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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 9, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Washington Capitals 4, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

Washington Capitals

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 54% of the time.

BUF winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:56Shot by Orlov, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 1:20Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 1:30Shot by Kane, saved by Grubauer
  5. P1 1:42Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lehner
  6. P1 3:35Chorney: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Franson, Okposo, O'Reilly, Kane, Kulikov, Eichel · WSH Winnik, Chorney, Beagle, Wilson, Schmidt

  7. P1 5:35Shot by Eichel, saved by Grubauer5v4
  8. P1 6:03Shot by Okposo, saved by Grubauer
  9. P1 6:21Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 7:53Shot by Kane, saved by Grubauer
  11. P1 10:29Shot by Carlson, saved by Lehner
  12. P1 11:25Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 12:48Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Grubauer
  14. P1 14:06Shot by McCabe, saved by Grubauer
  15. P1 14:46Shot by Franson, saved by Grubauer
  16. P1 16:46Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Lehner
  17. P1 17:07Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lehner
  18. P1 17:31Shot by Foligno, saved by Grubauer
  19. P1 17:47Shot by Wilson, saved by Lehner
  20. P1 17:48Franson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Franson, Kulikov, Foligno, Larsson · WSH Winnik, Chorney, Beagle, Wilson, Schmidt

  21. P1 18:44Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lehner4v5
  22. P1 18:50Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Lehner4v5
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 2:28Shot by Carlson, saved by Lehner
  26. P2 3:41Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Grubauer
  27. P2 4:21Shot by Foligno, saved by Grubauer
  28. P2 4:58Shot by Kane, saved by Grubauer
  29. P2 5:07Shot by Kane, saved by Grubauer
  30. P2 6:16Shot by Kane, saved by Grubauer
  31. P2 6:43Goal by Oshie (Beagle, Backstrom)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Franson, Kane, Kulikov, Reinhart, Eichel · WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Alzner, Beagle, Carlson

  32. P2 7:04Shot by Wilson, saved by Lehner
  33. P2 7:17Shot by Gionta, saved by Grubauer
  34. P2 9:09Shot by Orlov, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 10:05Shot by Girgensons, saved by Grubauer
  36. P2 10:52Kulikov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Falk, Kane, Kulikov, Girgensons, Eichel · WSH Winnik, Chorney, Beagle, Wilson, Schmidt

  37. P2 12:39Goal by Vrana (Kuznetsov, Orlov)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Franson, O'Reilly, McCabe · WSH Williams, Ovechkin, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Vrana

  38. P2 14:38Shot by Girgensons, saved by Grubauer
  39. P2 14:52Shot by Johansson, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 15:12Shot by Johansson, saved by Lehner
  41. P2 15:59Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lehner
  42. P2 17:46Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Grubauer
  43. P2 18:29Winnik: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Kane, Larsson, McCabe, Ristolainen, Eichel · WSH Winnik, Alzner, Beagle, Carlson, Wilson

  44. P2 19:50Shot by Franson, saved by Grubauer5v4
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:50Kuznetsov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Kulikov, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen · WSH Williams, Ovechkin, Chorney, Kuznetsov, Schmidt

  48. P3 2:29Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Grubauer5v4
  49. P3 3:46Shot by McCabe, saved by Grubauer5v4
  50. P3 4:39Shot by Orpik, saved by Lehner
  51. P3 5:49Shot by Oshie, saved by Lehner
  52. P3 7:10Schmidt: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Franson, Kane, Kulikov, Larsson · WSH Chorney, Eller, Schmidt, Burakovsky, Vrana

  53. P3 10:26Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Grubauer6v5
  54. P3 10:27Orpik: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, McCabe, Carrier, Ristolainen, Eichel · WSH Orpik, Williams, Ovechkin, Orlov, Kuznetsov

  55. P3 10:57Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Grubauer5v4
  56. P3 11:14Shot by Beagle, saved by Lehner5v4
  57. P3 11:40Shot by Eichel, saved by Grubauer5v4
  58. P3 12:01Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Grubauer5v4
  59. P3 12:03Goal by Okposo (Ristolainen, O'Reilly)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · WSH Winnik, Beagle, Carlson, Schmidt

  60. P3 13:12Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lehner
  61. P3 13:28Gionta: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Okposo, Kulikov, Ristolainen, Eichel · WSH Williams, Ovechkin, Chorney, Kuznetsov, Schmidt

  62. P3 14:20Goal by Carlson (Backstrom, Johansson)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Kane, Kulikov, Ristolainen · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Johansson

  63. P3 15:03Shot by Reinhart, saved by Grubauer
  64. P3 15:24Shot by Carlson, saved by Lehner
  65. P3 15:35Shot by Alzner, saved by Lehner
  66. P3 16:53Shot by Gionta, saved by Grubauer
  67. P3 17:27Shot by Foligno, saved by Grubauer
  68. P3 17:48Shot by Winnik, saved by Lehner
  69. P3 18:00Shot by Winnik, saved by Lehner
  70. P3 18:48Goal by Johansson (Oshie, Orlov)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Franson, Okposo, O'Reilly, Kulikov, Foligno, Eichel · WSH Orpik, Oshie, Backstrom, Alzner, Johansson

  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final