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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 7, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Winnipeg Jets 3, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Winnipeg Jets

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 55% of the time.

BUF winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 1:02Shot by Scheifele, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 2:09Shot by Matthias, saved by Lehner
  5. P1 2:30Shot by Armia, saved by Lehner
  6. P1 4:48Goal by Ehlers (Laine, Scheifele)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, O'Reilly, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen · WPG Enstrom, Scheifele, Trouba, Ehlers, Laine

  7. P1 5:02Shot by Kane, saved by Hellebuyck
  8. P1 5:32Franson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Franson, Bogosian, Kane, Bailey, Reinhart · WPG Matthias, Postma, Chiarot, Lowry, Armia

  9. P1 5:44Shot by Perreault, saved by Lehner4v5
  10. P1 6:03Shot by Perreault, saved by Lehner4v5
  11. P1 8:36Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Hellebuyck
  12. P1 10:04Shot by Gionta, saved by Hellebuyck
  13. P1 11:30Shot by Matthias, saved by Lehner
  14. P1 11:50Shot by Wheeler, saved by Lehner
  15. P1 12:10Shot by Bogosian, saved by Hellebuyck
  16. P1 13:03Shot by Scheifele, saved by Lehner
  17. P1 13:02Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Lehner
  18. P1 13:15Shot by Moulson, saved by Hellebuyck
  19. P1 13:36Shot by Fedun, saved by Hellebuyck
  20. P1 13:50Shot by Little, saved by Lehner
  21. P1 14:43Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehner
  22. P1 15:12Shot by Petan, saved by Lehner
  23. P1 15:48Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Hellebuyck
  24. P1 17:04Shot by Reinhart, saved by Hellebuyck
  25. P1 17:06Shot by Reinhart, saved by Hellebuyck
  26. P1 17:23Shot by Armia, saved by Lehner
  27. P1 19:36Goal by O'Reilly (Reinhart)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart · WPG Enstrom, Scheifele, Trouba, Ehlers, Laine

  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:40Franson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Franson, Okposo, Bogosian, Foligno, Eichel · WPG Byfuglien, Wheeler, Perreault, Scheifele, Morrissey

  31. P2 2:28Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehner4v5
  32. P2 2:29Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehner4v5
  33. P2 2:30Goal by Stafford (Wheeler, Perreault)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Kane, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen · WPG Wheeler, Stafford, Little, Perreault, Trouba

  34. P2 5:07Shot by Morrissey, saved by Lehner5v6
  35. P2 5:08Falk: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Falk, O'Reilly, Fedun, Girgensons · WPG Byfuglien, Wheeler, Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Laine

  36. P2 5:10Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Lehner4v5
  37. P2 6:03Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Lehner4v5
  38. P2 6:24Shot by Laine, saved by Lehner4v5
  39. P2 7:17Shot by Laine, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 7:36Shot by Morrissey, saved by Lehner
  41. P2 7:50Shot by Lowry, saved by Lehner
  42. P2 7:51Goal by Armia (Lowry, Morrissey)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Franson, Okposo, Bogosian, Foligno, Eichel · WPG Matthias, Lowry, Armia, Trouba, Morrissey

  43. P2 11:47Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Hellebuyck
  44. P2 11:54Shot by Gionta, saved by Hellebuyck
  45. P2 12:09Shot by Morrissey, saved by Lehner
  46. P2 12:19Shot by Wheeler, saved by Lehner
  47. P2 12:51Shot by Bailey, saved by Hellebuyck
  48. P2 12:59Shot by Postma, saved by Lehner
  49. P2 13:40Shot by Foligno, saved by Hellebuyck
  50. P2 13:42Petan: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Falk, O'Reilly, Foligno, Fedun, Girgensons · WPG Enstrom, Stafford, Trouba, Copp, Petan

  51. P2 14:01Shot by Eichel, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  52. P2 14:26Shot by Eichel, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  53. P2 14:31Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  54. P2 14:53Shot by Trouba, saved by Lehner5v4
  55. P2 15:29Shot by Moulson, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  56. P2 15:34Copp: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Moulson, Franson, Kane, McCabe · WPG Byfuglien, Matthias, Chiarot, Copp

  57. P2 15:37Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Hellebuyck5v3
  58. P2 17:59Shot by Falk, saved by Hellebuyck
  59. P2 18:42Byfuglien: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart · WPG Byfuglien, Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Laine

  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:19Shot by Okposo, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  63. P3 0:55Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Hellebuyck
  64. P3 2:56Shot by Trouba, saved by Lehner
  65. P3 3:16Shot by Wheeler, saved by Lehner
  66. P3 3:22Shot by Trouba, saved by Lehner
  67. P3 3:44Shot by Gionta, saved by Hellebuyck
  68. P3 4:24Shot by Bailey, saved by Hellebuyck
  69. P3 5:12Goal by Foligno (Franson)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Franson, Bogosian, Foligno, Eichel · WPG Byfuglien, Little, Perreault, Armia, Morrissey

  70. P3 5:17Shot by Girgensons, saved by Hellebuyck
  71. P3 5:38Goal by Girgensons (Moulson)+27 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, O'Reilly, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen · WPG Enstrom, Wheeler, Little, Perreault, Trouba

  72. P3 5:51Scheifele: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Foligno, McCabe, Ristolainen, Eichel · WPG Byfuglien, Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Laine

  73. P3 6:47Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  74. P3 9:54Goal by Gionta (O'Reilly, Girgensons)+36 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, O'Reilly, Fedun, Girgensons, Ristolainen · WPG Byfuglien, Wheeler, Little, Perreault, Morrissey

  75. P3 10:43Shot by Okposo, saved by Hellebuyck
  76. P3 10:49Shot by Eichel, saved by Hellebuyck
  77. P3 11:39Shot by Franson, saved by Hellebuyck
  78. P3 11:50Shot by Gionta, saved by Hellebuyck
  79. P3 13:13Shot by Lowry, saved by Lehner
  80. P3 17:12Shot by Foligno, saved by Hellebuyck
  81. P3 17:42Shot by Eichel, saved by Hellebuyck
  82. P3 17:48Shot by Fedun, saved by Hellebuyck
  83. P3 0:00Lehner: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Gionta, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Ristolainen · WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Wheeler, Little, Scheifele, Ehlers

  84. P3 0:00Little: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Ristolainen · WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Wheeler, Little, Scheifele, Ehlers

  85. P3 0:00Foligno: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Ristolainen · WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Wheeler, Little, Scheifele, Ehlers

  86. P3 0:00Byfuglien: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Ristolainen · WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Wheeler, Little, Scheifele, Ehlers

  87. P3 0:00Byfuglien: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Ristolainen · WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Wheeler, Little, Scheifele, Ehlers

  88. P3 0:00Byfuglien: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Ristolainen · WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Wheeler, Little, Scheifele, Ehlers

  89. P3 19:58Shot by Ehlers, saved by Lehner5v6
  90. P3 0:00Byfuglien: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Ristolainen · WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Wheeler, Little, Scheifele, Ehlers

  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. P3 0:00Final