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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 19, 2017·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Nashville Predators 4, Calgary Flames 3

Away

Nashville Predators

4

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 70% of the time.

CGY winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:39Shot by McLeod, saved by Johnson
  3. P1 2:05Shot by Frolik, saved by Saros
  4. P1 2:59Shot by Carrier, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 3:00McLeod: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Bouma, Hamilton, Ferland, Jokipakka · NSH McLeod, Grant, Bitetto, Zolnierczyk, Carrier

  6. P1 3:00Engelland: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Bouma, Hamilton, Ferland, Jokipakka · NSH McLeod, Grant, Bitetto, Zolnierczyk, Carrier

  7. P1 4:57Shot by Fisher, saved by Johnson4v4
  8. P1 4:59Goal by Neal (Fisher, Bitetto)4v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Versteeg, Brodie, Gaudreau · NSH Fisher, Neal, Bitetto, Carrier

  9. P1 6:01Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros
  10. P1 7:41Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros
  11. P1 9:26Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Johnson
  12. P1 11:30Shot by Backlund, saved by Saros
  13. P1 12:36Shot by Engelland, saved by Saros
  14. P1 12:58Shot by Engelland, saved by Saros
  15. P1 14:43Shot by Smith, saved by Johnson
  16. P1 15:38Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros
  17. P1 15:46Irwin: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Brouwer, Jokipakka, Gaudreau, Monahan · NSH McLeod, Grant, Ellis, Irwin, Zolnierczyk

  18. P1 16:00Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Saros5v4
  19. P1 16:19Shot by Versteeg, saved by Saros5v4
  20. P1 16:27Shot by Brouwer, saved by Saros5v4
  21. P1 17:00Johansen: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Tkachuk · NSH Ellis, Johansen, Bitetto, Arvidsson

  22. P1 17:46Shot by Monahan, saved by Saros5v3
  23. P1 17:52Shot by Monahan, saved by Saros5v4
  24. P1 18:12Shot by Fisher, saved by Johnson5v4
  25. P1 18:58Shot by Smith, saved by Johnson5v4
  26. P1 19:38Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Johnson
  27. P1 19:51Shot by Ferland, saved by Saros
  28. P1 19:56Shot by Ferland, saved by Saros
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:06Shot by Smith, saved by Johnson
  32. P2 0:14Shot by Ellis, saved by Johnson
  33. P2 0:33Shot by Hamilton, saved by Saros
  34. P2 3:10Shot by Bouma, saved by Saros
  35. P2 4:11Hamilton: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Giordano, Versteeg, Chiasson, Hamilton · NSH Ellis, Irwin, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  36. P2 7:39Stajan: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Stajan, Brodie, Ferland, Gaudreau · NSH McLeod, Grant, Irwin, Bitetto, Zolnierczyk

  37. P2 10:30Engelland: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Versteeg, Jokipakka, Gaudreau, Monahan · NSH Fisher, Weber, Smith, Irwin, Watson

  38. P2 10:30Watson: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Versteeg, Jokipakka, Gaudreau, Monahan · NSH Fisher, Weber, Smith, Irwin, Watson

  39. P2 10:54Shot by Irwin, saved by Johnson
  40. P2 11:02Shot by Grant, saved by Johnson
  41. P2 11:23Goal by Ellis (Zolnierczyk)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Brouwer, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan · NSH McLeod, Ellis, Irwin, Johansen, Zolnierczyk

  42. P2 12:50Bitetto: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Giordano, Versteeg, Chiasson, Hamilton · NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Jarnkrok, Bitetto, Carrier

  43. P2 15:03Shot by Frolik, saved by Saros
  44. P2 15:33Shot by Hamilton, saved by Saros
  45. P2 17:43Shot by Neal, saved by Johnson
  46. P2 18:26Engelland: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Frolik, Backlund, Jokipakka, Tkachuk · NSH Ribeiro, McLeod, Neal, Weber, Ekholm, Johansen

  47. P2 18:58Goal by Ellis (Ribeiro, Arvidsson)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Giordano, Frolik, Backlund · NSH Ribeiro, Grant, Ellis, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  48. P2 19:58Shot by Frolik, saved by Saros
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:35Shot by Chiasson, saved by Saros
  52. P3 1:25Shot by Monahan, saved by Saros
  53. P3 3:08Shot by Grant, saved by Johnson
  54. P3 3:26Shot by Watson, saved by Johnson
  55. P3 3:33Shot by Versteeg, saved by Saros
  56. P3 3:49Shot by Brouwer, saved by Saros
  57. P3 4:42Shot by Frolik, saved by Saros
  58. P3 6:36Shot by Irwin, saved by Johnson
  59. P3 8:21Goal by Forsberg (Arvidsson)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Brouwer, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan · NSH Ellis, Irwin, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  60. P3 9:06Shot by Frolik, saved by Saros
  61. P3 9:43Shot by Ferland, saved by Saros
  62. P3 10:20Shot by Chiasson, saved by Saros
  63. P3 12:20Johansen: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Frolik, Backlund, Chiasson, Jokipakka, Tkachuk · NSH Fisher, Ellis, Smith, Irwin, Watson

  64. P3 13:13Giordano: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk · NSH Ellis, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson

  65. P3 14:15Shot by Jokipakka, saved by Saros4v4
  66. P3 14:38Shot by Bitetto, saved by Johnson4v5
  67. P3 14:50Johansen: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Bouma, Brodie, Hamilton · NSH Fisher, Neal, Ekholm, Johansen, Bitetto

  68. P3 15:40Shot by Wideman, saved by Saros5v4
  69. P3 16:17Goal by Versteeg (Hamilton, Monahan)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Versteeg, Brouwer, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan · NSH Weber, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Forsberg

  70. P3 16:34Goal by Frolik (Backlund, Hamilton)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk · NSH McLeod, Grant, Ellis, Irwin, Zolnierczyk

  71. P3 17:01Shot by Monahan, saved by Saros6v5
  72. P3 18:24Shot by Versteeg, saved by Saros6v5
  73. P3 19:11Shot by Monahan, saved by Saros6v5
  74. P3 19:12Goal by Monahan (Gaudreau, Wideman)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Versteeg, Brouwer, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan · NSH Fisher, Ellis, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Watson

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final