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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 3, 2017·Madison Square Garden, New York

Buffalo Sabres 4, New York Rangers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 51% of the time.

NYR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:44Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 2:30Shot by Bogosian, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 3:27Skjei: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Staal, Lindberg, Fast, Miller, Skjei · BUF Gionta, Kane, Girgensons, McCabe, Carrier, Ristolainen

  5. P1 4:18Shot by Okposo, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  6. P1 5:14Shot by Franson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  7. P1 9:54Shot by McDonagh, saved by Nilsson
  8. P1 10:30Shot by Moulson, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 11:12Shot by Fedun, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 12:17Goal by Girgensons (Carrier, Gionta)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Skjei · BUF Gionta, Girgensons, McCabe, Carrier, Ristolainen

  11. P1 16:00Shot by Kreider, saved by Nilsson
  12. P1 16:07Shot by Stepan, saved by Nilsson
  13. P1 16:38Shot by Kreider, saved by Nilsson
  14. P1 18:54Shot by McDonagh, saved by Nilsson
  15. P1 19:20Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 19:21Goal by Kane (Reinhart, Okposo)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Holden, Zuccarello, Hayes, Vesey · BUF Franson, Okposo, Bogosian, Kane, Reinhart

  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:26Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Nilsson
  20. P2 0:51Shot by McDonagh, saved by Nilsson
  21. P2 1:03Goal by Bailey, unassisted+11 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Grabner, McDonagh, Hayes, Vesey · BUF Franson, Kane, McCabe, Bailey, Reinhart

  22. P2 1:17Shot by Fast, saved by Nilsson
  23. P2 2:21Shot by Jensen, saved by Nilsson
  24. P2 2:37Shot by Jensen, saved by Nilsson
  25. P2 4:48Shot by Stepan, saved by Nilsson
  26. P2 5:19Shot by Stepan, saved by Nilsson
  27. P2 6:04Shot by Pirri, saved by Nilsson
  28. P2 6:08Shot by Hrivik, saved by Nilsson
  29. P2 6:34Girardi: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Grabner, Hayes, Skjei, Vesey · BUF Franson, Okposo, Bogosian, Kane, Eichel

  30. P2 9:33Carrier: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Skjei · BUF Franson, Bogosian, Deslauriers, Girgensons, Carrier

  31. P2 9:50Shot by Pirri, saved by Nilsson5v4
  32. P2 10:37Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Nilsson5v4
  33. P2 11:19Shot by Skjei, saved by Nilsson5v4
  34. P2 14:42Shot by Grant, saved by Lundqvist
  35. P2 15:55Goal by Holden (Miller, Lindberg)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Holden, Lindberg, Fast, Miller, Skjei · BUF Franson, Okposo, Bogosian, Foligno, Eichel

  36. P2 16:22Shot by Bailey, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 18:13Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Nilsson
  38. P2 18:51Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Nilsson
  39. P2 19:08Shot by Okposo, saved by Lundqvist
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:18Vesey: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Grabner, Hayes, Skjei, Vesey · BUF Gionta, Girgensons, McCabe, Carrier, Ristolainen

  43. P3 0:51Shot by Moulson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  44. P3 1:10Goal by Eichel (Reinhart, Moulson)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Zuccarello · BUF Moulson, Okposo, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  45. P3 4:07Holden: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Grabner, Holden, Hayes, Vesey · BUF Franson, Bogosian, Kane, Bailey, Reinhart

  46. P3 8:15Shot by Bogosian, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P3 8:17Shot by Foligno, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P3 14:32Shot by Lindberg, saved by Nilsson
  49. P3 14:40Shot by Jensen, saved by Nilsson
  50. P3 15:30Shot by Hrivik, saved by Nilsson
  51. P3 15:51Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Nilsson
  52. P3 17:31Shot by Girgensons, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P3 17:31Skjei: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Klein, Grabner, Hayes, Skjei, Vesey · BUF Gionta, Falk, Grant, Fedun, Girgensons

  54. P3 18:43Shot by Fedun, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  55. P3 19:00Shot by Stepan, saved by Nilsson4v5
  56. P3 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Final