Sun, Dec 18, 2016·United Center, Chicago
San Jose Sharks 1, Chicago Blackhawks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 06 | 115 | 013 | 134 |
| CHI | 010 | 19 | 37 | 426 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:13SJSJoe PavelskiAssists: Brent Burns, Paul Martin · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–0
- P2 16:49CHIDuncan KeithAssists: Artemi Panarin · Slap, 0.03 xG1–1
- P3 6:59CHIRyan HartmanGWGAssists: Vinnie Hinostroza · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
- P3 17:40CHIVinnie HinostrozaAssists: Trevor van Riemsdyk, Ryan Hartman · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–3
- P3 19:13CHIPatrick KaneENAssists: Artemi Panarin, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.67 xG1–4
Penalties (4)
- P1 8:05SJSTimo Meier: Kneeing2 min
- P1 15:47CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 6:41SJSJoe Thornton: Cross checking2 min
- P2 9:17CHIDuncan Keith: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wingels won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestWard – Wingels – Karlsson6:03
xG 0.40–0.05 (88%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Donskoi – Tierney – Meier11:23
xG 0.56–0.35 (61%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Couture – Boedker – Labanc8:59
xG 0.20–0.15 (57%)attempts 6–5goals 0–2
- Thornton – Marleau – Pavelski13:22
xG 0.24–0.81 (23%)attempts 11–16goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchlemko – Dillon12:18
xG 0.42–0.08 (83%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Braun15:13
xG 0.62–0.33 (65%)attempts 13–15goals 0–1
- Martin – Burns14:38
xG 0.82–0.81 (50%)attempts 23–13goals 1–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Hinostroza – Hartman10:00
xG 0.32–0.24 (57%)attempts 6–9goals 2–0
- Toews – Kane – Panarin14:44
xG 0.47–0.53 (47%)attempts 18–11goals 1–0
- Tootoo – Desjardins – Motte4:38
xG 0.15–0.27 (36%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Panik – Kruger – Rasmussen8:41
xG 0.45–0.60 (43%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Hjalmarsson12:16
xG 1.00–0.12 (90%)attempts 18–11goals 1–1
- Keith – van Riemsdyk2:53
xG 0.12–0.11 (52%)attempts 2–2goals 1–0
- van Riemsdyk – Forsling12:52
xG 0.10–0.52 (16%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).