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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 14, 2017·PNC Arena, Raleigh

New York Islanders 4, Carolina Hurricanes 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 78% of the time.

CAR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:26Shot by Lindholm, saved by Greiss
  3. P1 1:45Shot by Bailey, saved by Ward
  4. P1 2:20Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Ward
  5. P1 2:34Shot by Hanifin, saved by Greiss
  6. P1 3:18Shot by Cizikas, saved by Ward
  7. P1 4:01Shot by Staal, saved by Greiss
  8. P1 4:16Goal by Tavares (Mayfield)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm · NYI Hickey, Bailey, Tavares, Lee, Mayfield

  9. P1 4:26Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Ward
  10. P1 4:37Shot by Faulk, saved by Greiss
  11. P1 4:45Shot by Aho, saved by Greiss
  12. P1 4:49Shot by Faulk, saved by Greiss
  13. P1 5:29Shot by Strome, saved by Ward
  14. P1 6:04Shot by Skinner, saved by Greiss
  15. P1 7:15Shot by Staal, saved by Greiss
  16. P1 7:25Shot by McGinn, saved by Greiss
  17. P1 7:34Shot by Chimera, saved by Ward
  18. P1 9:55Shot by Pelech, saved by Ward
  19. P1 11:20Shot by Aho, saved by Greiss
  20. P1 12:33Shot by McGinn, saved by Greiss
  21. P1 14:41Shot by Skinner, saved by Greiss
  22. P1 14:50Shot by Slavin, saved by Greiss
  23. P1 15:57Shot by Staal, saved by Greiss
  24. P1 16:24Shot by Lindholm, saved by Greiss
  25. P1 16:26Goal by McGinn (Lindholm, Staal)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, McGinn, Lindholm, Hanifin · NYI Chimera, Hickey, Quine, Mayfield, Beauvillier

  26. P1 16:58Shot by Hickey, saved by Ward
  27. P1 17:54Shot by Nelson, saved by Ward
  28. P1 18:08Goal by Lee (Leddy, Bailey)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm · NYI Bailey, Tavares, Leddy, Lee, Pelech

  29. P1 18:19Shot by Lindholm, saved by Greiss
  30. P1 18:35Shot by Leddy, saved by Ward
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:40Shot by Strome, saved by Ward
  34. P2 1:52Goal by Chimera (Beauvillier, Quine)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm · NYI Chimera, Hickey, Quine, Mayfield, Beauvillier

  35. P2 2:51Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ward
  36. P2 3:15Shot by Aho, saved by Greiss
  37. P2 3:52Shot by Rask, saved by Greiss
  38. P2 4:55Shot by Faulk, saved by Greiss
  39. P2 4:58Goal by Faulk (Lindholm)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Faulk, Tennyson, McGinn, Lindholm · NYI Hickey, Bailey, Tavares, Lee, Mayfield

  40. P2 5:36Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Ward
  41. P2 5:57Shot by Stempniak, saved by Greiss
  42. P2 6:28Shot by Stalberg, saved by Greiss
  43. P2 7:28Shot by Hainsey, saved by Greiss
  44. P2 7:50Shot by Skinner, saved by Greiss
  45. P2 8:57Goal by Lindholm (McGinn, Staal)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm · NYI Seidenberg, Bailey, Tavares, de Haan, Lee

  46. P2 9:06Shot by Lindholm, saved by Greiss
  47. P2 9:24Shot by Staal, saved by Greiss
  48. P2 9:57Shot by Chimera, saved by Ward
  49. P2 11:44Shot by Hickey, saved by Ward
  50. P2 11:48Shot by Bailey, saved by Ward
  51. P2 11:51Shot by Lee, saved by Ward
  52. P2 13:11Shot by Teravainen, saved by Greiss
  53. P2 14:56Shot by Faulk, saved by Greiss
  54. P2 15:16Shot by Rask, saved by Greiss
  55. P2 16:14Shot by Staal, saved by Greiss
  56. P2 16:57Goal by Pesce (McGinn, Stempniak)+28 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Stempniak, Teravainen, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce · NYI Hickey, Bailey, Tavares, Lee, Mayfield

  57. P2 18:59Shot by Stempniak, saved by Greiss
  58. P2 19:54Shot by Pesce, saved by Greiss
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:08Goal by Tavares (Lee, Bailey)+30 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Faulk, Skinner, Rask · NYI Bailey, Tavares, Leddy, Lee, Pelech

  62. P3 1:43Shot by Mayfield, saved by Ward
  63. P3 3:53Shot by Bailey, saved by Ward
  64. P3 4:09Shot by Bailey, saved by Ward
  65. P3 5:27Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Ward
  66. P3 5:39Shot by Skinner, saved by Greiss
  67. P3 5:42Goal by Stempniak (Teravainen)+33 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Stempniak, Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce, Aho · NYI Seidenberg, Ladd, de Haan, Nelson, Strome

  68. P3 7:17Shot by Mayfield, saved by Ward
  69. P3 9:48Shot by McClement, saved by Greiss
  70. P3 10:01Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Ward
  71. P3 10:44Shot by Quine, saved by Ward
  72. P3 11:07Shot by Bailey, saved by Ward
  73. P3 11:44Goal by Teravainen (Faulk, Stempniak)+8 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Stempniak, Faulk, Teravainen, Aho · NYI Bailey, Tavares, Leddy, Lee, Pelech

  74. P3 12:03Shot by Hickey, saved by Ward
  75. P3 12:43Shot by Rask, saved by Greiss
  76. P3 13:18Shot by Skinner, saved by Greiss
  77. P3 13:52Shot by Tennyson, saved by Greiss
  78. P3 13:53Goal by Staal (Tennyson, McGinn)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Tennyson, McGinn, Lindholm, Hanifin · NYI Chimera, Leddy, Quine, Pelech, Beauvillier

  79. P3 14:22Shot by Pelech, saved by Ward
  80. P3 17:20Shot by Mayfield, saved by Ward
  81. P3 17:33Shot by Faulk, saved by Berube
  82. P3 18:39Shot by Hanifin, saved by Berube
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final