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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 3, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Boston Bruins 2, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 74% of the time.

BUF winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bergeron–Marchand–PastrnakBackes–Krejci–SchallerNash–Blidh–CzarnikBeleskey–Nash–CzarnikMoore–Spooner–BlidhMoore–Nash–CzarnikMoore–Nash–BlidhMoore–Nash–SpoonerBackes–Krejci–SpoonerBackes–Krejci–BlidhMiller–CarloMcQuaid–KrugMorrow–MillerMiller–KrugKrug–Carlo
Kane–Reinhart–Eichel1:470.00–0.003:280.10–0.260:330.00–0.051:370.01–0.020:400.03–0.001:210.00–0.000:300.00–0.005:260.08–0.275:060.14–0.280:470.00–0.050:380.00–0.00
Gionta–Foligno–Larsson5:240.16–0.211:490.03–0.051:370.14–0.020:530.01–0.000:440.01–0.012:410.24–0.023:260.06–0.164:420.06–0.11
Moulson–Okposo–O'Reilly1:140.00–0.002:460.02–0.001:030.00–0.020:360.11–0.001:500.12–0.003:360.01–0.02
Okposo–O'Reilly–Carrier2:350.34–0.030:350.39–0.000:310.00–0.002:320.98–0.030:450.00–0.001:410.53–0.00
Grant–Girgensons–Carrier1:020.00–0.040:460.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:500.01–0.001:280.00–0.04
Foligno–Larsson–Girgensons0:310.00–0.000:500.00–0.08
Okposo–O'Reilly–Girgensons0:510.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
McCabe–Ristolainen9:480.51–0.203:060.01–0.140:390.00–0.090:440.00–0.000:390.01–0.000:440.01–0.010:360.11–0.005:260.40–0.218:230.07–0.314:510.18–0.07
Franson–Guhle2:000.00–0.045:250.51–0.171:070.00–0.050:330.03–0.001:110.00–0.003:050.07–0.065:530.26–0.163:140.40–0.070:410.00–0.00
Falk–Fedun0:410.00–0.031:410.02–0.002:190.14–0.180:590.00–0.040:460.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:370.01–0.000:320.00–0.006:340.95–0.160:500.00–0.002:100.00–0.09
Franson–McCabe1:000.00–0.021:140.00–0.09
Falk–Ristolainen0:300.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGionta FLarsson FFoligno FOkposo FMoulson FO'Reilly FKane FEichel FReinhart FGrant FGirgensons FCarrier FMcCabe DRistolainen DGuhle DFranson DFedun DFalk DLehner GBergeron FMarchand FPastrnak FBackes FKrejci FSchaller FNash FCzarnik FBeleskey FMoore FSpooner FBlidh FKrug DMcQuaid DCarlo DMiller DMiller DMorrow DRask G
BUFBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3029:090:581:5272
Jake McCabeBUF2823:580:511:5243
Brandon CarloBOS2623:330:542:0802
Kevan MillerBOS2522:480:552:0422
Torey KrugBOS2822:390:491:1945
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2521:110:511:2457
Brad MarchandBOS2720:360:461:4136
David KrejciBOS2320:130:531:4723
Kyle OkposoBUF2120:010:571:3853
Adam McQuaidBOS2620:010:461:2646
Jack EichelBUF2019:140:582:0071
Cody FransonBUF2819:040:412:0063
David BackesBOS2218:590:521:4523
Patrice BergeronBOS2718:560:421:2245
Sam ReinhartBUF1918:280:582:1161
Evander KaneBUF2118:270:532:0070
David PastrnakBOS2417:590:451:2924
Riley NashBOS2117:150:491:1623
Johan LarssonBUF1917:070:541:2841
Brendan GuhleBUF2616:200:381:4163
Tim SchallerBOS2215:380:431:0332
Marcus FolignoBUF1815:100:511:3131
Taylor FedunBUF1814:190:482:1734
Colin MillerBOS1914:150:451:2933
Brian GiontaBUF1714:070:501:2831
Justin FalkBUF1913:320:431:0825
Joe MorrowBOS1913:120:421:0954
Dominic MooreBOS2012:140:371:2244
Austin CzarnikBOS1511:550:481:1822
Matt MoulsonBUF1210:180:521:2713
Anton BlidhBOS1210:120:511:0630
William CarrierBUF139:410:451:0724
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF118:390:471:0523
Derek GrantBUF118:230:461:1616
Ryan SpoonerBOS108:080:491:1641
Matt BeleskeyBOS65:270:551:2901