Thu, Dec 29, 2016·Gila River Arena, Glendale
New York Rangers 6, Arizona Coyotes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 89% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 211 | 113 | 38 | 632 |
| ARI | 18 | 15 | 18 | 321 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:24NYRMatt PuempelPPAssists: Jimmy Vesey · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–0
- P1 8:01NYRNick HoldenPPAssists: J.T. Miller, Kevin Hayes · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–0
- P1 15:16ARIChristian DvorakAssists: Connor Murphy, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Slap, 0.03 xG2–1
- P2 1:13NYRChris KreiderAssists: Nick Holden, Mats Zuccarello · Tip-in, 0.13 xG3–1
- P2 15:32ARIAnthony DuclairAssists: Lawson Crouse, Jakob Chychrun · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–2
- P3 7:32ARITobias RiederPPAssists: Radim Vrbata, Martin Hanzal · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–3
- P3 14:40NYRMatt PuempelPPGWGAssists: Ryan McDonagh, Kevin Hayes · Tip-in, 0.18 xG4–3
- P3 19:33NYRJ.T. MillerENAssists: Kevin Hayes, Jesper Fast · Tip-in, 0.72 xG5–3
- P3 19:43NYRMatt PuempelPPAssists: Brandon Pirri, Marek Hrivik · Wrist, 0.22 xG6–3
Penalties (10)
- P1 0:26ARIJordan Martinook: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 6:03ARILuke Schenn: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 17:36NYROscar Lindberg: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:31ARIMartin Hanzal: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:29NYRBrady Skjei: Holding2 min
- P2 12:39ARIPeter Holland: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:48ARIAnthony Duclair: Interference2 min
- P3 6:43NYRRyan McDonagh: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 13:41ARIMartin Hanzal: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 19:33ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Martinook won the faceoff against Hayes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestGrabner – Hayes – Vesey10:55
xG 0.91–0.30 (75%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Stepan – Kreider – Zuccarello11:11
xG 0.35–0.14 (72%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Lindberg – Fast – Miller10:26
xG 0.31–0.27 (53%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
- Pirri – Hrivik – Puempel6:45
xG 0.07–0.34 (17%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGirardi – Skjei9:21
xG 0.50–0.17 (75%)attempts 10–12goals 0–2
- Staal – Holden12:44
xG 0.58–0.27 (68%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Klein – McDonagh16:40
xG 0.44–0.60 (42%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestJooris – Dvorak – Crouse5:40
xG 0.29–0.04 (87%)attempts 8–1goals 1–0
- Doan – Holland – Perlini11:09
xG 0.21–0.36 (37%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Vrbata – McGinn – Martinook9:47
xG 0.31–0.58 (35%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Hanzal – Rieder – Duclair9:57
xG 0.20–0.48 (29%)attempts 10–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – DeAngelo16:44
xG 0.71–0.23 (75%)attempts 20–7goals 0–0
- Schenn – Chychrun8:45
xG 0.11–0.64 (15%)attempts 5–15goals 1–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Murphy13:37
xG 0.25–0.84 (23%)attempts 11–14goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 89% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).