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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 5, 2016·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Ottawa Senators 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 8

Away

Ottawa Senators

5

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 75% of the time.

PIT winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:32Shot by Sheary, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 0:59Shot by Pageau, saved by Fleury
  4. P1 1:08Shot by Ceci, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 1:18Shot by Daley, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 1:24Shot by Hagelin, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 1:45Goal by Rust (Malkin, Letang)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Hagelin, Dumoulin, Rust · OTT Kelly, Smith, Borowiecki, Pageau, Ceci

  8. P1 2:30Shot by Wilson, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 2:51Shot by Rust, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 5:14Shot by Wideman, saved by Fleury
  11. P1 6:45Shot by Crosby, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 6:49Shot by Crosby, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 7:34Shot by Brassard, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 8:18Goal by Turris (Dzingel, Wideman)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Fehr, Letang, Dumoulin, Wilson · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Wideman, Dzingel, Pageau

  15. P1 8:45Goal by Crosby (Sheary, Cole)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Hornqvist, Cole, Schultz, Sheary · OTT Kelly, Phaneuf, Pyatt, Smith, Karlsson

  16. P1 9:21Shot by Kessel, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 10:00Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 10:38Shot by Pageau, saved by Fleury
  19. P1 10:37Shot by Pageau, saved by Fleury
  20. P1 10:48Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Fleury
  21. P1 10:49Brassard: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Daley, Kunitz, Bonino, Rust, Maatta · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Hoffman, Stone, Ceci

  22. P1 12:35Shot by Daley, saved by Anderson5v4
  23. P1 12:54Shot by Hagelin, saved by Anderson
  24. P1 12:57Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Anderson
  25. P1 13:18Shot by Karlsson, saved by Fleury
  26. P1 13:34Shot by Karlsson, saved by Fleury
  27. P1 13:44Goal by Karlsson (Stone)+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Fehr, Schultz, Wilson, Maatta · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  28. P1 15:07Borowiecki: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Sheary · OTT Turris, Borowiecki, Dzingel, Pageau, Ceci

  29. P1 16:02Shot by Malkin, saved by Anderson5v4
  30. P1 16:22Shot by Malkin, saved by Anderson5v4
  31. P1 16:38Shot by Daley, saved by Anderson5v4
  32. P1 17:11Shot by Sheary, saved by Anderson
  33. P1 17:52Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Anderson
  34. P1 19:29Shot by Schultz, saved by Anderson
  35. P1 19:53Shot by Letang, saved by Anderson
  36. P1 0:00Period end
  37. P2 0:00Period start
  38. P2 0:33Hornqvist: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Sheary · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  39. P2 0:48Shot by Hoffman, saved by Fleury4v5
  40. P2 1:00Goal by Stone (Phaneuf, Karlsson)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Bonino, Hagelin, Maatta · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  41. P2 1:27Shot by Malkin, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 1:31Shot by Cole, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 1:45Shot by Malkin, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 0:49Shot by Hoffman, saved by Fleury4v5
  45. P2 3:24Shot by Malkin, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 6:39Shot by Stone, saved by Fleury
  47. P2 6:40Daley: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Daley, Malkin, Kessel, Hagelin, Maatta · OTT Brassard, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Stone, Ceci

  48. P2 7:08Goal by Hoffman (Karlsson, Stone)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Fehr, Letang, Cole · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  49. P2 7:30Schultz: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Hornqvist, Cole, Schultz, Sheary · OTT Pyatt, Smith, Borowiecki, Ceci, Robinson

  50. P2 8:28Goal by Cullen (Rust)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Rust, Maatta · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  51. P2 11:55Shot by Pageau, saved by Murray
  52. P2 11:56Shot by Pageau, saved by Murray
  53. P2 12:38Shot by Letang, saved by Anderson
  54. P2 14:13Goal by Kessel (Schultz, Cole)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Kessel, Cole, Schultz, Wilson · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Hoffman, Wideman, Stone

  55. P2 14:37Goal by Schultz (Malkin, Kessel)+27 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Hagelin, Schultz · OTT Turris, Borowiecki, Dzingel, Pageau, Ceci

  56. P2 14:56Pyatt: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Letang, Bonino, Dumoulin, Rust · OTT Kelly, Pyatt, Smith, Karlsson, Englund

  57. P2 15:41Shot by Letang, saved by Anderson5v4
  58. P2 16:00Shot by Sheary, saved by Anderson5v4
  59. P2 15:52Shot by Schultz, saved by Anderson5v4
  60. P2 17:00Shot by Pageau, saved by Murray
  61. P2 18:02Shot by Hoffman, saved by Murray
  62. P2 18:46Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Murray
  63. P2 19:03Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Anderson
  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:10Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 1:05Goal by Malkin (Kessel)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Malkin, Kessel, Hagelin, Maatta · OTT Brassard, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Stone, Ceci

  68. P3 1:27Shot by Bonino, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 2:05Phaneuf: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Fehr, Wilson, Maatta · OTT Neil, Kelly, Phaneuf, Karlsson, Robinson

  70. P3 3:40Shot by Letang, saved by Anderson5v4
  71. P3 4:00Shot by Crosby, saved by Anderson5v4
  72. P3 4:27Shot by Wilson, saved by Anderson
  73. P3 4:48Cullen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Fehr, Cole, Schultz, Wilson · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Hoffman, Wideman, Stone

  74. P3 4:55Shot by Karlsson, saved by Murray4v5
  75. P3 5:11Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Murray4v5
  76. P3 5:23Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Murray4v5
  77. P3 5:26Shot by Stone, saved by Murray4v5
  78. P3 6:13Shot by Turris, saved by Murray4v5
  79. P3 6:17Goal by Phaneuf (Turris, Karlsson)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Bonino, Cole, Hagelin · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  80. P3 6:38Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Anderson
  81. P3 2:55Shot by Ceci, saved by Murray5v4
  82. P3 8:03Shot by Sheary, saved by Anderson
  83. P3 8:34Kessel: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Daley, Malkin, Kessel, Hagelin, Maatta · OTT Brassard, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Stone, Ceci

  84. P3 9:19Shot by Karlsson, saved by Murray4v5
  85. P3 10:27Shot by Smith, saved by Murray4v5
  86. P3 12:09Shot by Brassard, saved by Murray
  87. P3 12:35Shot by Rust, saved by Anderson
  88. P3 12:36Wideman: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Bonino, Rust, Maatta · OTT Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Wideman, Stone

  89. P3 12:36Goal by Rust, unassistedother+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Bonino, Rust, Maatta · OTT Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Wideman, Stone

  90. P3 13:25Shot by Turris, saved by Murray
  91. P3 14:21Shot by Englund, saved by Murray
  92. P3 16:31Shot by Hagelin, saved by Condon
  93. P3 17:32Goal by Rust (Kunitz, Dumoulin)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Letang, Bonino, Dumoulin, Rust · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Dzingel, Pageau

  94. P3 18:15Shot by Kunitz, saved by Condon
  95. P3 19:06Shot by Smith, saved by Murray
  96. P3 0:00Englund: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Bonino, Cole, Schultz, Rust · OTT Neil, Kelly, Pyatt, Ceci, Englund

  97. P3 0:00Period end
  98. P3 0:00Final