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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 22, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 72% of the time.

BUF winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:19Shot by Staal, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 0:50Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  4. P1 1:44Goal by Skinner (Slavin, Hanifin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Okposo, Bogosian, Kulikov, Eichel · CAR Skinner, Rask, Slavin, Hanifin, Ryan

  5. P1 1:52Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward
  6. P1 2:07Shot by Okposo, saved by Ward
  7. P1 2:54Hanifin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Grant, Deslauriers, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen · CAR Staal, Tennyson, McGinn, Lindholm, Hanifin

  8. P1 3:56Shot by Staal, saved by Lehner5v4
  9. P1 5:21Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward
  10. P1 6:01Shot by Falk, saved by Ward
  11. P1 10:08Shot by Rask, saved by Lehner
  12. P1 13:52Shot by Staal, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 14:12Shot by Larsson, saved by Ward
  14. P1 17:42Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  15. P1 17:51Goal by Faulk (Stempniak)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Kane, Larsson, McCabe, Ristolainen · CAR Hainsey, Stempniak, Faulk, Teravainen, Aho

  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:23Shot by Lindholm, saved by Lehner
  19. P2 0:48Larsson: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Kane, Kulikov, Larsson · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Faulk, Rask, McGinn, Lindholm

  20. P2 2:33Shot by Hanifin, saved by Lehner4v5
  21. P2 2:54Shot by Rask, saved by Lehner
  22. P2 4:40Okposo: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Okposo, Falk, Bogosian, Larsson · CAR Stalberg, Nordstrom, Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce

  23. P2 5:53Shot by Faulk, saved by Lehner4v5
  24. P2 5:56Shot by Teravainen, saved by Lehner4v5
  25. P2 7:07Shot by Rask, saved by Lehner
  26. P2 8:37Shot by McClement, saved by Lehner
  27. P2 9:30Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Ward
  28. P2 9:56Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  29. P2 10:16Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  30. P2 10:33Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  31. P2 12:23Shot by Hainsey, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 14:13Grant: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Falk, Bogosian, Grant, Deslauriers, Girgensons · CAR McClement, Stalberg, Nordstrom, Tennyson, Hanifin

  33. P2 15:22Shot by Aho, saved by Lehner4v5
  34. P2 15:23Shot by Stempniak, saved by Lehner4v5
  35. P2 16:46Shot by McGinn, saved by Lehner
  36. P2 17:19Bogosian: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Okposo, Bogosian, McCabe, Eichel · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Faulk, McGinn, Lindholm

  37. P2 17:19Staal: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Okposo, Bogosian, McCabe, Eichel · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Faulk, McGinn, Lindholm

  38. P2 17:19McCabe: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Okposo, Bogosian, McCabe, Eichel · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Faulk, McGinn, Lindholm

  39. P2 17:59Shot by Pesce, saved by Lehner4v5
  40. P2 18:25Shot by Hanifin, saved by Lehner4v5
  41. P2 19:59Shot by Gionta, saved by Ward
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:51Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ward
  45. P3 1:16Shot by Skinner, saved by Lehner
  46. P3 2:01Shot by McGinn, saved by Lehner
  47. P3 2:47Shot by Tennyson, saved by Lehner
  48. P3 3:07Shot by McClement, saved by Lehner
  49. P3 3:29Shot by Lindholm, saved by Lehner
  50. P3 3:44Shot by McGinn, saved by Lehner
  51. P3 3:49Shot by McGinn, saved by Lehner
  52. P3 4:00Shot by Pesce, saved by Lehner
  53. P3 4:51Shot by Kulikov, saved by Ward
  54. P3 5:32Goal by Larsson (Reinhart, Foligno)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Kulikov, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen, Reinhart · CAR Stempniak, Skinner, Tennyson, Teravainen, Hanifin

  55. P3 6:42Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Lehner
  56. P3 7:03Shot by Slavin, saved by Lehner
  57. P3 7:14Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward
  58. P3 8:40Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  59. P3 10:06Shot by Aho, saved by Lehner
  60. P3 11:16Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward
  61. P3 11:38Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward
  62. P3 11:51Shot by Rask, saved by Lehner
  63. P3 12:29Shot by Skinner, saved by Lehner
  64. P3 12:46Shot by Reinhart, saved by Ward
  65. P3 13:04Faulk: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Kulikov, Foligno, Ristolainen, Reinhart · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Faulk, McGinn, Lindholm

  66. P3 14:13Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward5v4
  67. P3 17:16Shot by Pesce, saved by Lehner
  68. P3 18:42Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward6v5
  69. P3 19:00Goal by Aho (Rask, Pesce)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · CAR Rask, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm, Aho

  70. P3 19:35Shot by McCabe, saved by Ward
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final