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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 12, 2017·Pepsi Center, Denver

Anaheim Ducks 4, Colorado Avalanche 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 63% of the time.

COL winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Shot by Landeskog, saved by Gibson
  3. P1 1:55Shot by Soderberg, saved by Gibson
  4. P1 2:07Shot by Martinsen, saved by Gibson
  5. P1 2:15Shot by Martinsen, saved by Gibson
  6. P1 2:25Shot by Zadorov, saved by Gibson
  7. P1 3:10Shot by Perry, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 3:52Goal by Silfverberg, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Goloubef · ANA Bieksa, Kesler, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Manson

  9. P1 4:09Shot by Kase, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 5:24Goal by MacKinnon, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · ANA Kesler, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Manson, Lindholm

  11. P1 6:09Shot by Fowler, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 6:15Goal by Rakell (Bieksa, Getzlaf)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Bourque, Wiercioch, Duchene, Nieto, Zadorov · ANA Bieksa, Getzlaf, Perry, Fowler, Rakell

  13. P1 6:29Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Gibson
  14. P1 9:38Shot by Kase, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 9:42Shot by Kase, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 10:02Shot by Kase, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 11:04Shot by Noesen, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 11:25Shot by Shaw, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 12:42Grigorenko: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Wiercioch, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · ANA Getzlaf, Kesler, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Vatanen, Theodore

  20. P1 15:02Shot by Cogliano, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 15:45Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Gibson
  22. P1 17:35Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 19:10Shot by Kesler, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 19:31Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Varlamov
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:14Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson
  28. P2 2:27Shot by Ritchie, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 2:42McLeod: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Tyutin, McLeod, Barrie, Grigorenko, Martinsen · ANA Bieksa, Cramarossa, Shaw, Noesen, Theodore

  30. P2 2:42Cramarossa: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Tyutin, McLeod, Barrie, Grigorenko, Martinsen · ANA Bieksa, Cramarossa, Shaw, Noesen, Theodore

  31. P2 3:07Shot by Nieto, saved by Gibson
  32. P2 3:19Shot by Kesler, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 5:01Shot by Nieto, saved by Gibson
  34. P2 5:12Shot by Soderberg, saved by Gibson
  35. P2 6:00Shot by Cogliano, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 6:02Shot by Theodore, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 6:03Goal by Kesler (Theodore, Cogliano)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Tyutin, Comeau, Barrie, Grigorenko · ANA Kesler, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Lindholm, Theodore

  38. P2 7:15Shot by Rantanen, saved by Gibson
  39. P2 8:29Shot by Theodore, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 9:33Shot by Landeskog, saved by Gibson
  41. P2 10:39Shot by Iginla, saved by Gibson6v5
  42. P2 10:41Kesler: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Iginla, Comeau, Soderberg, Wiercioch, Barrie, MacKinnon · ANA Bieksa, Kesler, Silfverberg, Fowler, Ritchie

  43. P2 11:11Shot by Rantanen, saved by Gibson5v4
  44. P2 14:07Shot by Theodore, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 15:17Shot by Zadorov, saved by Gibson
  46. P2 15:28Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson
  47. P2 16:42Shot by Perry, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 17:48Shot by Fowler, saved by Varlamov
  49. P2 17:52Shot by Cramarossa, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 18:57Shot by Landeskog, saved by Gibson
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 3:43Shot by Cogliano, saved by Varlamov
  54. P3 3:49Shot by Manson, saved by Varlamov
  55. P3 4:35Shot by Duchene, saved by Gibson
  56. P3 6:28Shot by Cogliano, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 6:34Silfverberg: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Bourque, Wiercioch, Duchene, Landeskog · ANA Bieksa, Kesler, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Theodore

  58. P3 7:36Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson5v4
  59. P3 7:38Shot by Soderberg, saved by Gibson5v4
  60. P3 8:07Shot by Cogliano, saved by Varlamov5v4
  61. P3 8:45Shot by Landeskog, saved by Gibson
  62. P3 8:56Shot by Barrie, saved by Gibson
  63. P3 8:59Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson
  64. P3 9:37Shot by Bourque, saved by Gibson
  65. P3 10:11Vatanen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Comeau, Soderberg, Barrie, Zadorov · ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Vatanen, Rakell, Theodore

  66. P3 10:55Shot by Soderberg, saved by Gibson5v4
  67. P3 12:11Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Gibson5v4
  68. P3 13:18Shot by Landeskog, saved by Gibson
  69. P3 15:04Shot by Barrie, saved by Gibson
  70. P3 15:18Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson
  71. P3 15:28Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 15:53Shot by Rakell, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 16:17Shot by Iginla, saved by Gibson
  74. P3 16:42Shot by Vatanen, saved by Varlamov
  75. P3 17:20Shot by Barrie, saved by Gibson6v5
  76. P3 18:24Goal by Perry (Rakell, Fowler)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · ANA Bieksa, Getzlaf, Perry, Fowler, Rakell

  77. P3 19:20Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Gibson
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final