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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 10, 2016·TD Garden, Boston

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Boston Bruins 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.

BOS winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:07Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 2:53Shot by Moore, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 4:33Shot by Rielly, saved by Rask
  5. P1 7:39Marner: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Bergeron, Marchand, Pastrnak, Carlo · TOR Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marner

  6. P1 8:35Shot by Krejci, saved by Andersen5v4
  7. P1 9:02Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Andersen5v4
  8. P1 9:14Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Andersen5v4
  9. P1 9:19Shot by Marchand, saved by Andersen5v4
  10. P1 10:48Shot by Chara, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 11:58Shot by Acciari, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 17:31Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 18:02Shot by Nylander, saved by Rask
  14. P1 19:16Shot by McQuaid, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 19:44Shot by Bergeron, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:51Shot by Gardiner, saved by Rask
  19. P2 1:44Goal by Matthews (Nylander)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Marchand, Nash, Pastrnak, Carlo · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews

  20. P2 2:42Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Rask
  21. P2 3:13Shot by Smith, saved by Rask
  22. P2 3:25Shot by Krug, saved by Andersen
  23. P2 3:36Shot by Rielly, saved by Rask
  24. P2 4:52Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Andersen
  25. P2 6:30Shot by Nash, saved by Andersen
  26. P2 7:34Shot by Marchand, saved by Andersen
  27. P2 8:29Shot by Acciari, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 10:14Shot by Backes, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 11:59Shot by Polak, saved by Rask
  30. P2 13:12Shot by Czarnik, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 14:06Shot by Bozak, saved by Rask
  32. P2 14:23Shot by Krug, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 15:14Goal by Hyman (Gardiner, Hunwick)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Backes, Miller, Krug, Heinen · TOR Hunwick, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews

  34. P2 18:38Shot by Marchand, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 18:39Goal by Marchand (Backes)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Backes, Krejci, Marchand, Morrow, Carlo · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Marner

  36. P2 0:00Period end
  37. P3 0:00Period start
  38. P3 2:09Shot by Gardiner, saved by Rask
  39. P3 2:33Shot by Nash, saved by Andersen
  40. P3 3:07Chara: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Moore, Schaller, Carlo, Acciari · TOR Polak, Martin, Rielly, Soshnikov, Matthews

  41. P3 3:14Shot by Nylander, saved by Rask4v5
  42. P3 3:36Shot by Kadri, saved by Rask4v5
  43. P3 3:41Shot by Nylander, saved by Rask4v5
  44. P3 4:50Shot by Rielly, saved by Rask4v5
  45. P3 6:19Shot by Chara, saved by Andersen
  46. P3 7:46Marchand: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Moore, Marchand, Miller, Morrow, Czarnik · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Brown

  47. P3 9:15Shot by Miller, saved by Andersen4v5
  48. P3 9:31Shot by Czarnik, saved by Andersen4v5
  49. P3 9:52Goal by van Riemsdyk (Bozak, Hunwick)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Moore, Marchand, Carlo, Czarnik · TOR Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Soshnikov, Marner

  50. P3 10:19Shot by Smith, saved by Rask
  51. P3 10:32Shot by Heinen, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 11:47Shot by Marner, saved by Rask
  53. P3 13:04Shot by Chara, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 13:58Shot by Martin, saved by Rask
  55. P3 14:22Shot by Bergeron, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 14:51Shot by Bergeron, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 17:43Shot by Marchand, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 18:01Shot by Backes, saved by Andersen6v5
  59. P3 18:27Goal by Brown (Rielly)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Backes, Krejci, Marchand, Krug, Pastrnak · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev

  60. P3 19:06Shot by Miller, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 19:59Shot by McQuaid, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Final