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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 10, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Philadelphia Flyers 1, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 57% of the time.

BUF winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:09Shot by Schenn, saved by Nilsson
  3. P1 1:24Shot by Eichel, saved by Mason
  4. P1 2:53Shot by Couturier, saved by Nilsson
  5. P1 3:14Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mason
  6. P1 3:25Shot by Foligno, saved by Mason
  7. P1 3:39Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mason
  8. P1 5:28Deslauriers: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Falk, O'Reilly, Deslauriers, Fedun · PHI Voracek, Manning, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Konecny

  9. P1 5:28Manning: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Falk, O'Reilly, Deslauriers, Fedun · PHI Voracek, Manning, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Konecny

  10. P1 6:05Shot by Weise, saved by Nilsson
  11. P1 9:03Shot by Fedun, saved by Mason
  12. P1 9:18Shot by Weise, saved by Nilsson
  13. P1 10:00Shot by Moulson, saved by Mason
  14. P1 10:47Shot by Girgensons, saved by Mason
  15. P1 10:54Shot by Franson, saved by Mason
  16. P1 12:26Shot by Simmonds, saved by Nilsson
  17. P1 15:53Shot by Weise, saved by Nilsson
  18. P1 16:17Shot by Manning, saved by Nilsson
  19. P1 17:03Falk: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Falk, Foligno, Ristolainen, Eichel · PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Read, Raffl, Provorov

  20. P1 17:17Shot by Voracek, saved by Nilsson4v5
  21. P1 17:38Shot by Schenn, saved by Nilsson4v5
  22. P1 17:45Shot by Schenn, saved by Nilsson4v5
  23. P1 17:51Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Nilsson4v5
  24. P1 18:08Shot by Weise, saved by Nilsson4v5
  25. P1 18:43Shot by Schenn, saved by Nilsson4v5
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:26Shot by Voracek, saved by Nilsson
  29. P2 0:39Shot by MacDonald, saved by Nilsson
  30. P2 1:29Shot by Eichel, saved by Mason
  31. P2 3:26Shot by Kane, saved by Mason
  32. P2 3:55Shot by Bailey, saved by Mason
  33. P2 3:57Schenn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Franson, Bogosian, Kane, Bailey, Reinhart · PHI Simmonds, Weise, Schenn, Manning, Gostisbehere

  34. P2 5:15Goal by Reinhart (Ristolainen, O'Reilly)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · PHI VandeVelde, MacDonald, Bellemare, Provorov

  35. P2 6:16Shot by Konecny, saved by Nilsson
  36. P2 7:11Shot by Kane, saved by Mason
  37. P2 7:21Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mason
  38. P2 8:37Shot by Fedun, saved by Mason
  39. P2 8:39Goal by Carrier (Fedun, O'Reilly)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Falk, O'Reilly, Fedun, Carrier · PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Read, Raffl, Provorov

  40. P2 9:11Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Nilsson
  41. P2 10:28Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mason
  42. P2 12:37Shot by Foligno, saved by Mason
  43. P2 12:43Shot by Okposo, saved by Mason
  44. P2 13:18Shot by Giroux, saved by Nilsson
  45. P2 15:13Del Zotto: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Foligno, McCabe, Ristolainen, Eichel · PHI Voracek, Del Zotto, Gudas, Couturier, Konecny

  46. P2 16:09Shot by Simmonds, saved by Nilsson5v4
  47. P2 16:43Shot by Kane, saved by Mason5v4
  48. P2 16:57Shot by Simmonds, saved by Nilsson5v4
  49. P2 17:52Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Nilsson
  50. P2 18:00Shot by Raffl, saved by Nilsson
  51. P2 18:25Shot by Weise, saved by Nilsson
  52. P2 18:34Shot by Konecny, saved by Nilsson
  53. P2 19:51Goal by Kane (Reinhart, Bogosian)+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Franson, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, Reinhart · PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Simmonds, Schenn, Provorov

  54. P2 19:57Shot by Konecny, saved by Nilsson
  55. P2 19:59Shot by Gudas, saved by Nilsson
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:45Shot by Kane, saved by Mason
  59. P3 1:14Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mason
  60. P3 2:27Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Nilsson
  61. P3 2:33Shot by Giroux, saved by Nilsson
  62. P3 4:24Shot by Couturier, saved by Nilsson
  63. P3 4:29Shot by Provorov, saved by Nilsson
  64. P3 6:04Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Nilsson
  65. P3 7:00Shot by Voracek, saved by Nilsson
  66. P3 7:53Shot by Read, saved by Nilsson
  67. P3 10:16Shot by Manning, saved by Nilsson
  68. P3 10:25Shot by Carrier, saved by Mason
  69. P3 11:38Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Nilsson
  70. P3 12:11Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Nilsson
  71. P3 13:09Shot by Simmonds, saved by Nilsson
  72. P3 13:29Shot by Okposo, saved by Mason
  73. P3 15:07Shot by Kane, saved by Mason
  74. P3 16:32McCabe: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Foligno, Fedun, McCabe, Carrier, Eichel · PHI Giroux, Del Zotto, Gudas, Read, Raffl

  75. P3 16:38Shot by Giroux, saved by Nilsson4v6
  76. P3 17:53Goal by Schenn (Giroux, Provorov)4v60 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Falk, O'Reilly, Ristolainen · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere, Provorov

  77. P3 17:58Shot by Konecny, saved by Nilsson
  78. P3 19:56Goal by Foligno (Reinhart, McCabe)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Schenn, Gostisbehere

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final