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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 12, 2017·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Detroit Red Wings 2, Dallas Stars 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 65% of the time.

DAL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:39Goal by Korpikoski (Benn, Sharp)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Sharp, Korpikoski, Benn, Faksa · DET Ott, Miller, Green, Jensen, Glendening

  3. P1 4:39Shot by Ritchie, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 4:48Shot by Johns, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 6:52Shot by Green, saved by Niemi
  6. P1 6:55Eakin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Roussel, Eakin, Klingberg, Lindell · DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Mantha

  7. P1 7:02Shot by Nielsen, saved by Niemi4v5
  8. P1 10:51Ritchie: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Hudler, Johns, Ritchie, Shore · DET Zetterberg, Abdelkader, Tatar, Jensen, Ouellet, Larkin

  9. P1 12:29Shot by Nyquist, saved by Niemi4v5
  10. P1 13:01Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Niemi
  11. P1 13:03Seguin: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Oduya, Eaves, Korpikoski, Johns, Ritchie · DET Ericsson, Marchenko, Glendening, Athanasiou, Mantha

  12. P1 13:08Shot by Mantha, saved by Niemi4v5
  13. P1 13:10Faksa: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Benn, Roussel, Faksa · DET Abdelkader, Tatar, DeKeyser, Mantha, Larkin

  14. P1 13:46Shot by Green, saved by Niemi3v5
  15. P1 14:09Goal by Nyquist (Vanek, Zetterberg)3v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Oduya, Benn, Eakin · DET Zetterberg, Vanek, Green, Nyquist, Mantha

  16. P1 15:35Shot by Glendening, saved by Niemi
  17. P1 15:42Goal by Zetterberg (Nyquist, Mantha)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Sharp, Korpikoski, Klingberg, Faksa, Lindell · DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Nyquist, Marchenko, Mantha

  18. P1 16:39Shot by Glendening, saved by Niemi
  19. P1 19:03Shot by Nyquist, saved by Niemi
  20. P1 19:14Shot by Eakin, saved by Mrazek
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:15Shot by Seguin, saved by Mrazek
  24. P2 0:47Mantha: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Benn, Eakin, Klingberg, Lindell · DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Nyquist, Marchenko, Mantha

  25. P2 3:31Goal by Ritchie (Faksa)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Oduya, Korpikoski, Johns, Ritchie, Faksa · DET Abdelkader, Tatar, Ouellet, DeKeyser, Larkin

  26. P2 4:07Shot by Ericsson, saved by Niemi
  27. P2 4:38Shot by Ouellet, saved by Niemi
  28. P2 5:12Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Niemi
  29. P2 6:37Shot by Benn, saved by Mrazek
  30. P2 6:51Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Mrazek
  31. P2 8:09Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Niemi
  32. P2 9:11Shot by Hudler, saved by Mrazek
  33. P2 10:39Shot by Klingberg, saved by Mrazek
  34. P2 14:58Shot by Miller, saved by Niemi
  35. P2 15:53Shot by Shore, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 15:53Goal by Klingberg (Shore)+28 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Hudler, Klingberg, Ritchie, Shore · DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Vanek, Green, Athanasiou

  37. P2 16:42Goal by Johns (Oduya, Spezza)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Oduya, Roussel, Eakin, Johns · DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Nyquist, Ouellet, Mantha

  38. P2 18:07Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 18:22Shot by Ott, saved by Niemi
  40. P2 18:48Shot by Eakin, saved by Mrazek
  41. P2 19:02Shot by Lindell, saved by Mrazek
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:20Shot by Ouellet, saved by Niemi
  45. P3 2:04Shot by Marchenko, saved by Niemi
  46. P3 3:57Shot by Spezza, saved by Mrazek
  47. P3 4:49Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Mrazek
  48. P3 5:29Shot by Ott, saved by Niemi
  49. P3 6:50Shot by Spezza, saved by Mrazek
  50. P3 7:49Shot by Tatar, saved by Niemi
  51. P3 8:20Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Niemi
  52. P3 8:42Shot by Benn, saved by Mrazek
  53. P3 9:08Shot by Nielsen, saved by Niemi
  54. P3 10:16Shot by Mantha, saved by Niemi
  55. P3 10:21Shot by Mantha, saved by Niemi
  56. P3 10:23Shot by Mantha, saved by Niemi
  57. P3 14:00Shot by Green, saved by Niemi
  58. P3 14:19Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Niemi
  59. P3 14:22Spezza: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Roussel, Seguin, Klingberg, Lindell · DET Nielsen, Vanek, Green, Athanasiou, DeKeyser

  60. P3 14:20Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Niemi
  61. P3 16:31Shot by Jensen, saved by Niemi
  62. P3 16:55Shot by Ouellet, saved by Niemi5v6
  63. P3 18:11Shot by Nielsen, saved by Niemi5v6
  64. P3 18:43Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Niemi5v6
  65. P3 18:54Goal by Eaves, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Eaves, Roussel, Eakin, Klingberg · DET Abdelkader, Tatar, Ouellet, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Larkin

  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final