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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 29, 2016·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Boston Bruins 2, Philadelphia Flyers 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 87% of the time.

PHI winsBOS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:41Shot by Backes, saved by Mason
  3. P1 0:42Shot by Marchand, saved by Mason
  4. P1 2:34Shot by Schenn, saved by Rask
  5. P1 3:24Shot by Streit, saved by Rask
  6. P1 3:59Shot by Czarnik, saved by Mason
  7. P1 4:50Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Rask
  8. P1 5:15Shot by Schenn, saved by Rask
  9. P1 5:23Shot by MacDonald, saved by Rask
  10. P1 5:32Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Mason
  11. P1 6:33Shot by Backes, saved by Mason
  12. P1 6:36Shot by Krejci, saved by Mason
  13. P1 6:51Shot by Miller, saved by Mason
  14. P1 7:06Shot by Schaller, saved by Mason
  15. P1 7:44Shot by Backes, saved by Mason
  16. P1 8:42Shot by Miller, saved by Mason
  17. P1 8:41Shot by Spooner, saved by Mason
  18. P1 9:53Shot by Spooner, saved by Mason
  19. P1 10:12Raffl: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Gostisbehere, Raffl · BOS Moore, Hayes, Spooner, Miller, Carlo

  20. P1 11:54Shot by Spooner, saved by Mason4v5
  21. P1 13:08Shot by Moore, saved by Mason
  22. P1 13:32Shot by Krejci, saved by Mason
  23. P1 13:56Goal by Del Zotto (Simmonds, Konecny)+18 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Cousins, Konecny · BOS Bergeron, McQuaid, Marchand, Krug, Pastrnak

  24. P1 14:00Czarnik: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Gostisbehere, Raffl · BOS Beleskey, Nash, Miller, Carlo, Czarnik

  25. P1 15:28Goal by Giroux (Voracek, Schenn)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · BOS Moore, Nash, Miller, Carlo

  26. P1 15:41Shot by Krejci, saved by Mason
  27. P1 15:57Shot by Krug, saved by Mason
  28. P1 16:00Shot by Backes, saved by Mason
  29. P1 16:37Shot by Bellemare, saved by Rask
  30. P1 17:39Shot by Simmonds, saved by Rask
  31. P1 17:55Shot by Hayes, saved by Mason
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:26Beleskey: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Del Zotto, Weise, Read, Bellemare · BOS McQuaid, Beleskey, Nash, Krug, Czarnik

  35. P2 0:45Shot by Bergeron, saved by Mason5v4
  36. P2 1:38Shot by Giroux, saved by Rask5v4
  37. P2 1:58Shot by Cousins, saved by Rask5v4
  38. P2 5:26Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Rask
  39. P2 6:10Shot by Miller, saved by Mason
  40. P2 7:20Shot by Spooner, saved by Mason
  41. P2 7:53Shot by Hayes, saved by Mason
  42. P2 9:32Shot by Krejci, saved by Mason
  43. P2 10:56Shot by Moore, saved by Mason
  44. P2 11:03VandeVelde: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, VandeVelde, Del Zotto, Bellemare, Lyubimov · BOS Bergeron, McQuaid, Marchand, Krug, Pastrnak

  45. P2 11:17Shot by Krejci, saved by Mason4v5
  46. P2 11:53Backes: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Read · BOS Bergeron, Backes, Krejci, Spooner, Krug

  47. P2 14:14Shot by Bellemare, saved by Rask
  48. P2 14:32Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Mason
  49. P2 15:09Shot by Schaller, saved by Mason
  50. P2 16:06Shot by Nash, saved by Mason
  51. P2 16:08Beleskey: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Gostisbehere, Raffl · BOS Beleskey, Nash, Miller, Carlo, Czarnik

  52. P2 16:56Shot by Schenn, saved by Rask5v4
  53. P2 17:54Shot by Streit, saved by Rask5v4
  54. P2 18:20Cousins: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Streit, Weise, Cousins, Konecny, Provorov · BOS Moore, Krejci, McQuaid, Beleskey, Morrow, Krug

  55. P2 19:58Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Mason4v5
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:22Shot by Marchand, saved by Mason
  59. P3 1:12Shot by Schaller, saved by Mason
  60. P3 1:48Shot by Morrow, saved by Mason
  61. P3 4:26Goal by Krejci (Krug)+10 pts WP

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, MacDonald, Cousins, Gostisbehere, Lyubimov · BOS Backes, Krejci, McQuaid, Spooner, Krug

  62. P3 5:28Cousins: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Cousins, Raffl · BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Morrow, Miller, Pastrnak

  63. P3 5:28Pastrnak: Embellishment (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Streit, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Cousins, Raffl · BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Morrow, Miller, Pastrnak

  64. P3 5:43Shot by Krug, saved by Mason4v4
  65. P3 5:44Goal by Marchand (Krug, Carlo)4v4+33 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Bellemare · BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Krug, Carlo

  66. P3 6:23Morrow: Penalty shot holding on breakaway (0 min)4v4

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Provorov · BOS Backes, Krejci, Miller, Morrow

  67. P3 6:23Shot by Voracek, saved by Raskother
  68. P3 6:57Shot by Carlo, saved by Mason4v4
  69. P3 8:04Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Rask
  70. P3 8:49Shot by Cousins, saved by Rask
  71. P3 8:57Shot by Simmonds, saved by Rask
  72. P3 11:09Shot by Krejci, saved by Mason
  73. P3 12:53Shot by Carlo, saved by Mason
  74. P3 13:24Marchand: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Streit, VandeVelde, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Schenn, Read · BOS Beleskey, Nash, Miller, Carlo, Czarnik

  75. P3 15:32Shot by Streit, saved by Rask
  76. P3 16:24Konecny: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Gudas, Read, Raffl, Bellemare · BOS Bergeron, Backes, Krejci, Marchand, Miller, Krug

  77. P3 18:19Shot by Bergeron, saved by Mason4v5
  78. P3 19:16Shot by Miller, saved by Mason
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. OT 0:00Period start
  81. OT 1:25Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Mason3v3
  82. OT 2:30Shot by Backes, saved by Mason3v3
  83. OT 3:02Shot by Marchand, saved by Mason3v3
  84. OT 3:20Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Mason3v3
  85. OT 3:21Shot by Carlo, saved by Mason3v3
  86. OT 3:53Simmonds: Roughing (2 min)3v3

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Simmonds · BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Krug

  87. OT 3:53Marchand: Roughing (2 min)3v3

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Simmonds · BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Krug

  88. OT 4:35Shot by Krejci, saved by Mason3v3
  89. OT 4:54Shot by Giroux, saved by Rask3v3
  90. OT 5:00Period end
  91. SO Period start
  92. SO Shot by Cousins, saved by Raskother
  93. SO Shot by Nash, saved by Masonother
  94. SO Shot by Simmonds, saved by Raskother
  95. SO Shot by Konecny, saved by Raskother
  96. SO Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Masonother
  97. SO Goal by Voracek, unassistedother
  98. SO Goal by Marchand, unassistedother
  99. SO Shot by Lyubimov, saved by Raskother
  100. SO Shot by Schenn, saved by Raskother
  101. SO Shot by Read, saved by Raskother
  102. SO Goal by Gostisbehere, unassistedother
  103. SO Shot by Backes, saved by Masonother
  104. SO Period end
  105. SO Final