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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 29, 2016·Pepsi Center, Denver

Nashville Predators 5, Colorado Avalanche 3

Away

Nashville Predators

5

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 63% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 1:16Shot by Fiala, saved by Pickard
  4. P1 1:39Shot by Iginla, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 2:34Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 3:04Shot by Johansen, saved by Pickard
  7. P1 3:45Shot by Mitchell, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 4:43Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 4:50Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 5:11Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 5:58Shot by Bourque, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 7:44Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 8:29Shot by Weber, saved by Pickard
  14. P1 8:40Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Pickard
  15. P1 8:49Shot by Johansen, saved by Pickard
  16. P1 9:47Shot by Bitetto, saved by Pickard
  17. P1 10:27Shot by Ekholm, saved by Pickard
  18. P1 10:33Shot by Subban, saved by Pickard
  19. P1 10:45Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 10:55Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pickard
  21. P1 12:07Shot by Irwin, saved by Pickard
  22. P1 14:52Goal by Fisher (Watson, Bitetto)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL McLeod, Colborne, Barrie, Zadorov, Martinsen · NSH Fisher, Weber, Wilson, Watson, Bitetto

  23. P1 15:21Shot by Comeau, saved by Rinne
  24. P1 15:28Shot by Comeau, saved by Rinne
  25. P1 15:58Goal by Rantanen (Bourque, Tyutin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Bourque, Johnson, MacKinnon, Rantanen · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Smith, Bitetto, Fiala

  26. P1 17:18Shot by Fiala, saved by Pickard
  27. P1 18:18Shot by Fisher, saved by Pickard
  28. P1 18:55Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pickard
  29. P1 19:45Shot by Rantanen, saved by Rinne
  30. P1 19:55Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:07Goal by Arvidsson (Subban, Johansen)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Bourque, Johnson, MacKinnon, Rantanen · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  34. P2 0:35Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 2:45Shot by Watson, saved by Pickard
  36. P2 2:57Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Pickard
  37. P2 2:57Shot by Fiala, saved by Pickard
  38. P2 3:04Goal by Fiala (Josi, Ribeiro)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Soderberg, Duchene, Barrie, Grigorenko · NSH Ribeiro, Josi, Smith, Irwin, Fiala

  39. P2 3:30McLeod: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, McLeod, Colborne, Zadorov, Martinsen · NSH Weber, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Watson, Gaudreau

  40. P2 3:30Watson: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, McLeod, Colborne, Zadorov, Martinsen · NSH Weber, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Watson, Gaudreau

  41. P2 3:38Shot by Ekholm, saved by Pickard
  42. P2 3:49Shot by Comeau, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 7:32Shot by Bourque, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 7:52Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  45. P2 8:17Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  46. P2 8:44Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Pickard
  47. P2 10:30Shot by Weber, saved by Pickard
  48. P2 10:43Shot by Irwin, saved by Pickard
  49. P2 13:12Irwin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, McLeod, Colborne, Wiercioch, Barrie · NSH Subban, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Watson, Gaudreau

  50. P2 13:42Shot by Subban, saved by Pickard5v4
  51. P2 13:51Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne5v4
  52. P2 14:21Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne5v4
  53. P2 14:48Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Rinne5v4
  54. P2 15:22Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne
  55. P2 16:25Goal by Bourque (Zadorov, Rantanen)+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Bourque, Johnson, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · NSH Fisher, Wilson, Josi, Ekholm, Aberg

  56. P2 16:37Shot by Johansen, saved by Pickard
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:34Goal by Johansen, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Bourque, Wiercioch, Barrie, MacKinnon, Rantanen · NSH Subban, Irwin, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  60. P3 2:42Goal by Watson (Josi, Gaudreau)+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Mitchell, Comeau, Johnson, Barrie, Martinsen · NSH Subban, Josi, Jarnkrok, Watson, Gaudreau

  61. P3 3:53Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Rinne
  62. P3 4:01Goal by Grigorenko (Barrie, Duchene)+6 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Wiercioch, Duchene, Barrie, Grigorenko · NSH Fisher, Wilson, Ekholm, Irwin, Aberg

  63. P3 4:45Johnson: Broken stick (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Soderberg, Johnson, Duchene, Grigorenko · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Watson, Fiala

  64. P3 5:10Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne4v5
  65. P3 6:24Shot by Fisher, saved by Pickard4v5
  66. P3 8:59Shot by Josi, saved by Pickard
  67. P3 9:27Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 11:33Shot by Iginla, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 13:04Shot by Fisher, saved by Pickard
  70. P3 13:53Shot by Smith, saved by Pickard
  71. P3 14:20Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  72. P3 14:46Shot by Mitchell, saved by Rinne
  73. P3 15:02Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Pickard
  74. P3 15:16Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pickard
  75. P3 15:53Iginla: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Colborne, Wiercioch, Duchene, Rantanen · NSH Fisher, Wilson, Josi, Irwin, Jarnkrok

  76. P3 16:25Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne4v5
  77. P3 18:37Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne6v5
  78. P3 18:56Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne6v5
  79. P3 19:02Shot by Iginla, saved by Rinne6v5
  80. P3 19:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne6v5
  81. P3 19:11Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne6v5
  82. P3 19:19Shot by Bourque, saved by Rinne6v5
  83. P3 19:56Shot by Colborne, saved by Rinne6v5
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final