Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 3, 2016·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Detroit Red Wings 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 72% of the time.

PIT winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:03Shot by Sheary, saved by Coreau
  3. P1 2:25Shot by Sheary, saved by Coreau
  4. P1 2:36Shot by Crosby, saved by Coreau
  5. P1 3:48Shot by Ericsson, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 5:27Shot by Nyquist, saved by Fleury
  7. P1 5:53Shot by Kessel, saved by Coreau
  8. P1 6:33Shot by Mantha, saved by Fleury
  9. P1 8:14Shot by Jurco, saved by Fleury
  10. P1 9:26Shot by Crosby, saved by Coreau
  11. P1 10:12Shot by Kunitz, saved by Coreau
  12. P1 12:00Shot by Hagelin, saved by Coreau
  13. P1 12:02Shot by Rust, saved by Coreau
  14. P1 12:59Shot by Kunitz, saved by Coreau
  15. P1 13:31Goal by Zetterberg (Mantha, Tatar)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Schultz, Sheary · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Tatar, Ouellet, Mantha

  16. P1 16:03Sheary: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Fehr, Letang, Dumoulin, Wilson · DET Zetterberg, Nielsen, Vanek, Green, Nyquist, DeKeyser

  17. P1 16:20Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Fleury4v5
  18. P1 16:30Shot by Tatar, saved by Fleury4v5
  19. P1 17:43Shot by Rust, saved by Coreau4v5
  20. P1 18:41Shot by Sheahan, saved by Fleury
  21. P1 18:42Shot by Sheahan, saved by Fleury
  22. P1 18:55Shot by Malkin, saved by Coreau
  23. P1 19:47Zetterberg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Daley, Crosby, Hornqvist, Maatta, Sheary · DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Mantha

  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:55Shot by Glendening, saved by Fleury5v4
  27. P2 4:08Shot by Jurco, saved by Fleury
  28. P2 4:40Shot by Miller, saved by Fleury
  29. P2 5:53Ericsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Fehr, Malkin, Crosby, Maatta · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Tatar, Ouellet, Mantha

  30. P2 6:30Shot by Letang, saved by Coreau5v4
  31. P2 6:31Shot by Crosby, saved by Coreau5v4
  32. P2 6:47Shot by Malkin, saved by Coreau5v4
  33. P2 8:00Goal by Nielsen (Sheahan, DeKeyser)+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Kunitz, Bonino, Schultz, Sheary · DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Green, Sheahan, DeKeyser

  34. P2 8:32Shot by Malkin, saved by Coreau
  35. P2 10:32Shot by Hagelin, saved by Coreau
  36. P2 10:47Shot by Rust, saved by Coreau
  37. P2 11:00Goal by Kessel (Malkin, Hagelin)+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Hagelin, Schultz · DET Ott, Ericsson, Miller, Sheahan, Ouellet

  38. P2 11:21Shot by Maatta, saved by Coreau
  39. P2 12:05Shot by Tatar, saved by Fleury
  40. P2 12:41Shot by Fehr, saved by Coreau
  41. P2 13:15Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Coreau
  42. P2 13:13Shot by Cole, saved by Coreau
  43. P2 13:34Shot by Mantha, saved by Fleury
  44. P2 14:07Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Coreau
  45. P2 15:06Shot by Sproul, saved by Fleury
  46. P2 15:20Shot by Sheary, saved by Coreau
  47. P2 16:12Cole: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Hornqvist, Bonino, Cole, Hagelin, Schultz · DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Vanek, Nyquist, Ouellet, Larkin

  48. P2 17:49Shot by Vanek, saved by Fleury4v5
  49. P2 17:53Shot by Nyquist, saved by Fleury4v5
  50. P2 18:14Goal by Larkin (Vanek, Green)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Letang, Cole, Dumoulin · DET Vanek, Green, Sheahan, DeKeyser, Larkin

  51. P2 18:54Shot by Schultz, saved by Coreau
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:20Shot by Glendening, saved by Fleury
  55. P3 1:21Shot by Daley, saved by Coreau
  56. P3 1:54Shot by Schultz, saved by Coreau
  57. P3 2:01Shot by Cole, saved by Coreau
  58. P3 2:05Goal by Bonino (Cole, Rust)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Bonino, Cole, Schultz, Rust · DET Kronwall, Vanek, Nyquist, Sproul, Larkin

  59. P3 3:19Shot by Sproul, saved by Fleury
  60. P3 3:26Shot by Wilson, saved by Coreau
  61. P3 4:15Shot by Schultz, saved by Coreau
  62. P3 4:21Shot by Kessel, saved by Coreau
  63. P3 5:18Shot by Vanek, saved by Fleury
  64. P3 6:00Shot by Wilson, saved by Coreau
  65. P3 6:28Goal by Schultz (Cole, Malkin)6v5+27 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Fehr, Malkin, Cole, Schultz, Wilson · DET Ott, Kronwall, Miller, Sheahan, Sproul

  66. P3 7:57Shot by Glendening, saved by Fleury
  67. P3 8:01Shot by Glendening, saved by Fleury
  68. P3 8:28Shot by Vanek, saved by Fleury
  69. P3 10:54Goal by Kessel (Hagelin, Letang)+37 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin · DET Sheahan, Jurco, Sproul, Glendening, DeKeyser

  70. P3 12:27Shot by Miller, saved by Fleury
  71. P3 12:45Shot by Ott, saved by Fleury
  72. P3 17:20Shot by Letang, saved by Coreau
  73. P3 18:06Shot by Green, saved by Fleury
  74. P3 18:51Shot by Kronwall, saved by Fleury5v6
  75. P3 19:19Goal by Cullen (Hornqvist, Crosby)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Cole · DET Zetterberg, Vanek, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, Mantha

  76. P3 19:52Shot by Miller, saved by Fleury
  77. P3 19:59Shot by Sproul, saved by Fleury
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final