  57. P3 9:04Shot by Wilson, saved by Raanta
  58. P3 10:02Shot by Daley, saved by Raanta
  59. P3 10:53Shot by Cole, saved by Raanta
  60. P3 10:56Shot by Cullen, saved by Raanta
  61. P3 12:59Shot by Fehr, saved by Raanta
  62. P3 13:05Goal by Cullen (Schultz, Fehr)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Pirri, Hayes, Vesey · PIT Cullen, Fehr, Cole, Schultz, Kuhnhackl

  63. P3 16:14Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Murray
  64. P3 16:51Shot by Nash, saved by Murray
  65. P3 18:37Shot by Malkin, saved by Raanta
  66. P3 19:14Shot by Klein, saved by Murray
  67. P3 19:55Shot by Lindberg, saved by Murray
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final