Thu, Dec 22, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 72% of the time.
19%
9%
64%
BUF winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:56 | 0.05 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:32 | 0.07 | 35.8% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:30 | 0.06 | 90.2% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:13 | 0.09 | 89.3% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:40 | 0.12 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 17:28 | 0.12 | 52.1% | +3.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:24 | 0.28 | 47.0% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:05 | 0.10 | 33.2% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:54 | 0.26 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:04 | 0.27 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.00 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.05 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.25 | 23.1% | +16.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:35 | 0.97 | 43.3% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.01 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:57 | 0.22 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:38 | 0.02 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:54 | 0.00 | 36.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 1.79 | +0.8 | 59:43 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 27:31 | 0.00 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 0.08 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:33 | 0.14 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 7 | 20:01 | 0.42 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 19:41 | 0.41 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:03 | 0.00 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.23 | 51.6% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.03 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.04 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:26 | 0.00 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.00 | 61.2% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.02 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:17 | 0.36 | 60.3% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:03 | 0.00 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:31 | 0.04 | 81.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:00 | 0.00 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:56 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:26 | 0.02 | 4.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 2.23 | +0.2 | 58:52 |