Tue, Jan 17, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.
48%
11%
8%
33%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 26:05 | 0.05 | 48.3% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:33 | 0.00 | 45.9% | +16.4 |
 Zach BogosianD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:25 | 0.12 | 37.2% | 0.0 |
 Ryan O'ReillyC · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:08 | 0.32 | 32.5% | 0.0 |
 Cody FransonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:11 | 0.09 | 35.7% | 0.0 |
 Evander KaneLW · #9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:39 | 0.34 | 40.2% | +16.4 |
 Jack EichelC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 19:19 | 0.78 | 46.5% | 0.0 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:04 | 0.17 | 33.3% | +14.3 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:02 | 0.08 | 57.2% | 0.0 |
 Marcus FolignoLW · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:52 | 0.00 | 57.8% | 0.0 |
 Brian GiontaRW · #12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.09 | 55.3% | +19.7 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 49.8% | +3.3 |
 Justin FalkD · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.02 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
 Taylor FedunD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:18 | 0.00 | 47.1% | 0.0 |
 William CarrierLW · #48 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:34 | 0.09 | 40.0% | +3.3 |
 Matt MoulsonLW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:02 | 0.04 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
 Cal O'ReillyC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:06 | 0.09 | 60.3% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersLW · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:33 | 0.00 | 6.0% | 0.0 |
 Anders Nilsson#31 | L | 16 | 15 | 1 | .938 | 1.23 | +0.2 | 28:46 |
 Robin Lehner#40 | – | 16 | 13 | 3 | .813 | 1.41 | −1.6 | 29:45 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 29:24 | 0.09 | 67.1% | 0.0 |
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 27:32 | 0.06 | 57.1% | 0.0 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:52 | 0.16 | 50.5% | +4.7 |
 Roman PolakD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:58 | 0.00 | 48.7% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:07 | 0.24 | 56.4% | +24.8 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:32 | 0.61 | 58.9% | +24.8 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:54 | 0.21 | 62.3% | +16.4 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:44 | 0.48 | 64.3% | +16.4 |
 Connor BrownRW · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:21 | 0.16 | 56.8% | +24.8 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.13 | 39.3% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.00 | 42.8% | +4.7 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:14 | 0.34 | 39.3% | +4.7 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.04 | 68.9% | +16.4 |
 Connor CarrickD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 64.7% | 0.0 |
 Nikita SoshnikovRW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.06 | 51.0% | 0.0 |
 Frederik GauthierC · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:18 | 0.03 | 49.9% | 0.0 |
 Matt MartinLW · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:10 | 0.04 | 86.0% | +18.6 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:57 | 0.00 | 33.5% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.29 | −0.7 | 60:00 |