Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 19, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

New York Rangers 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 69% of the time.

TOR winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:45Shot by Komarov, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 1:14Shot by Clendening, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 1:35Shot by Nash, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 1:39Shot by Girardi, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 3:38Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 4:21Shot by Grabner, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 4:22Carrick: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hyman, Corrado, Carrick, Brown, Matthews · NYR Klein, Grabner, Holden, Hayes, Miller

  9. P1 4:44Shot by Pirri, saved by Andersen4v5
  10. P1 4:58Shot by McDonagh, saved by Andersen4v5
  11. P1 5:07Shot by Clendening, saved by Andersen4v5
  12. P1 5:21Shot by Gauthier, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  13. P1 6:16Shot by Kreider, saved by Andersen4v5
  14. P1 6:42Goal by Skjei (Zuccarello, Kreider)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kadri, Corrado, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews · NYR Klein, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Skjei

  15. P1 6:55Shot by Hayes, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 7:00Shot by Skjei, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 7:55Shot by Matthews, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 8:53Shot by Nylander, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 10:16Goal by Bozak (Marner, van Riemsdyk)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Corrado, Carrick, Marner · NYR Klein, Holden, Pirri, Hayes, Vesey

  20. P1 12:14Shot by Hunwick, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 12:18Shot by Matthews, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 13:55Shot by Corrado, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P1 14:43Shot by Nash, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 14:44Goal by Buchnevich (Nash, Skjei)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Hyman, Brown, Matthews · NYR Nash, Clendening, Zibanejad, Skjei, Buchnevich

  25. P1 15:34Shot by Hayes, saved by Andersen
  26. P1 15:36Shot by Miller, saved by Andersen
  27. P1 16:15Shot by Clendening, saved by Andersen
  28. P1 16:24Shot by Clendening, saved by Andersen
  29. P1 16:28Kreider: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Nylander, Zaitsev · NYR Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Clendening, Skjei

  30. P1 18:06Shot by Hayes, saved by Andersen5v4
  31. P1 18:20Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:29Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 0:32Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 0:50Shot by Kadri, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 1:10Shot by Hayes, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 4:13Shot by Hyman, saved by Lundqvist
  39. P2 6:05Shot by Kreider, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 6:35Shot by Nylander, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 6:50Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 7:59Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 9:02Goal by Miller (Hayes, Clendening)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marner, Zaitsev · NYR Grabner, Hayes, Clendening, Miller, Skjei

  44. P2 9:11Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 11:21Corrado: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Bozak, Corrado, Gauthier, Soshnikov · NYR Girardi, Grabner, McDonagh, Hayes, Miller

  46. P2 11:26Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Andersen4v5
  47. P2 11:39Shot by Komarov, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  48. P2 12:03Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Andersen4v5
  49. P2 13:04Shot by Holden, saved by Andersen4v5
  50. P2 13:54Shot by Stepan, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 14:11Shot by Miller, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 14:12Corrado: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Corrado, Marner · NYR Klein, Grabner, Holden, Hayes, Miller

  53. P2 14:17Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Andersen4v5
  54. P2 16:02Goal by Hyman, unassisted4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Brown, Zaitsev · NYR Nash, Clendening, Zibanejad, Miller, Buchnevich

  55. P2 16:20Shot by Hayes, saved by Andersen
  56. P2 16:47Shot by Holden, saved by Andersen
  57. P2 18:12Shot by Nylander, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P2 18:41Shot by Hayes, saved by Andersen
  59. P2 19:35Shot by Hyman, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P2 19:55Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 1:29Shot by Komarov, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 3:59Shot by Grabner, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 4:12Hunwick: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marner, Zaitsev · NYR Girardi, Grabner, McDonagh, Hayes, Miller

  66. P3 8:14Shot by Grabner, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 9:01Shot by Kadri, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 9:43Shot by Matthews, saved by Lundqvist
  69. P3 12:20Shot by Marner, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P3 12:22Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lundqvist
  71. P3 13:52Lindberg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Martin, Kadri, Soshnikov, Zaitsev · NYR Pirri, Lindberg, Clendening, Skjei, Vesey

  72. P3 14:57Goal by Grabner (Hayes, Holden)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev · NYR Klein, Grabner, Holden, Hayes

  73. P3 15:28Shot by Miller, saved by Andersen5v4
  74. P3 15:36Shot by Matthews, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  75. P3 17:03Goal by Grabner, unassisted6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Kadri, Hyman, Brown, Nylander, Matthews · NYR Girardi, Grabner, McDonagh, Hayes, Miller

  76. P3 17:31Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Andersen
  77. P3 19:24Martin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Martin, Corrado, Gauthier, Soshnikov · NYR Pirri, Lindberg, Clendening, Skjei, Vesey

  78. P3 19:24Clendening: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Martin, Corrado, Gauthier, Soshnikov · NYR Pirri, Lindberg, Clendening, Skjei, Vesey

  79. P3 19:51Shot by Corrado, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final