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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 20, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)

Away

Detroit Red Wings

2

Final

Overtime

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 76% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:56Nyquist: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Kane, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen · DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, Ouellet, Mantha

  3. P1 1:12Shot by Glendening, saved by Nilsson5v4
  4. P1 1:28Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mrazek5v4
  5. P1 1:50Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mrazek5v4
  6. P1 3:03Shot by Moulson, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 3:15Shot by Moulson, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 6:39Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 7:14Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Nilsson
  10. P1 7:27Shot by Falk, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 8:50Bogosian: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, O'Reilly, Bogosian, Fedun, Carrier · DET Tatar, Jensen, Sheahan, Ouellet, Larkin

  12. P1 9:02Goal by Nielsen (Green)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Falk, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen · DET Zetterberg, Nielsen, Vanek, Green, Nyquist

  13. P1 9:53Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek
  14. P1 12:03Shot by Jensen, saved by Nilsson
  15. P1 13:36Shot by Green, saved by Nilsson
  16. P1 14:04Shot by Ouellet, saved by Nilsson
  17. P1 14:06Shot by Ouellet, saved by Nilsson
  18. P1 15:26Shot by Bogosian, saved by Mrazek
  19. P1 15:31Shot by Bogosian, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 16:06Shot by Mantha, saved by Nilsson
  21. P1 16:48Shot by Nielsen, saved by Nilsson
  22. P1 17:29Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  23. P1 17:33Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek
  24. P1 18:09Shot by Foligno, saved by Mrazek
  25. P1 18:22Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek
  26. P1 18:44Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Nilsson
  27. P1 19:59Shot by Mantha, saved by Nilsson
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:21Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek
  31. P2 0:32Shot by Tatar, saved by Nilsson
  32. P2 1:20Shot by Mantha, saved by Nilsson
  33. P2 2:43Helm: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Kane, Fedun, Girgensons, Ristolainen · DET Vanek, Helm, Jensen, Ouellet, Athanasiou

  34. P2 4:20Ouellet: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Moulson, Ennis, Kane, Fedun · DET Abdelkader, Marchenko, Ouellet, Glendening

  35. P2 4:41Shot by Okposo, saved by Mrazek5v3
  36. P2 4:49Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mrazek5v4
  37. P2 4:54Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mrazek5v4
  38. P2 5:06Goal by Reinhart (Eichel, Ristolainen)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · DET Ericsson, Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser

  39. P2 6:24Falk: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Falk, Foligno, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · DET Zetterberg, Nielsen, Vanek, Green, Athanasiou, DeKeyser

  40. P2 6:33Shot by Nyquist, saved by Nilsson4v5
  41. P2 7:36Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Nilsson4v5
  42. P2 8:54Shot by Helm, saved by Nilsson
  43. P2 9:17Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 9:40Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Nilsson
  45. P2 10:18Shot by Green, saved by Nilsson
  46. P2 11:04Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  47. P2 11:07Shot by Girgensons, saved by Mrazek
  48. P2 11:56Shot by Marchenko, saved by Nilsson
  49. P2 12:28Shot by Carrier, saved by Mrazek
  50. P2 13:53Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek
  51. P2 15:43Shot by Fedun, saved by Mrazek
  52. P2 15:48Shot by Okposo, saved by Mrazek
  53. P2 15:49Shot by Okposo, saved by Mrazek
  54. P2 17:13Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mrazek
  55. P2 18:26Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Nilsson
  56. P2 18:52Shot by Tatar, saved by Nilsson
  57. P2 19:34Shot by Fedun, saved by Mrazek
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 2:34Shot by Vanek, saved by Nilsson
  61. P3 2:44Shot by Tatar, saved by Nilsson
  62. P3 3:29Shot by Fedun, saved by Mrazek
  63. P3 5:50Shot by Green, saved by Nilsson
  64. P3 6:45Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Nilsson
  65. P3 7:04Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mrazek
  66. P3 7:33Shot by Nyquist, saved by Nilsson
  67. P3 7:39Shot by Marchenko, saved by Nilsson
  68. P3 7:59Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek
  69. P3 8:19Fedun: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Franson, Foligno, Fedun, Reinhart, Eichel · DET Ericsson, Tatar, Sheahan, Marchenko, Larkin

  70. P3 12:03Shot by Jensen, saved by Nilsson
  71. P3 12:25Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  72. P3 12:54Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Nilsson
  73. P3 13:38Goal by Helm (Abdelkader, Marchenko)+36 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, O'Reilly, Falk, Foligno, Fedun · DET Abdelkader, Helm, Tatar, Marchenko, DeKeyser

  74. P3 14:05Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek
  75. P3 15:12Shot by Mantha, saved by Nilsson
  76. P3 15:51Goal by O'Reilly (Franson, Falk)+39 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Bogosian, Ennis, O'Reilly, Ristolainen · DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Mantha

  77. P3 17:29Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mrazek
  78. P3 17:41Shot by Helm, saved by Nilsson
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. OT 0:00Period start
  81. OT 1:41Okposo: Hooking (2 min)3v3

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen · DET Zetterberg, Vanek, Green

  82. OT 2:49Shot by Mantha, saved by Nilsson3v4
  83. OT 3:20Shot by Larkin, saved by Nilsson3v4
  84. OT 3:53Nielsen: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Bogosian, Ristolainen, Eichel · DET Nielsen, Tatar, DeKeyser, Larkin

  85. OT 4:18Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mrazek4v3
  86. OT 4:34Goal by Okposo (O'Reilly, Eichel)4v3+46 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Eichel · DET Ericsson, Glendening, DeKeyser

  87. OT 4:34Period end
  88. OT 4:34Final