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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 28, 2016·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 77% of the time.

PIT winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–McGinn–LindholmStempniak–Teravainen–AhoSkinner–Rask–RyanMcClement–Stalberg–NordstromStempniak–Rask–AhoSlavin–PesceHainsey–MurphyTennyson–HanifinHainsey–PesceMurphy–HanifinHainsey–TennysonMurphy–Slavin
Crosby–Rust–Sheary6:290.15–0.571:370.00–0.342:140.08–0.130:540.09–0.035:490.15–0.374:310.08–0.591:080.09–0.00
Kessel–Bonino–Hagelin2:570.16–0.081:180.00–0.453:520.10–0.151:150.07–0.024:180.23–0.550:530.04–0.032:080.05–0.041:230.00–0.050:390.00–0.02
Kunitz–Malkin–Hornqvist1:370.00–0.003:090.09–0.163:410.09–0.232:070.04–0.004:090.14–0.000:580.08–0.000:510.00–0.080:500.00–0.00
Cullen–Fehr–Wilson1:220.00–0.411:250.03–0.203:240.10–0.092:240.00–0.640:400.01–0.183:220.02–0.060:360.10–0.00
Malkin–Hornqvist–Hagelin0:400.10–0.002:460.07–0.130:410.34–0.010:340.00–0.002:590.07–0.13
Kunitz–Kessel–Bonino1:000.07–0.131:530.14–0.412:540.07–0.43
Crosby–Rust–Wilson1:160.00–0.030:420.00–0.000:430.00–0.03
Cole–Ruhwedel3:120.17–0.604:180.23–0.135:030.00–0.532:110.10–0.050:350.00–0.005:450.00–0.723:560.16–0.194:510.24–0.441:040.10–0.000:340.00–0.00
Schultz–Pouliot3:290.01–0.044:150.37–0.502:430.17–0.001:210.00–0.054:460.08–0.094:540.12–0.481:580.35–0.050:460.00–0.080:300.00–0.08
Daley–Oleksy3:490.10–0.202:400.02–0.152:350.52–0.011:350.13–0.052:220.00–0.183:180.07–0.134:070.30–0.070:590.00–0.05
Daley–Schultz3:060.15–0.221:120.00–0.012:230.15–0.101:080.00–0.130:370.00–0.00
Cole–Oleksy1:010.15–0.000:570.03–0.001:080.15–0.000:490.03–0.00
Daley–Ruhwedel0:350.00–0.200:510.00–0.20
Schultz–Ruhwedel0:470.00–0.230:400.00–0.00
Cole–Schultz0:480.04–0.140:310.00–0.02
Cole–Pouliot0:350.00–0.030:430.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRust FSheary FCrosby FHornqvist FKunitz FMalkin FHagelin FBonino FKessel FCullen FFehr FWilson FSchultz DDaley DRuhwedel DCole DOleksy DPouliot DMurray GFleury GStaal FLindholm FMcGinn FAho FStempniak FTeravainen FRask FSkinner FRyan FMcClement FStalberg FNordstrom FPesce DSlavin DHainsey DMurphy DHanifin DTennyson DWard G
PITCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ian ColePIT2724:350:552:0433
Jaccob SlavinCAR3122:550:442:0772
Brett PesceCAR3022:430:451:5164
Justin SchultzPIT2922:090:461:4217
Trevor DaleyPIT2920:520:431:3329
Chad RuhwedelPIT2320:460:541:5920
Ron HainseyCAR2820:310:441:0971
Noah HanifinCAR2419:140:482:0150
Elias LindholmCAR2819:040:411:2194
Brock McGinnCAR2718:590:421:1384
Jordan StaalCAR2718:470:421:1393
Ryan MurphyCAR2618:360:431:0952
Sidney CrosbyPIT2518:020:431:1816
Victor RaskCAR2518:020:431:0963
Patric HornqvistPIT2317:410:461:3240
Sebastian AhoCAR2517:410:421:1881
Lee StempniakCAR2317:100:451:3661
Evgeni MalkinPIT2116:380:481:3250
Jeff SkinnerCAR2516:380:401:1363
Chris KunitzPIT1916:260:521:2831
Phil KesselPIT2016:240:491:1743
Steve OleksyPIT2216:160:441:1727
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2316:050:421:3671
Carl HagelinPIT2116:020:461:1753
Matt TennysonCAR2116:010:462:0920
Nick BoninoPIT2115:520:451:1734
Derrick PouliotPIT1915:220:492:0313
Derek RyanCAR2415:160:381:1354
Bryan RustPIT2415:130:381:1116
Conor ShearyPIT2013:360:412:0624
Matt CullenPIT1911:480:371:1815
Scott WilsonPIT1711:360:411:3215
Eric FehrPIT1810:420:361:2015
Joakim NordstromCAR158:240:341:0230
Viktor StalbergCAR158:140:330:5631
Jay McClementCAR158:070:320:5820