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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 28, 2016·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 77% of the time.

PIT winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Lindholm, saved by Murray
  3. P1 1:04Shot by Malkin, saved by Ward
  4. P1 2:02Shot by Rask, saved by Murray
  5. P1 3:12Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward
  6. P1 3:32Shot by Staal, saved by Murray
  7. P1 4:40Shot by Skinner, saved by Murray
  8. P1 5:06Shot by Sheary, saved by Ward
  9. P1 5:13Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Murray
  10. P1 5:26Shot by Pouliot, saved by Ward
  11. P1 6:51Shot by Schultz, saved by Ward
  12. P1 8:10Goal by Lindholm (Hanifin, Murphy)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Crosby, Schultz, Rust, Sheary · CAR Staal, Nordstrom, Murphy, Lindholm, Hanifin

  13. P1 8:39Shot by Bonino, saved by Ward
  14. P1 9:28Shot by Teravainen, saved by Murray
  15. P1 9:25Shot by Aho, saved by Murray
  16. P1 9:42Shot by Malkin, saved by Ward
  17. P1 10:08Shot by Pouliot, saved by Ward
  18. P1 11:47Shot by Hainsey, saved by Murray
  19. P1 11:49Shot by Aho, saved by Murray
  20. P1 16:35Shot by Tennyson, saved by Murray
  21. P1 17:40Shot by Stempniak, saved by Murray
  22. P1 18:16Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Ward
  23. P1 18:57Shot by Aho, saved by Murray
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:26Goal by Crosby (Schultz, Sheary)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Crosby, Schultz, Rust, Sheary · CAR Staal, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm

  27. P2 1:24Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Ward
  28. P2 1:31Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward
  29. P2 2:17Shot by Daley, saved by Ward
  30. P2 3:24Shot by Wilson, saved by Ward
  31. P2 4:02Shot by Oleksy, saved by Ward
  32. P2 6:14Shot by McGinn, saved by Murray
  33. P2 10:28Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Murray
  34. P2 10:50Shot by Bonino, saved by Ward
  35. P2 12:30Shot by Teravainen, saved by Murray
  36. P2 12:32Goal by Stempniak (Teravainen, Aho)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Kessel, Bonino, Cole, Hagelin · CAR Stempniak, Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce, Aho

  37. P2 14:20Shot by Hanifin, saved by Murray
  38. P2 14:47Shot by Ryan, saved by Murray
  39. P2 15:57Shot by Aho, saved by Murray
  40. P2 16:14Shot by Hainsey, saved by Murray
  41. P2 16:18Shot by Teravainen, saved by Murray
  42. P2 16:31Shot by Stempniak, saved by Murray
  43. P2 18:04Shot by Ryan, saved by Murray
  44. P2 18:31Shot by Staal, saved by Murray
  45. P2 19:02Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward
  46. P2 19:57Shot by Ryan, saved by Murray
  47. P2 19:59Shot by Hainsey, saved by Murray
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:26Shot by Crosby, saved by Ward
  51. P3 1:50Shot by Oleksy, saved by Ward
  52. P3 1:59Goal by Kunitz (Kessel, Bonino)+24 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Kunitz, Kessel, Bonino, Oleksy · CAR Hainsey, Skinner, Rask, Tennyson, Ryan

  53. P3 2:24Shot by Cole, saved by Ward
  54. P3 3:52Shot by Aho, saved by Fleury
  55. P3 5:16Shot by Stalberg, saved by Fleury
  56. P3 6:34Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Ward
  57. P3 7:23Shot by Ryan, saved by Fleury
  58. P3 7:25Shot by Skinner, saved by Fleury
  59. P3 9:09Shot by Stempniak, saved by Fleury
  60. P3 9:38Shot by Tennyson, saved by Fleury
  61. P3 10:28Shot by Stalberg, saved by Fleury
  62. P3 10:43Shot by Staal, saved by Fleury
  63. P3 11:05Shot by Slavin, saved by Fleury
  64. P3 11:14Shot by Teravainen, saved by Fleury
  65. P3 11:59Shot by Slavin, saved by Fleury
  66. P3 12:09Shot by Oleksy, saved by Ward
  67. P3 12:10Shot by Hagelin, saved by Ward
  68. P3 14:15Shot by McGinn, saved by Fleury
  69. P3 14:16Shot by Stempniak, saved by Fleury
  70. P3 10:39Shot by McGinn, saved by Fleury
  71. P3 10:37Shot by Lindholm, saved by Fleury
  72. P3 15:45Goal by Hagelin (Hornqvist, Daley)+42 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Malkin, Hornqvist, Hagelin, Oleksy · CAR Staal, Tennyson, McGinn, Lindholm, Hanifin

  73. P3 16:14Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward
  74. P3 16:32Shot by Aho, saved by Fleury
  75. P3 16:30Shot by Pesce, saved by Fleury
  76. P3 17:32Shot by McGinn, saved by Fleury
  77. P3 19:13Shot by Aho, saved by Fleury5v6
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final