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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 8, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Vancouver Canucks 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.

TBL winsVAN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:49Shot by Kucherov, saved by Miller
  3. P1 1:45Shot by Hedman, saved by Miller
  4. P1 2:21Shot by Point, saved by Miller
  5. P1 3:01Shot by Killorn, saved by Miller
  6. P1 3:02Shot by Garrison, saved by Miller
  7. P1 3:25Shot by Sustr, saved by Miller
  8. P1 3:50Goal by Skille (Gudbranson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Garrison, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Sustr · VAN Skille, Gudbranson, Chaput, Gaunce, Hutton

  9. P1 5:34Shot by Eriksson, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 7:11Shot by Horvat, saved by Bishop
  11. P1 8:14Shot by Gaunce, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 8:41Shot by Johnson, saved by Miller
  13. P1 9:03Goal by Gudbranson, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Garrison, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Sustr · VAN Eriksson, Gudbranson, Granlund, Hutton, Megna

  14. P1 11:25Shot by Sustr, saved by Miller
  15. P1 11:40Shot by Sbisa, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 11:48Shot by Sbisa, saved by Bishop
  17. P1 12:04Shot by Vermin, saved by Miller
  18. P1 14:15Killorn: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Brown, Paquette · VAN Eriksson, Sbisa, Granlund, Megna, Stecher

  19. P1 17:18Shot by Sutter, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 18:39Shot by Paquette, saved by Miller
  21. P1 18:40Shot by Boyle, saved by Miller
  22. P1 19:21Shot by Kucherov, saved by Miller
  23. P1 19:26Coburn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Witkowski, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · VAN Eriksson, Sutter, Gudbranson, Granlund, Hutton

  24. P1 19:59Shot by Sedin, saved by Bishop4v5
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:42Shot by Coburn, saved by Miller
  28. P2 2:39Gaunce: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Coburn, Witkowski, Drouin, Point · VAN Skille, Biega, Chaput, Gaunce, Tryamkin

  29. P2 2:44Shot by Point, saved by Miller5v4
  30. P2 3:12Shot by Point, saved by Miller5v4
  31. P2 3:35Shot by Point, saved by Miller5v4
  32. P2 4:25Shot by Hedman, saved by Miller5v4
  33. P2 4:51Shot by Sustr, saved by Miller
  34. P2 5:21Shot by Paquette, saved by Miller
  35. P2 6:01Goal by Megna (Biega, Tryamkin)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Garrison, Brown, Paquette, Sustr · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Biega, Megna, Tryamkin

  36. P2 6:39Shot by Burrows, saved by Bishop
  37. P2 6:59Shot by Johnson, saved by Miller
  38. P2 7:02Shot by Kucherov, saved by Miller
  39. P2 7:18Shot by Stralman, saved by Miller
  40. P2 7:37Shot by Sedin, saved by Bishop
  41. P2 7:52Shot by Filppula, saved by Miller
  42. P2 11:45Shot by Filppula, saved by Miller
  43. P2 11:46Goal by Drouin (Filppula, Witkowski)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Garrison, Witkowski, Drouin, Point · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Sutter, Gudbranson, Hutton

  44. P2 12:01Shot by Horvat, saved by Bishop
  45. P2 12:10Shot by Point, saved by Miller
  46. P2 13:44Shot by Kucherov, saved by Miller
  47. P2 14:51Shot by Stecher, saved by Bishop
  48. P2 15:45Shot by Tryamkin, saved by Bishop
  49. P2 16:13Shot by Burrows, saved by Bishop
  50. P2 16:21Shot by Baertschi, saved by Bishop
  51. P2 16:22Johnson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Johnson, Hedman, Drouin, Point · VAN Burrows, Gudbranson, Baertschi, Horvat, Tryamkin

  52. P2 16:46Shot by Filppula, saved by Miller4v5
  53. P2 17:05Shot by Coburn, saved by Miller4v5
  54. P2 17:27Shot by Horvat, saved by Bishop4v5
  55. P2 17:29Shot by Baertschi, saved by Bishop4v5
  56. P2 18:56Shot by Johnson, saved by Miller
  57. P2 19:59Goal by Megna (Sedin, Granlund)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Garrison, Witkowski, Kucherov, Namestnikov · VAN Sedin, Biega, Granlund, Megna, Tryamkin

  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:12Shot by Burrows, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 0:19Shot by Hutton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 0:59Shot by Hedman, saved by Miller
  63. P3 1:39Shot by Burrows, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 5:25Shot by Chaput, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 6:24Shot by Stecher, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 6:30Shot by Sbisa, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 6:54Shot by Johnson, saved by Miller
  68. P3 7:45Shot by Stralman, saved by Miller
  69. P3 8:08Hutton: Closing hand on puck (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Witkowski, Namestnikov, Brown, Drouin · VAN Burrows, Baertschi, Hutton, Horvat, Tryamkin

  70. P3 8:20Shot by Hedman, saved by Miller5v4
  71. P3 8:27Shot by Johnson, saved by Miller5v4
  72. P3 8:43Shot by Boyle, saved by Miller5v4
  73. P3 9:38Shot by Kucherov, saved by Miller5v4
  74. P3 10:06Shot by Filppula, saved by Miller5v4
  75. P3 10:25Shot by Biega, saved by Vasilevskiy
  76. P3 12:34Shot by Vermin, saved by Miller
  77. P3 13:58Goal by Skille (Gaunce)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Johnson, Kucherov · VAN Skille, Sbisa, Chaput, Gaunce, Stecher

  78. P3 15:22Biega: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Hedman, Paquette, Vermin, Drouin · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Biega, Sutter, Tryamkin

  79. P3 17:10Shot by Drouin, saved by Markstrom5v4
  80. P3 17:20Shot by Coburn, saved by Markstrom5v4
  81. P3 17:53Shot by Tryamkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  82. P3 18:45Shot by Megna, saved by Vasilevskiy
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final