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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 17, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:51Shot by Hyman, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 1:53Shot by Gionta, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 3:19Shot by Kadri, saved by Lehner
  5. P1 4:33Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  6. P1 5:08Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 5:44Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 5:45Shot by Gauthier, saved by Lehner
  9. P1 6:41Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 10:16Goal by Okposo, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Nylander, Zaitsev · BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, McCabe, Carrier, Ristolainen

  11. P1 10:27Shot by Okposo, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 10:56Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 11:05Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 12:45Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 17:51Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  16. P1 17:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  17. P1 18:30Shot by Hunwick, saved by Lehner
  18. P1 18:47Shot by Hunwick, saved by Lehner
  19. P1 19:27Goal by Kane (Gionta, McCabe)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Brown, Matthews · BUF Gionta, Kane, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:32Goal by Komarov (Kadri, Nylander)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Nylander, Zaitsev · BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, McCabe, Carrier, Ristolainen

  23. P2 1:45Marner: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marner, Zaitsev · BUF Gionta, Franson, Bogosian, Kane, Girgensons

  24. P2 1:58Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Andersen4v5
  25. P2 1:59Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen4v5
  26. P2 3:07Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen4v5
  27. P2 5:20Shot by Martin, saved by Lehner
  28. P2 5:38Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  29. P2 5:49Shot by Kadri, saved by Lehner
  30. P2 8:29Goal by Martin, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Martin, Carrick, Gauthier, Soshnikov · BUF Moulson, Franson, O'Reilly, Bogosian, Deslauriers

  31. P2 8:49Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 8:58Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 9:45Goal by Matthews (Hyman, Brown)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Brown, Matthews · BUF Franson, Bogosian, Foligno, Reinhart, Eichel

  34. P2 10:14Shot by Bozak, saved by Nilsson
  35. P2 12:13Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 13:06Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 14:11Shot by Gionta, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 14:36Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Nilsson
  39. P2 15:36Shot by Gardiner, saved by Nilsson
  40. P2 16:16Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 18:09Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 18:47Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:16Shot by Komarov, saved by Nilsson
  46. P3 2:03Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen
  47. P3 3:58Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Nilsson
  48. P3 4:26Shot by Hunwick, saved by Nilsson
  49. P3 4:39Shot by Kadri, saved by Nilsson
  50. P3 5:13Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  51. P3 5:30Shot by Franson, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 5:58Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Nilsson
  53. P3 7:52Shot by Falk, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 9:33Shot by Moulson, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 11:10Shot by Brown, saved by Nilsson
  56. P3 12:06Shot by Kadri, saved by Nilsson
  57. P3 12:11Shot by Hyman, saved by Nilsson
  58. P3 12:48Bogosian: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Bozak, Hyman, Brown · BUF Franson, Bogosian, Foligno, Reinhart, Eichel

  59. P3 12:53Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Nilsson5v4
  60. P3 13:04Goal by van Riemsdyk (Marner, Zaitsev)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Marner, Zaitsev · BUF O'Reilly, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen

  61. P3 14:21Shot by Brown, saved by Nilsson
  62. P3 15:08Shot by Hyman, saved by Nilsson
  63. P3 17:37Goal by Carrier (Girgensons, Gionta)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marner · BUF Gionta, Franson, Bogosian, Girgensons, Carrier

  64. P3 18:12Shot by Gardiner, saved by Nilsson
  65. P3 18:59Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen5v6
  66. P3 19:43Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen5v6
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final